Belgian Pro League Knockout phase Sat, Nov 29 2025 · 15:00 DENDER Football Complex, Denderleeuw
First leg1–1 2–2 Full time · HT 1–0 xG 0.51 – 2.87
  • David Toševski 40’
  • B. Nsimba 56’
  • 50’ (P) A. Sayyadmanesh
  • 64’ Nacho Ferri
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Dender and KVC Westerlo share the points

Dender entered as narrow favourites and led 1–0 at half-time through a Toševski goal. But Sayyadmanesh and Ferri scored to rescue a draw for KVC Westerlo. KVC Westerlo finished with the higher xG (2.87 vs 0.51). On the chances created, KVC Westerlo deserved more: 2.7 expected points against the 1 point they took.

Dender42%
Draw ✓27%
KVC Westerlo31%

Model vs reality

Dender goals
2
Model 1.44 · xG 0.51
KVC Westerlo goals
2
Model 1.21 · xG 2.87
Total goals
4
Model 2.65 · xG 3.38
Score 2–2
5%
Most likely 1–1 (13%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 49%
Both scored
Yes
Model 54%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchB. NsimbaDender · 1 goal
8.2
  • RefereeJan Boterberg
  • CoachesHayk Milkon · —
  • VenueDENDER Football Complex
  • Table before kick-offDender 16th · KVC Westerlo 12th

Timeline

  1. ✕ I. SakamotoMissed penalty
    12’
  2. B. GoncalvesYellow card
    31’
  3. David Toševski 1–0Assist F. Ferraro
    40’
  4. Half time · 1–0
  5. ⇄ J. AlcócerFor I. Sakamoto
    46’
  6. A. Sayyadmanesh (pen) 1–1
    50’
  7. B. Nsimba 2–1
    56’
  8. ⇄ A. JahanbakhshFor David Toševski
    62’
  9. Nacho Ferri 2–2Assist A. Piedfort
    64’
  10. ⇄ T. Van den KeybusFor G. Yow
    69’
  11. L. MarijnissenYellow card
    72’
  12. ⇄ D. AcquahFor R. Květ
    78’
  13. A. SayyadmaneshYellow card
    81’
  14. N. MbambaYellow card
    84’
  15. ⇄ Antonio CorderoFor A. Sayyadmanesh
    85’
  16. ⇄ Mohamed BerteFor B. Nsimba
    86’
  17. A. JahanbakhshYellow card
    87’
  18. ⇄ S. SydorchukFor A. Piedfort
    90+5’
  19. Full time · 2–2

Team stats

Dender7 shots · 5 in box, 2 outside
KVC Westerlo16 shots · 12 in box, 4 outside
DenderKVC Westerlo
45% Possession 55%
0.51 Expected goals (xG) 2.87
0.23 Expected points (xPts) 2.66
7 Shots 16
4 Shots on target 5
1 Shots off target 9
2 Blocked shots 2
5 Shots inside the box 12
2 Shots outside the box 4
283 Passes 353
71% Pass accuracy 80%
2 Corners 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
14 Fouls 13
2 Offsides 1
4 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
6.64 Team rating 6.82

Line-ups

Dender 5-3-2

307.2 G. Dietsch(G)
886.2 F. Ferraro A 76.3 B. Goncalves 186.3 N. Rôdes 55.9 L. Marijnissen 706.7 M. Sambu
166.3 R. Květ ↓78’ 176.6 N. Mbamba 246.5 M. Viltard
96.9 David Toševski ↓62’ 778.2★ B. Nsimba ↓86’
  • 30G. Dietsch (G)7.2
  • 88F. FerraroA6.2
  • 7B. Goncalves6.3
  • 18N. Rôdes6.3
  • 5L. Marijnissen5.9
  • 70M. Sambu6.7
  • 16R. Květ↓78’6.3
  • 17N. Mbamba6.6
  • 24M. Viltard6.5
  • 9David Toševski↓62’6.9
  • 77B. Nsimba ★↓86’8.2

Substitutes used

  • 27A. Jahanbakhsh↑62’6.6
  • 23D. Acquah↑78’6.9
  • 90Mohamed Berte↑86’

Unused: L. Fortin, N. Moutha-Sebtaoui, K. Kotoń, D. Hrnčár, J. Attah Kadiri, Amine Daali

Coach: Hayk Milkon

KVC Westerlo 4-2-3-1

996.2 A. Jungdal(G)
226.9 B. Reynolds 46.6 A. Lapage 407.0 E. Bayram 236.9 L. Mbamba-Muanda
467.2 A. Piedfort A↓90’ 346.7 D. Haspolat
186.3 G. Yow ↓69’ 135.5 I. Sakamoto ↓46’ 77.2 A. Sayyadmanesh ↓85’
907.9 Nacho Ferri
  • 99A. Jungdal (G)6.2
  • 22B. Reynolds6.9
  • 4A. Lapage6.6
  • 40E. Bayram7.0
  • 23L. Mbamba-Muanda6.9
  • 46A. PiedfortA↓90’7.2
  • 34D. Haspolat6.7
  • 18G. Yow↓69’6.3
  • 13I. Sakamoto↓46’5.5
  • 7A. Sayyadmanesh↓85’7.2
  • 90Nacho Ferri7.9

Substitutes used

  • 77J. Alcócer↑46’6.7
  • 39T. Van den Keybus↑69’6.6
  • 10Antonio Cordero↑85’
  • 8S. Sydorchuk↑90’

Unused: K. Van Langendonck, R. Neustädter, A. Awokoya-Mebude, E. Bujupi, K. Vaesen

Player stats

Top rated
B. NsimbaDender8.2
2nd
Nacho FerriKVC Westerlo7.9
3rd
G. DietschDender7.2

Dender

KVC Westerlo

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.