Club Brugge KV
— No complete reference snapshot for this forecast.
Club Brugge KV86.0%fair odds 1.16
Draw9.7%fair odds 10.31
Kortrijk4.3%fair odds 23.19
Expected goals3.29 – 0.69total 3.97
Likeliest score3–011.1%
Everything on this tab comes from one score matrix: the LOAD90 forecast (EloLambda with attack and defence, availability, playing style and High Congestion) turned into a probability for every scoreline with the Dixon–Coles low-score correction. Fair odds are 1 ÷ probability, with no bookmaker margin. This is a probability model, not betting advice; for odds and value see eScored.
Match Opportunity
How this opponent changes expected goals compared with an average opponent from each team's domestic league.
Kortrijk
— No complete reference snapshot for this forecast.
About this comparison
The same LOAD90 model is run against a virtual opponent with the league's average Elo, raw attack and defence parameters and standardised possession, with no extra absences or high congestion. Your team's strength, squad availability, congestion and the match's venue context are kept. This measures opponent opportunity, not a change in your team's form. Positive attack change is favorable; negative conceding change is favorable. Clean-sheet changes are percentage points. Values are locked at kick-off.
Score matrix
| Club Brugge KV ↓ · Kortrijk → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.1 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 1 | 6.0 | 4.5 | 1.5 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2 | 10.1 | 7.0 | 2.4 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 3 | 11.1 | 7.7 | 2.6 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 4 | 9.1 | 6.3 | 2.2 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 5 | 6.0 | 4.1 | 1.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 6+ | 5.8 | 4.0 | 1.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Chance of each exact score, in %. Rows are Club Brugge KV goals, columns Kortrijk goals; 6+ adds up six goals or more.
Most likely scores
- 3–011.1%9.00
- 2–010.1%9.86
- 4–09.1%10.96
- 3–17.7%13.06
- 2–17.0%14.30
- 4–16.3%15.90
- 5–06.0%16.68
- 1–06.0%16.80
- 1–14.5%22.30
- 5–14.1%24.20
Winning margin
49.5%
Club Brugge KV by 3+
fair 2.02
20.3%
Club Brugge KV by 2
fair 4.92
16.1%
Club Brugge KV by 1
fair 6.19
9.7%
Draw
fair 10.31
3.2%
Kortrijk by 1
fair 31.16
0.9%
Kortrijk by 2
fair 111.68
0.2%
Kortrijk by 3+
fair 482.81
Goal distribution
Total goals
2%0
7%1
15%2
20%3
20%4
37%5+
Club Brugge KV goals
4%0
12%1
20%2
22%3
42%4+
Kortrijk goals
50%0
35%1
12%2
3%3
1%4+
LOAD90 vs pure EloLambda
| LOAD90 | EloLambda | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Club Brugge KV win | 86.0% | 85.3% | +0.7 pp |
| Draw | 9.7% | 10.2% | -0.5 pp |
| Kortrijk win | 4.3% | 4.5% | -0.2 pp |
| Over 2.5 | 75.8% | 74.4% | +1.4 pp |
| Both teams score | 48.2% | 47.6% | +0.6 pp |
| Expected goals Club Brugge KV | 3.29 | 3.20 | +0.08 |
| Expected goals Kortrijk | 0.69 | 0.68 | +0.01 |
EloLambda is the stable eScored model without the LOAD90 factors. The change column is what playing style and High Congestion add for this match; see the methodology.
All markets model probability and fair odds
Result
- Club Brugge KV win86.0%1.16
- Draw9.7%10.31
- Kortrijk win4.3%23.19
- Double chance Club Brugge KV or draw95.7%1.05
- Double chance Club Brugge KV or Kortrijk90.3%1.11
- Double chance Kortrijk or draw14.0%7.14
- Draw no bet Club Brugge KV95.2%1.05
- Draw no bet Kortrijk4.8%20.94
Goals
- Over 0.597.9%1.02
- Over 1.590.9%1.10
- Over 2.575.8%1.32
- Over 3.556.1%1.78
- Over 4.536.6%2.73
- Under 1.59.1%10.96
- Under 2.524.2%4.13
- Under 3.543.9%2.28
Both teams to score
- Yes48.2%2.08
- No51.8%1.93
- Yes and over 2.543.7%2.29
- Club Brugge KV win and yes37.9%2.64
- Draw and yes7.6%13.17
- Kortrijk win and yes2.7%37.43
Team goals
- Club Brugge KV over 0.596.3%1.04
- Club Brugge KV over 1.583.9%1.19
- Club Brugge KV over 2.563.7%1.57
- Kortrijk over 0.549.8%2.01
- Kortrijk over 1.515.2%6.57
- Kortrijk over 2.53.3%30.43
- Club Brugge KV clean sheet50.2%1.99
- Kortrijk clean sheet3.7%26.69
- Club Brugge KV win to nil48.1%2.08
- Kortrijk win to nil1.6%60.96
Handicap
- Club Brugge KV −1.569.8%1.43
- Club Brugge KV −2.549.5%2.02
- Kortrijk +1.530.2%3.32
- Kortrijk +2.550.5%1.98
- Kortrijk −1.51.1%90.70
- Club Brugge KV +1.598.9%1.01
Corners, cards and shots are not forecast by LOAD90; their actual averages are on the Overview tab.
Model track record Belgian Pro League 2026-2027
No finished matches with a forecast in this competition yet.