Club Brugge KV
Attack—
Defense risk—
Our take
Club Brugge KV were slight favourites.
Club Brugge KV were the stronger side on L90 Strength (62 vs 38). Club Brugge KV had ? days of rest, Genk ? and had to travel 161 km.
Away travel161 kmMatches / 14d0 · 0
Club Brugge KV58%
Draw23%
Genk18%
Club Brugge KV58%
Draw23%
Genk18%
Club Brugge KV58%
Draw23%
Genk18%
Club Brugge KV51%
Draw26%
Genk24%
Club Brugge KV58%
Draw23%
Genk18%
Over 2.5 53%
Both score 52%
Likeliest score 1–1
Rebuilt after the match from pre-match Elo. Real context is the full LOAD90 forecast; Strength only is Elo and home edge alone. How it works.
Weather (Brugge)
No weather data yet
RefereeJasper Vergoote
- Cards per match 4.1
- Penalties per match 0.50
- Matches 28
Team strength
Club Brugge KV
Genk
62
L90 StrengthIn forecast
38
75
Current StrengthIn forecast
44
86
AttackIn forecast
46
58
DefenceIn forecast
50
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Form indexContext
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In forecastContext
L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.
Match Opportunity
Full analysisGenk
Attack—
Defense risk—
Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.
Playing style
Club Brugge KVGenk
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Goals scoredVia Att/Def
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Goals concededVia Att/Def
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xGVia Att/Def
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xG allowedVia Att/Def
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—
Goals minus xGContext
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Scored inContext
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—
Clean sheetsContext
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ShotsContext
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Shots on targetVia Att/Def
—
—
On target shareContext
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—
Shots in the boxContext
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—
Box shareContext
—
—
ConversionContext
—
—
OffsidesContext
—
—
Shots allowedContext
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On target allowedVia Att/Def
—
—
BlocksContext
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—
Goalkeeper savesContext
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Save rateContext
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PossessionIn forecast
—
—
PassesContext
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—
Accurate passesContext
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Pass accuracyContext
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Team ratingContext
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FoulsContext
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Fouls sufferedContext
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Yellow cardsContext
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Red cardsContext
—
1.20
Goals scoredVia Att/Def
1.00
1.60
Goals concededVia Att/Def
1.10
0.95
xGVia Att/Def
—
1.39
xG allowedVia Att/Def
—
+0.25
Goals minus xGContext
—
80%
Scored inContext
80%
20%
Clean sheetsContext
20%
9.20
ShotsContext
13.90
4.00
Shots on targetVia Att/Def
4.00
39%
On target shareContext
29%
5.40
Shots in the boxContext
9.70
58%
Box shareContext
69%
13%
ConversionContext
7%
1.50
OffsidesContext
3.22
12.30
Shots allowedContext
11.30
4.80
On target allowedVia Att/Def
4.20
4.00
BlocksContext
1.90
3.30
Goalkeeper savesContext
3.00
69%
Save rateContext
71%
43%
PossessionIn forecast
55%
443
PassesContext
438
381
Accurate passesContext
346
86%
Pass accuracyContext
79%
6.91
Team ratingContext
7.02
8.00
FoulsContext
13.30
8.60
Fouls sufferedContext
12.10
1.70
Yellow cardsContext
1.90
0.20
Red cardsContext
0.20
In forecastVia Att/DefContext
In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.
Recent performance last 5 · schedule
Club Brugge KV
Rest—since last match
Matches / 14d0all competitions
Travel0 km0 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Genk
Rest—since last match
Matches / 14d0all competitions
Travel161 km0 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.
Full schedule & recovery
| Club Brugge KV |
Genk |
|
|---|---|---|
| Schedule loaddescriptive index, context | Low · 0 | Low · 0 |
| High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast | No | No |
| Rest dayssince last match | — | — |
| Travel to venuefrom home stadium | 0 km | 161 km |
| Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways | 0 km | 0 km |
| Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days | 0 / 0 / 0 | 0 / 0 / 0 |
| Next matchdays after this one | 5.1 | 6.8 |
All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.
Squad & lineups
Club Brugge KV
Confirmed XI
22S. Mignolet(G)
65J. Seys
44B. Mechele
4J. Ordoñez
58J. Spileers
20H. Vanaken
6L. Reis
15R. Onyedika
8C. Tzolis
17R. Vermant
10H. Vetlesen
Genk
Confirmed XI
1H. Van Crombrugge(G)
18J. Kayembe
6M. Smets
3Mujaid Sadick
77Z. El Ouahdi
8B. Heynen
24N. Sattlberger
32N. Adedeji-Sternberg
20K. Karetsas
7J. Steuckers
9H. Oh
Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.
Key absences Club Brugge KV
Absences are shown before kick-off
Genk
Absences are shown before kick-off
Total impact vs full squads
- Club Brugge KV+0.0 pp
- Draw+0.0 pp
- Genk+0.0 pp
Home / Away this season
Club Brugge KV · Home
No home games yet this season.
Genk · Away
No away games yet this season.
Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.
Head to head last 2 of 2 meetings
1 Club Brugge KV wins1 draws0 Genk wins
Goals per game2.00 – 0.50
Over 2.550%
Both scored50%
Clean sheets50% · 0%
- 3 Mar 2024Genk0–3Club Brugge KV
- 28 Sep 2023Club Brugge KV1–1Genk
All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.
Goals & match trends
| Club Brugge KV | Genk | Forecast | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scored per game | — | — | |
| Conceded per game | — | — | |
| Match goals | — | — | 2.82 |
| Over 1.5 | — | — | |
| Over 2.5 | — | — | 53% |
| Over 3.5 | — | — | |
| Both teams scored | — | — | 52% |
| Clean sheets | — | — | |
| Failed to score | — | — | |
| Games | 0 | 0 |
| Club Brugge KV | Genk | Forecast | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scored per game | — | — | |
| Conceded per game | — | — | |
| Match goals | — | — | 2.82 |
| Over 1.5 | — | — | |
| Over 2.5 | — | — | 53% |
| Over 3.5 | — | — | |
| Both teams scored | — | — | 52% |
| Clean sheets | — | — | |
| Failed to score | — | — | |
| Games | 0 | 0 |
Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.
Corners & cards
| Club Brugge KV | Genk | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | |||
| Corners won | — | — | |
| Corners conceded | — | — | |
| Match total | — | — | 9.67 |
| Over 8.5 | — | — | |
| Over 9.5 | — | — | |
| Over 10.5 | — | — | |
| Cards | |||
| Cards | — | — | |
| Opponent cards | — | — | |
| Match total | — | — | 4.50 |
| Over 3.5 | — | — | |
| Over 4.5 | — | — | |
| Club Brugge KV | Genk | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | |||
| Corners won | 2.75 | 5.60 | |
| Corners conceded | 3.38 | 4.70 | |
| Match total | 6.13 | 10.30 | 9.67 |
| Over 8.5 | 13% 1/8 | 80% 8/10 | |
| Over 9.5 | 0% 0/8 | 70% 7/10 | |
| Over 10.5 | 0% 0/8 | 50% 5/10 | |
| Cards | |||
| Cards | 1.90 | 2.20 | |
| Opponent cards | 2.20 | 2.20 | |
| Match total | 4.10 | 4.40 | 4.50 |
| Over 3.5 | 50% 5/10 | 70% 7/10 | |
| Over 4.5 | 40% 4/10 | 40% 4/10 | |
Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.
Referee · Jasper Vergoote 28 matches before this one
Per match, all competitions
Yellow cards3.82league 4.50
Red cards0.25league 0.00
Cards 5+32%league 50%
Fouls23.7league 25.2
Penalties0.50league 0.33
Home wins57%league 17%
Club Brugge KV6 with this referee
Record2-1-3
Cards · opp.2.8 · 3.0
Pens for · against2 · 0
Reds2
- W3 Mar 24A · Genk3–02
- L4 Feb 24A · Antwerp1–26
- D26 Dec 23H · Union St. Gilloise1–13
- W3 Dec 23H · Standard Liege2–02
- L5 Nov 23A · Union St. Gilloise1–24
Genk3 with this referee
Record0-2-1
Cards · opp.2.3 · 1.7
Pens for · against0 · 1
- L3 Mar 24H · Club Brugge KV0–32
- D20 Jan 24H · Cercle Brugge1–12
- D8 Oct 23A · Gent1–13
From eScored match records before this kick-off. "league" is this league season's average; red is notably above it, green below. Cards · opp. is cards shown to the club and to its opponents per match with this referee. Context only: referees are not part of the forecast.
Goal timing
Club Brugge KVGenkClub Brugge KV10 games · scored 12 · conceded 16
3
2
0-15
3
16-30
2
2
31-45
2
5
46-60
4
61-75
2
3
76-90
Genk10 games · scored 10 · conceded 11
1
2
0-15
1
1
16-30
2
1
31-45
2
46-60
2
2
61-75
2
5
76-90
scored conceded, by 15-minute band (stoppage time counts to the band before it). Only games with a complete goal log.
Scenario lab Beta
Numbers are home · draw · away chances. Pick a scenario to update the forecast at the top of the page.
