Club Brugge KV
Attack—
Defense risk—
Our take
Club Brugge KV were clear favourites.
Club Brugge KV were the stronger side on L90 Strength (74 vs 15). Recent goals, xG and shots on target add to that edge for Club Brugge KV. Club Brugge KV had 138.1 days of rest, Kortrijk ? and had to travel 42 km.
Away travel42 kmRest days138.1 · ?Matches / 14d0 · 0
Club Brugge KV86%
Draw9%
Kortrijk5%
Club Brugge KV82%
Draw12%
Kortrijk6%
Club Brugge KV86%
Draw9%
Kortrijk5%
Club Brugge KV81%
Draw12%
Kortrijk7%
Club Brugge KV86%
Draw10%
Kortrijk5%
Over 2.5 76%
Both score 48%
Likeliest score 3–0
Rebuilt after the match from pre-match Elo. Real context is the full LOAD90 forecast; Strength only is Elo and home edge alone. How it works.
Weather (Brugge)
No weather data yet
RefereeLothar D'hondt
- Cards per match 4.1
- Penalties per match 0.34
- Matches 50
Team strength
Club Brugge KV
Kortrijk
74
L90 StrengthIn forecast
15
75
Current StrengthIn forecast
12
86
AttackIn forecast
10
58
DefenceIn forecast
16
—
Form indexContext
—
In forecastContext
L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.
Match Opportunity
Full analysisKortrijk
Attack—
Defense risk—
Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.
Playing style
Club Brugge KVKortrijk
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Goals scoredVia Att/Def
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—
Goals concededVia Att/Def
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—
xGVia Att/Def
—
—
xG allowedVia Att/Def
—
—
Goals minus xGContext
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Scored inContext
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—
Clean sheetsContext
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—
ShotsContext
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—
Shots on targetVia Att/Def
—
—
On target shareContext
—
—
Shots in the boxContext
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—
Box shareContext
—
—
ConversionContext
—
—
OffsidesContext
—
—
Shots allowedContext
—
—
On target allowedVia Att/Def
—
—
BlocksContext
—
—
Goalkeeper savesContext
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—
Save rateContext
—
—
PossessionIn forecast
—
—
PassesContext
—
—
Accurate passesContext
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—
Pass accuracyContext
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Team ratingContext
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FoulsContext
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—
Fouls sufferedContext
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Yellow cardsContext
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Red cardsContext
—
3.20
Goals scoredVia Att/Def
1.00
0.90
Goals concededVia Att/Def
1.30
2.37
xGVia Att/Def
—
1.18
xG allowedVia Att/Def
—
+0.83
Goals minus xGContext
—
100%
Scored inContext
60%
40%
Clean sheetsContext
40%
19.30
ShotsContext
9.30
7.20
Shots on targetVia Att/Def
3.10
37%
On target shareContext
33%
13.90
Shots in the boxContext
5.50
70%
Box shareContext
60%
17%
ConversionContext
11%
1.33
OffsidesContext
2.00
14.20
Shots allowedContext
15.10
3.80
On target allowedVia Att/Def
4.70
5.00
BlocksContext
4.70
3.00
Goalkeeper savesContext
3.50
79%
Save rateContext
75%
54%
PossessionIn forecast
41%
473
PassesContext
363
397
Accurate passesContext
261
84%
Pass accuracyContext
72%
7.22
Team ratingContext
6.93
10.00
FoulsContext
10.30
8.90
Fouls sufferedContext
10.60
1.40
Yellow cardsContext
1.60
0.00
Red cardsContext
0.00
In forecastVia Att/DefContext
In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.
Recent performance last 5 · schedule
Club Brugge KV
Rest138.1 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d0all competitions
Travel0 km0 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Kortrijk
Rest—since last match
Matches / 14d0all competitions
Travel42 km0 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.
Full schedule & recovery
| Club Brugge KV |
Kortrijk |
|
|---|---|---|
| Schedule loaddescriptive index, context | Low · 0 | Low · 0 |
| High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast | No | No |
| Rest dayssince last match | 138.1Belgian Pro League 2025-2026, 22 Mar | — |
| Travel to venuefrom home stadium | 0 km | 42 km |
| Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways | 0 km | 0 km |
| Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days | 0 / 0 / 0 | 0 / 0 / 0 |
| Next matchdays after this one | 8 | 7.9 |
All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.
Squad & lineups
Club Brugge KV
Confirmed XI
1Y. Sommer(G)
65J. Seys
44B. Mechele
3H. Lee
64K. Sabbe
20H. Vanaken
8F. Potts
10H. Vetlesen
67M. Diakhon
7N. Tresoldi
9Carlos Forbs
Kortrijk
Confirmed XI
31M. Ilić(G)
5J. Ndjeungoue
22G. Ruyssen
36R. Kohon
19B. Dejaegere
3M. Anderson
71Ken Masui
35B. Lambert
11S. Campbell
10G. Koyalipou
68T. Ambrose
Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.
Key absences Club Brugge KV
Absences are shown before kick-off
Kortrijk
Absences are shown before kick-off
Total impact vs full squads
- Club Brugge KV+0.0 pp
- Draw+0.0 pp
- Kortrijk+0.0 pp
Home / Away this season
Club Brugge KV · Home
No home games yet this season.
Kortrijk · Away
No away games yet this season.
Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.
Head to head last 2 of 2 meetings
0 Club Brugge KV wins1 draws1 Kortrijk wins
Goals per game1.50 – 2.00
Over 2.550%
Both scored50%
Clean sheets0% · 50%
- 30 Jan 2024Club Brugge KV3–3Kortrijk
- 21 Oct 2023Kortrijk1–0Club Brugge KV
All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.
Goals & match trends
| Club Brugge KV | Kortrijk | Forecast | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scored per game | — | — | |
| Conceded per game | — | — | |
| Match goals | — | — | 3.97 |
| Over 1.5 | — | — | |
| Over 2.5 | — | — | 76% |
| Over 3.5 | — | — | |
| Both teams scored | — | — | 48% |
| Clean sheets | — | — | |
| Failed to score | — | — | |
| Games | 0 | 0 |
| Club Brugge KV | Kortrijk | Forecast | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scored per game | 2.30 | — | |
| Conceded per game | 1.40 | — | |
| Match goals | 3.70 | — | 3.97 |
| Over 1.5 | 90% | — | |
| Over 2.5 | 90% | — | 76% |
| Over 3.5 | 40% | — | |
| Both teams scored | 80% | — | 48% |
| Clean sheets | 10% | — | |
| Failed to score | 10% | — | |
| Games | 10 | 0 |
Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.
Corners & cards
| Club Brugge KV | Kortrijk | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | |||
| Corners won | — | — | |
| Corners conceded | — | — | |
| Match total | — | — | |
| Over 8.5 | — | — | |
| Over 9.5 | — | — | |
| Over 10.5 | — | — | |
| Cards | |||
| Cards | — | — | |
| Opponent cards | — | — | |
| Match total | — | — | |
| Over 3.5 | — | — | |
| Over 4.5 | — | — | |
| Club Brugge KV | Kortrijk | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | |||
| Corners won | 5.20 | 4.89 | |
| Corners conceded | 5.40 | 5.67 | |
| Match total | 10.60 | 10.56 | |
| Over 8.5 | 60% 6/10 | 78% 7/9 | |
| Over 9.5 | 60% 6/10 | 67% 6/9 | |
| Over 10.5 | 50% 5/10 | 67% 6/9 | |
| Cards | |||
| Cards | 1.40 | 1.60 | |
| Opponent cards | 2.00 | 0.90 | |
| Match total | 3.40 | 2.50 | |
| Over 3.5 | 30% 3/10 | 30% 3/10 | |
| Over 4.5 | 20% 2/10 | 10% 1/10 | |
Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.
Referee · Lothar D'hondt 50 matches before this one
Per match, all competitions
Yellow cards3.88
Red cards0.26
Cards 5+36%
Fouls24.3
Penalties0.34
Home wins42%
Club Brugge KV8 with this referee
Record6-1-1
Cards · opp.1.6 · 2.3
Pens for · against2 · 1
- W17 May 26H · Union St. Gilloise5–01
- W11 Apr 26A · St. Truiden2–12
- W15 Feb 26A · Cercle Brugge2–13
- L30 Nov 25H · Antwerp0–10
- W21 Sep 25H · St. Truiden2–01
KortrijkNo previous matches with this referee.
From eScored match records before this kick-off. "league" is this league season's average; red is notably above it, green below. Cards · opp. is cards shown to the club and to its opponents per match with this referee. Context only: referees are not part of the forecast.
Goal timing
Club Brugge KVKortrijkClub Brugge KV10 games · scored 32 · conceded 9
6
1
0-15
4
2
16-30
5
31-45
8
2
46-60
1
61-75
8
4
76-90
Kortrijk10 games · scored 10 · conceded 13
1
1
0-15
3
16-30
2
3
31-45
2
1
46-60
3
1
61-75
2
4
76-90
scored conceded, by 15-minute band (stoppage time counts to the band before it). Only games with a complete goal log.
Scenario lab Beta
Numbers are home · draw · away chances. Pick a scenario to update the forecast at the top of the page.
