Belgian Pro League Knockout phase Wed, Sep 24 · 19:30 Jan Breydelstadion, Brugge
Club Brugge KV 4th · 13 pts · 7 played
5–5Full time
KVC Westerlo 13th · 9 pts · 7 played
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Our take

Club Brugge KV were clear favourites.

Club Brugge KV were the stronger side on L90 Strength (68 vs 22). Club Brugge KV had 3.1 days of rest, KVC Westerlo 3.2 and had to travel 119 km.

Away travel119 kmRest days3.1 · 3.2Matches / 14d2 · 2
Club Brugge KV74%
Draw17%
KVC Westerlo9%
Expected goals 2.40 – 0.75
Club Brugge KV73%
Draw18%
KVC Westerlo10%
Expected goals 2.35 – 0.76
Club Brugge KV73%
Draw17%
KVC Westerlo10%
Expected goals 2.41 – 0.76
Club Brugge KV67%
Draw20%
KVC Westerlo13%
Expected goals 2.14 – 0.84
Club Brugge KV73%
Draw18%
KVC Westerlo10%
Expected goals 2.34 – 0.75
Over 2.5 61% Both score 48% Likeliest score 2–0
Rebuilt after the match from pre-match Elo. Real context is the full LOAD90 forecast; Strength only is Elo and home edge alone. How it works.
Weather (Brugge)

No weather data yet

Referee · BelgiumLawrence Visser
  • Cards per match 5.5
  • Penalties per match 0.10
  • Matches 30

Team strength

Club Brugge KVKVC Westerlo
68 L90 StrengthIn forecast 22
75 Current StrengthIn forecast 33
86 AttackIn forecast 42
58 DefenceIn forecast 32
— Form indexContext —
In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Club Brugge KV

Attack—
Defense risk—

KVC Westerlo

Attack—
Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

Club Brugge KVKVC Westerlo
1.29 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.57
0.71 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.86
1.73 xGVia Att/Def 1.61
0.80 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.15
-0.44 Goals minus xGContext -0.04
86% Scored inContext 71%
43% Clean sheetsContext 29%
17.57 ShotsContext 15.86
5.57 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 5.29
32% On target shareContext 33%
12.57 Shots in the boxContext 10.57
72% Box shareContext 69%
7% ConversionContext 10%
1.86 OffsidesContext 1.33
10.43 Shots allowedContext 12.57
3.71 On target allowedVia Att/Def 4.71
2.00 BlocksContext 3.83
3.14 Goalkeeper savesContext 2.86
85% Save rateContext 61%
62% PossessionIn forecast 48%
565 PassesContext 375
493 Accurate passesContext 298
87% Pass accuracyContext 79%
7.06 Team ratingContext 6.86
10.14 FoulsContext 12.14
10.86 Fouls sufferedContext 11.43
1.29 Yellow cardsContext 1.29
0.14 Red cardsContext 0.00
This league season, per match · 7 and 7 games
2.30 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.30
0.60 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.80
1.96 xGVia Att/Def 1.61
0.65 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.15
+0.34 Goals minus xGContext -0.31
90% Scored inContext 70%
50% Clean sheetsContext 20%
18.80 ShotsContext 15.90
7.60 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 4.80
40% On target shareContext 30%
14.20 Shots in the boxContext 10.30
75% Box shareContext 66%
12% ConversionContext 8%
1.75 OffsidesContext 1.33
10.80 Shots allowedContext 11.40
2.50 On target allowedVia Att/Def 4.00
3.40 BlocksContext 3.33
2.44 Goalkeeper savesContext 2.44
92% Save rateContext 56%
59% PossessionIn forecast 49%
538 PassesContext 403
469 Accurate passesContext 324
87% Pass accuracyContext 80%
7.25 Team ratingContext 6.86
8.80 FoulsContext 11.40
9.30 Fouls sufferedContext 11.20
1.40 Yellow cardsContext 1.40
0.00 Red cardsContext 0.00
Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games
In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Club Brugge KV
Rest3.1 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d2all competitions
Travel0 km210 km in 14d
Schedule load8%Low
No finished matches with a forecast yet.
KVC Westerlo
Rest3.2 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d2all competitions
Travel119 km0 km in 14d
Schedule load8%Low
No finished matches with a forecast yet.

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery
Club Brugge KV KVC Westerlo
Schedule loaddescriptive index, contextLow · 8Low · 8
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecastNoNo
Rest dayssince last match3.1Belgian Pro League 2025-2026, 21 Sep3.2Belgian Pro League 2025-2026, 21 Sep
Travel to venuefrom home stadium0 km119 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways210 km0 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days1 / 2 / 31 / 2 / 3
Next matchdays after this one2.93

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context. Some venues have no coordinates yet.

Squad & lineups

Club Brugge KV Confirmed XI
4-2-3-1
29N. Jackers(G)
65J. Seys 44B. Mechele 58J. Spileers 64K. Sabbe
15R. Onyedika 62S. Audoor
8C. Tzolis 20H. Vanaken 9Carlos Forbs
7N. Tresoldi
+1 more reported missing outside this XI
KVC Westerlo Confirmed XI
4-2-3-1
99A. Jungdal(G)
25T. Rommens 5Seiji Kimura 40E. Bayram 22B. Reynolds
46A. Piedfort 34D. Haspolat
77J. Alcócer 13I. Sakamoto 7A. Sayyadmanesh
90Nacho Ferri
+1 more reported missing outside this XI

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences
Club Brugge KV Scores -0.01 · concedes 0.00 goals Absences are shown before kick-off
KVC Westerlo Scores -0.01 · concedes 0.00 goals Absences are shown before kick-off
Total impact vs full squads
  • Club Brugge KV+0.1 pp
  • Draw+0.0 pp
  • KVC Westerlo-0.1 pp

Home / Away this season

Club Brugge KV · Home 3.00points per game · 3 home games
W-D-L
3-0-0
Scored
2.00
Conceded
0.33
KVC Westerlo · Away 1.00points per game · 3 away games
W-D-L
1-0-2
Scored
2.00
Conceded
3.00

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Common opponents 4 this season

OpponentClub Brugge KVKVC Westerlo
St. Truiden W 2–0 H W 3–0 A
Zulte Waregem W 1–0 A W 3–1 H
Cercle Brugge W 2–0 H L 1–4 A
KV Mechelen L 1–2 A L 0–1 H
Points9 of 12 · 2.25 per game6 of 12 · 1.50 per game

League games this season against teams both sides have played. A small, uneven sample: context only.

Head to head last 2 of 2 meetings

2 Club Brugge KV wins0 draws0 KVC Westerlo wins
Goals per game2.00 – 0.00 Over 2.550% Both scored0% Clean sheets100% · 0%
  • 20 Jan 2024Club Brugge KV3–0KVC Westerlo
  • 6 Aug 2023KVC Westerlo0–1Club Brugge KV

All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.

Goals & match trends

Club Brugge KVKVC WesterloForecast
Scored per game 1.291.57
Conceded per game 0.711.86
Match goals 2.003.43 3.15
Over 1.5 71%86%
Over 2.5 29%57% 61%
Over 3.5 0%43%
Both teams scored 43%43% 48%
Clean sheets 43%29%
Failed to score 14%29%
Games77
Club Brugge KVKVC WesterloForecast
Scored per game 1.291.57
Conceded per game 0.711.86
Match goals 2.003.43 3.15
Over 1.5 71%86%
Over 2.5 29%57% 61%
Over 3.5 0%43%
Both teams scored 43%43% 48%
Clean sheets 43%29%
Failed to score 14%29%
Games77

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

Club Brugge KVKVC WesterloLeague
Corners
Corners won6.675.57
Corners conceded4.504.57
Match total11.1710.149.63
Over 8.583% 5/671% 5/7
Over 9.583% 5/657% 4/7
Over 10.583% 5/657% 4/7
Cards
Cards1.431.29
Opponent cards2.292.00
Match total3.723.294.05
Over 3.557% 4/743% 3/7
Over 4.529% 2/729% 2/7
Club Brugge KVKVC WesterloLeague
Corners
Corners won7.335.20
Corners conceded4.674.20
Match total12.009.409.63
Over 8.589% 8/960% 6/10
Over 9.589% 8/950% 5/10
Over 10.589% 8/950% 5/10
Cards
Cards1.401.40
Opponent cards1.802.00
Match total3.203.404.05
Over 3.540% 4/1050% 5/10
Over 4.520% 2/1040% 4/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.

Referee · Lawrence Visser Belgium · 30 matches before this one

Per match, all competitions

Yellow cards5.10league 3.81
Red cards0.43league 0.22
Cards 5+63%league 41%
Fouls22.4league 23.1
Penalties0.10league 0.33
Home wins40%league 43%
Club Brugge KV1 with this referee
Record0-1-0 Cards · opp.1.0 · 1.0 Pens for · against0 · 0
  • D24 Sep 23A · Anderlecht1–11
KVC Westerlo1 with this referee
Record0-1-0 Cards · opp.3.0 · 2.0 Pens for · against0 · 0
  • D17 Mar 24H · Genk1–13

From eScored match records before this kick-off. "league" is this league season's average; red is notably above it, green below. Cards · opp. is cards shown to the club and to its opponents per match with this referee. Context only: referees are not part of the forecast.

Goal timing

Club Brugge KV7 games · scored 9 · conceded 5
2 0-15
1 16-30
1 31-45
2 1 46-60
4 61-75
2 1 76-90
KVC Westerlo7 games · scored 11 · conceded 13
2 0-15
1 3 16-30
1 5 31-45
4 46-60
2 2 61-75
1 3 76-90
Club Brugge KV10 games · scored 23 · conceded 6
3 0-15
1 2 16-30
8 1 31-45
3 1 46-60
5 61-75
3 2 76-90
KVC Westerlo10 games · scored 13 · conceded 18
2 1 0-15
1 3 16-30
1 6 31-45
4 46-60
2 4 61-75
3 4 76-90

scored conceded, by 15-minute band (stoppage time counts to the band before it). Only games with a complete goal log.

Scenario lab Beta

Numbers are home · draw · away chances. Pick a scenario to update the forecast at the top of the page.

Next fixtures Belgian Pro League

View all fixtures →
Charleroi Zulte Waregem 12 Genk Union St. Gilloise 12 Anderlecht Gent 10 Club Brugge KV KVC Westerlo 55 Dender RAAL La Louvière 00