Club Brugge KV
Attack—
Defense risk—
Our take
Club Brugge KV were clear favourites.
Club Brugge KV were the stronger side on L90 Strength (72 vs 29). Recent goals, xG and shots on target narrow the gap for Antwerp. Club Brugge KV had 4.8 days of rest, Antwerp 7.7 and had to travel 86 km.
Away travel86 kmRest days4.8 · 7.7Matches / 14d3 · 2
Club Brugge KV74%
Draw15%
Antwerp11%
Club Brugge KV72%
Draw17%
Antwerp11%
Club Brugge KV74%
Draw15%
Antwerp11%
Club Brugge KV67%
Draw18%
Antwerp15%
Club Brugge KV73%
Draw16%
Antwerp11%
Over 2.5 70%
Both score 56%
Likeliest score 2–0
Rebuilt after the match from pre-match Elo. Real context is the full LOAD90 forecast; Strength only is Elo and home edge alone. How it works.
Weather (Brugge)
No weather data yet
Referee—Not recorded
Team strength
Club Brugge KV
Antwerp
72
L90 StrengthIn forecast
29
75
Current StrengthIn forecast
26
86
AttackIn forecast
24
58
DefenceIn forecast
19
63
Form indexContext
35
In forecastContext
L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.
Match Opportunity
Full analysisAntwerp
Attack—
Defense risk—
Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.
Playing style
Club Brugge KVAntwerp
1.80
Goals scoredVia Att/Def
2.00
0.40
Goals concededVia Att/Def
2.00
2.25
xGVia Att/Def
1.47
0.97
xG allowedVia Att/Def
1.41
-0.45
Goals minus xGContext
+0.53
100%
Scored inContext
80%
80%
Clean sheetsContext
20%
16.80
ShotsContext
16.00
5.40
Shots on targetVia Att/Def
6.20
32%
On target shareContext
39%
12.40
Shots in the boxContext
10.80
72%
Box shareContext
68%
11%
ConversionContext
13%
2.25
OffsidesContext
1.50
11.20
Shots allowedContext
14.80
3.60
On target allowedVia Att/Def
5.40
3.80
BlocksContext
4.00
3.00
Goalkeeper savesContext
3.20
83%
Save rateContext
59%
66%
PossessionIn forecast
50%
646
PassesContext
400
580
Accurate passesContext
322
90%
Pass accuracyContext
81%
7.26
Team ratingContext
6.84
8.40
FoulsContext
14.40
11.20
Fouls sufferedContext
8.00
1.20
Yellow cardsContext
1.00
0.20
Red cardsContext
0.00
2.50
Goals scoredVia Att/Def
1.20
0.70
Goals concededVia Att/Def
1.90
2.20
xGVia Att/Def
1.37
1.31
xG allowedVia Att/Def
1.51
+0.30
Goals minus xGContext
-0.17
100%
Scored inContext
50%
70%
Clean sheetsContext
30%
18.00
ShotsContext
15.00
6.80
Shots on targetVia Att/Def
5.10
38%
On target shareContext
34%
13.20
Shots in the boxContext
10.00
72%
Box shareContext
67%
14%
ConversionContext
8%
1.75
OffsidesContext
2.44
13.30
Shots allowedContext
15.30
3.90
On target allowedVia Att/Def
5.60
5.10
BlocksContext
4.90
3.10
Goalkeeper savesContext
3.60
80%
Save rateContext
64%
62%
PossessionIn forecast
52%
588
PassesContext
423
520
Accurate passesContext
349
88%
Pass accuracyContext
82%
7.31
Team ratingContext
6.84
9.30
FoulsContext
13.00
9.90
Fouls sufferedContext
8.80
1.20
Yellow cardsContext
1.50
0.10
Red cardsContext
0.00
In forecastVia Att/DefContext
In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.
Recent performance last 5 · schedule
Club Brugge KV
WWLWL
Rest4.8 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d3all competitions
Travel0 km368 km in 14d
Schedule load15%Low
Form 63 · 9 pts vs 7.5 for an average club · -0.9 vs expected
Antwerp
WWDLL
Rest7.7 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d2all competitions
Travel86 km202 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Form 35 · 7 pts vs 8.7 for an average club · -0.2 vs expected
Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.
Full schedule & recovery
| Club Brugge KV |
Antwerp |
|
|---|---|---|
| Schedule loaddescriptive index, context | Low · 15 | Low · 0 |
| High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast | No | No |
| Rest dayssince last match | 4.8UEFA Champions League 2026-2027 - League phase, 8 Sep | 7.7Belgian Pro League 2026-2027, 5 Sep |
| Travel to venuefrom home stadium | 0 km | 86 km |
| Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways | 368 km | 202 km |
| Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days | 1 / 3 / 4 | 0 / 2 / 3 |
| Next matchdays after this one | 7.2 | 7 |
All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.
Squad & lineups
Club Brugge KV
Confirmed XI
1Y. Sommer(G)
65J. Seys
44B. Mechele
3H. Lee
41H. Siquet
80F. Lemaréchal
8F. Potts
11J. Virgili
10H. Vetlesen
9Carlos Forbs
17R. Vermant
Antwerp
Confirmed XI
41Taishi Brandon Nozawa(G)
17S. Renders
3Álvaro Cortés
4Yuto Tsunashima
44M. Busi
14Xander Dierickx
6Bahmed Deuff
48A. Vermeeren
24T. Somers
33S. Porozo
25M. Fofana
Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.
Key absences Club Brugge KV
Absences are shown before kick-off
Antwerp
Absences are shown before kick-off
Total impact vs full squads
- Club Brugge KV+0.0 pp
- Draw+0.0 pp
- Antwerp+0.0 pp
Home / Away this season
Club Brugge KV · Home
3.00points per game · 2 home games
- W-D-L
- 2-0-0
- Scored
- 2.00
- Conceded
- 0.00
Antwerp · Away
1.50points per game · 2 away games
- W-D-L
- 1-0-1
- Scored
- 1.50
- Conceded
- 0.50
Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.
Common opponents 1 this season
| Opponent | Club Brugge KV | Antwerp |
|---|---|---|
| Kortrijk | W 3–0 H | W 3–0 A |
| Points | 3 of 3 · 3.00 per game | 3 of 3 · 3.00 per game |
League games this season against teams both sides have played. A small, uneven sample: context only.
Head to head last 4 of 4 meetings
2 Club Brugge KV wins0 draws2 Antwerp wins
Goals per game1.00 – 1.00
Over 2.550%
Both scored50%
Clean sheets25% · 25%
- 30 Nov 2025Club Brugge KV0–1Antwerp
- 26 Oct 2025Antwerp0–1Club Brugge KV
- 4 Feb 2024Antwerp2–1Club Brugge KV
- 29 Oct 2023Club Brugge KV2–1Antwerp
All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.
Goals & match trends
| Club Brugge KV | Antwerp | Forecast | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scored per game | 1.80 | 2.00 | |
| Conceded per game | 0.40 | 2.00 | |
| Match goals | 2.20 | 4.00 | 3.59 |
| Over 1.5 | 60% | 80% | |
| Over 2.5 | 60% | 80% | 70% |
| Over 3.5 | 0% | 40% | |
| Both teams scored | 20% | 60% | 56% |
| Clean sheets | 80% | 20% | |
| Failed to score | 0% | 20% | |
| Games | 5 | 5 |
| Club Brugge KV | Antwerp | Forecast | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scored per game | 2.10 | 1.30 | |
| Conceded per game | 1.00 | 1.40 | |
| Match goals | 3.10 | 2.70 | 3.59 |
| Over 1.5 | 80% | 60% | |
| Over 2.5 | 80% | 50% | 70% |
| Over 3.5 | 30% | 20% | |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 50% | 56% |
| Clean sheets | 40% | 30% | |
| Failed to score | 0% | 30% | |
| Games | 10 | 10 |
Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.
Corners & cards
| Club Brugge KV | Antwerp | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | |||
| Corners won | 9.00 | 5.80 | |
| Corners conceded | 2.40 | 4.80 | |
| Match total | 11.40 | 10.60 | 10.12 |
| Over 8.5 | 60% 3/5 | 60% 3/5 | |
| Over 9.5 | 60% 3/5 | 40% 2/5 | |
| Over 10.5 | 60% 3/5 | 40% 2/5 | |
| Cards | |||
| Cards | 1.40 | 1.00 | |
| Opponent cards | 1.40 | 2.20 | |
| Match total | 2.80 | 3.20 | 2.96 |
| Over 3.5 | 20% 1/5 | 40% 2/5 | |
| Over 4.5 | 20% 1/5 | 20% 1/5 | |
| Club Brugge KV | Antwerp | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | |||
| Corners won | 7.00 | 5.90 | |
| Corners conceded | 3.80 | 4.80 | |
| Match total | 10.80 | 10.70 | 10.12 |
| Over 8.5 | 60% 6/10 | 70% 7/10 | |
| Over 9.5 | 50% 5/10 | 60% 6/10 | |
| Over 10.5 | 50% 5/10 | 50% 5/10 | |
| Cards | |||
| Cards | 1.30 | 1.60 | |
| Opponent cards | 1.60 | 1.70 | |
| Match total | 2.90 | 3.30 | 2.96 |
| Over 3.5 | 20% 2/10 | 40% 4/10 | |
| Over 4.5 | 20% 2/10 | 30% 3/10 | |
Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.
Goal timing
Club Brugge KV5 games · scored 9 · conceded 2
0-15
2
16-30
3
1
31-45
1
46-60
2
61-75
1
1
76-90
Antwerp5 games · scored 10 · conceded 10
1
0-15
1
1
16-30
1
1
31-45
1
2
46-60
2
2
61-75
5
3
76-90
Club Brugge KV10 games · scored 25 · conceded 7
1
1
0-15
6
1
16-30
7
2
31-45
4
1
46-60
3
61-75
4
2
76-90
Antwerp10 games · scored 12 · conceded 19
1
0-15
1
1
16-30
2
7
31-45
1
4
46-60
3
3
61-75
5
3
76-90
scored conceded, by 15-minute band (stoppage time counts to the band before it). Only games with a complete goal log.
Scenario lab Beta
Numbers are home · draw · away chances. Pick a scenario to update the forecast at the top of the page.
