Club Brugge KV
Attack—
Defense risk—
Club Brugge KV
2nd · 32 pts · 15 played
WWWLW
First leg1–0
0–1Full time
Antwerp
14th · 14 pts · 15 played
LLLWL
Our take
Club Brugge KV were clear favourites.
Club Brugge KV were the stronger side on L90 Strength (66 vs 33). Club Brugge KV had 7.7 days of rest, Antwerp 6.9 and had to travel 86 km.
Away travel86 kmRest days7.7 · 6.9Matches / 14d1 · 1
Club Brugge KV65%
Draw21%
Antwerp14%
Club Brugge KV64%
Draw21%
Antwerp14%
Club Brugge KV65%
Draw21%
Antwerp14%
Club Brugge KV58%
Draw23%
Antwerp19%
Club Brugge KV64%
Draw21%
Antwerp14%
Over 2.5 57%
Both score 52%
Likeliest score 2–0
Rebuilt after the match from pre-match Elo. Real context is the full LOAD90 forecast; Strength only is Elo and home edge alone. How it works.
Weather (Brugge)
No weather data yet
RefereeLothar D'hondt
- Cards per match 4.1
- Penalties per match 0.28
- Matches 32
Team strength
Club Brugge KVAntwerp
66
L90 StrengthIn forecast
33
75
Current StrengthIn forecast
26
86
AttackIn forecast
24
58
DefenceIn forecast
19
—
Form indexContext
—
In forecastContext
L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.
Match Opportunity
Full analysisAntwerp
Attack—
Defense risk—
Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.
Playing style
Club Brugge KVAntwerp
1.47
Goals scoredVia Att/Def
0.93
0.87
Goals concededVia Att/Def
1.20
1.36
xGVia Att/Def
1.01
0.89
xG allowedVia Att/Def
1.26
+0.11
Goals minus xGContext
-0.08
87%
Scored inContext
60%
47%
Clean sheetsContext
7%
15.47
ShotsContext
10.73
4.80
Shots on targetVia Att/Def
4.00
31%
On target shareContext
37%
10.53
Shots in the boxContext
6.14
67%
Box shareContext
56%
10%
ConversionContext
9%
2.09
OffsidesContext
3.00
11.80
Shots allowedContext
13.47
3.73
On target allowedVia Att/Def
4.60
2.73
BlocksContext
4.07
3.29
Goalkeeper savesContext
3.83
84%
Save rateContext
71%
62%
PossessionIn forecast
50%
554
PassesContext
384
485
Accurate passesContext
309
88%
Pass accuracyContext
81%
7.04
Team ratingContext
6.90
9.13
FoulsContext
12.20
12.07
Fouls sufferedContext
13.40
1.47
Yellow cardsContext
2.27
0.07
Red cardsContext
0.13
1.00
Goals scoredVia Att/Def
0.60
1.40
Goals concededVia Att/Def
1.30
0.90
xGVia Att/Def
1.08
1.49
xG allowedVia Att/Def
1.20
+0.10
Goals minus xGContext
-0.48
70%
Scored inContext
40%
40%
Clean sheetsContext
10%
10.80
ShotsContext
11.70
3.40
Shots on targetVia Att/Def
4.00
32%
On target shareContext
34%
6.67
Shots in the boxContext
6.89
61%
Box shareContext
56%
9%
ConversionContext
5%
2.50
OffsidesContext
3.00
15.30
Shots allowedContext
12.70
4.80
On target allowedVia Att/Def
4.50
3.30
BlocksContext
4.10
3.67
Goalkeeper savesContext
3.50
70%
Save rateContext
67%
53%
PossessionIn forecast
53%
487
PassesContext
407
424
Accurate passesContext
328
87%
Pass accuracyContext
81%
6.90
Team ratingContext
6.84
8.90
FoulsContext
12.70
11.50
Fouls sufferedContext
12.80
1.60
Yellow cardsContext
2.30
0.00
Red cardsContext
0.10
In forecastVia Att/DefContext
In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.
Recent performance last 5 · schedule
Club Brugge KV
Rest7.7 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d1all competitions
Travel0 km0 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Antwerp
Rest6.9 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d1all competitions
Travel86 km0 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.
Full schedule & recovery
| Club Brugge KV |
Antwerp |
|
|---|---|---|
| Schedule loaddescriptive index, context | Low · 0 | Low · 0 |
| High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast | No | No |
| Rest dayssince last match | 7.7Belgian Pro League 2025-2026, 22 Nov | 6.9Belgian Pro League 2025-2026, 23 Nov |
| Travel to venuefrom home stadium | 0 km | 86 km |
| Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways | 0 km | 0 km |
| Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days | 0 / 1 / 2 | 1 / 1 / 3 |
| Next matchdays after this one | 6.3 | 7.2 |
All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.
Squad & lineups
Club Brugge KV
Confirmed XI
22S. Mignolet(G)
65J. Seys
44B. Mechele
4J. Ordoñez
58J. Spileers
20H. Vanaken
15R. Onyedika
9Carlos Forbs
17R. Vermant
8C. Tzolis
7N. Tresoldi
Antwerp
Confirmed XI
41Taishi Brandon Nozawa(G)
4Yuto Tsunashima
25B. Kouyaté
33Z. Van Den Bosch
30C. Scott
8D. Praet
16M. Benítez
24T. Somers
22F. Adekami
9M. Al Sahafi
7G. Kerk
Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.
Key absences Club Brugge KV
Absences are shown before kick-off
Antwerp
Absences are shown before kick-off
Total impact vs full squads
- Club Brugge KV+0.0 pp
- Draw+0.0 pp
- Antwerp+0.0 pp
Home / Away this season
Club Brugge KV · Home
2.71points per game · 7 home games
- W-D-L
- 6-1-0
- Scored
- 2.14
- Conceded
- 1.00
Antwerp · Away
0.43points per game · 7 away games
- W-D-L
- 0-3-4
- Scored
- 0.29
- Conceded
- 1.14
Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.
Common opponents 14 this season
| Opponent | Club Brugge KV | Antwerp |
|---|---|---|
| Charleroi | W 1–0 H | D 1–1 A |
| Anderlecht | L 0–1 A | D 0–0 A |
| Dender | W 2–1 H | L 1–2 H |
| OH Leuven | W 1–0 A | W 3–1 H |
| Union St. Gilloise | W 1–0 H | D 1–1 H |
| Standard Liege | W 2–1 A | L 0–1 A |
| KVC Westerlo | D 5–5 H | L 0–2 A |
| St. Truiden | W 2–0 H | L 0–1 A |
| RAAL La Louvière | L 0–1 A | W 3–1 H |
| Gent | D 1–1 A | L 1–2 H |
| Zulte Waregem | W 1–0 A | L 0–2 A |
| Cercle Brugge | W 2–0 H | D 1–1 H |
| KV Mechelen | L 1–2 A | W 2–1 H |
| Genk | W 2–1 H | D 1–1 A |
| Points | 29 of 42 · 2.07 per game | 14 of 42 · 1.00 per game |
League games this season against teams both sides have played. A small, uneven sample: context only.
Head to head last 3 of 3 meetings
2 Club Brugge KV wins0 draws1 Antwerp wins
Goals per game1.33 – 1.00
Over 2.567%
Both scored67%
Clean sheets33% · 0%
- 26 Oct 2025Antwerp0–1Club Brugge KV
- 4 Feb 2024Antwerp2–1Club Brugge KV
- 29 Oct 2023Club Brugge KV2–1Antwerp
All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.
Goals & match trends
| Club Brugge KV | Antwerp | Forecast | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scored per game | 1.47 | 0.93 | |
| Conceded per game | 0.87 | 1.20 | |
| Match goals | 2.33 | 2.13 | 2.98 |
| Over 1.5 | 53% | 73% | |
| Over 2.5 | 33% | 33% | 57% |
| Over 3.5 | 7% | 13% | |
| Both teams scored | 40% | 60% | 52% |
| Clean sheets | 47% | 7% | |
| Failed to score | 13% | 40% | |
| Games | 15 | 15 |
| Club Brugge KV | Antwerp | Forecast | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scored per game | 1.50 | 0.60 | |
| Conceded per game | 0.90 | 1.30 | |
| Match goals | 2.40 | 1.90 | 2.98 |
| Over 1.5 | 40% | 60% | |
| Over 2.5 | 30% | 30% | 57% |
| Over 3.5 | 10% | 10% | |
| Both teams scored | 30% | 40% | 52% |
| Clean sheets | 50% | 10% | |
| Failed to score | 20% | 60% | |
| Games | 10 | 10 |
Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.
Corners & cards
| Club Brugge KV | Antwerp | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | |||
| Corners won | 6.50 | 4.00 | |
| Corners conceded | 4.57 | 4.60 | |
| Match total | 11.07 | 8.60 | 9.52 |
| Over 8.5 | 79% 11/14 | 47% 7/15 | |
| Over 9.5 | 79% 11/14 | 20% 3/15 | |
| Over 10.5 | 64% 9/14 | 13% 2/15 | |
| Cards | |||
| Cards | 1.53 | 2.40 | |
| Opponent cards | 2.47 | 2.53 | |
| Match total | 4.00 | 4.93 | 4.07 |
| Over 3.5 | 53% 8/15 | 73% 11/15 | |
| Over 4.5 | 33% 5/15 | 67% 10/15 | |
| Club Brugge KV | Antwerp | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | |||
| Corners won | 5.00 | 4.40 | |
| Corners conceded | 5.11 | 4.00 | |
| Match total | 10.11 | 8.40 | 9.52 |
| Over 8.5 | 67% 6/9 | 60% 6/10 | |
| Over 9.5 | 67% 6/9 | 20% 2/10 | |
| Over 10.5 | 33% 3/9 | 10% 1/10 | |
| Cards | |||
| Cards | 1.60 | 2.40 | |
| Opponent cards | 2.00 | 2.40 | |
| Match total | 3.60 | 4.80 | 4.07 |
| Over 3.5 | 40% 4/10 | 70% 7/10 | |
| Over 4.5 | 30% 3/10 | 70% 7/10 | |
Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.
Referee · Lothar D'hondt 32 matches before this one
Per match, all competitions
Yellow cards3.72league 3.85
Red cards0.34league 0.20
Cards 5+38%league 44%
Fouls25.0league 23.1
Penalties0.28league 0.29
Home wins41%league 42%
Club Brugge KV4 with this referee
Record3-1-0
Cards · opp.1.8 · 2.3
Pens for · against1 · 0
- W21 Sep 25H · St. Truiden2–01
- D31 Aug 25A · Gent1–12
- W9 Aug 25H · Cercle Brugge2–02
- W13 Aug 23A · AS Eupen5–02
Antwerp3 with this referee
Record2-0-1
Cards · opp.2.0 · 3.3
Pens for · against0 · 0
- L20 Oct 25A · Standard Liege0–13
- W4 Nov 23H · Genk3–23
- W15 Sep 23A · KVC Westerlo3–00
From eScored match records before this kick-off. "league" is this league season's average; red is notably above it, green below. Cards · opp. is cards shown to the club and to its opponents per match with this referee. Context only: referees are not part of the forecast.
Goal timing
Club Brugge KV15 games · scored 22 · conceded 13
2
5
0-15
2
1
16-30
2
1
31-45
5
1
46-60
4
2
61-75
7
3
76-90
Antwerp15 games · scored 14 · conceded 18
1
3
0-15
3
3
16-30
3
3
31-45
1
3
46-60
2
2
61-75
4
4
76-90
Club Brugge KV10 games · scored 10 · conceded 14
2
4
0-15
3
1
16-30
1
2
31-45
1
46-60
1
3
61-75
2
4
76-90
Antwerp10 games · scored 6 · conceded 13
2
0-15
1
2
16-30
1
2
31-45
1
3
46-60
2
1
61-75
1
3
76-90
scored conceded, by 15-minute band (stoppage time counts to the band before it). Only games with a complete goal log.
Scenario lab Beta
Numbers are home · draw · away chances. Pick a scenario to update the forecast at the top of the page.
