Belgian Pro League Knockout phase Sun, Feb 8 · 17:30 Jan Breydelstadion, Brugge
Club Brugge KV 3rd · 44 pts · 23 played
First leg2–1 3–0Full time
Standard Liege 10th · 30 pts · 23 played
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Our take

Club Brugge KV were clear favourites.

Club Brugge KV were the stronger side on L90 Strength (64 vs 26). Club Brugge KV usually keep the ball (58% on average), which points to more chances at both ends. Club Brugge KV had 7 days of rest, Standard Liege 7.2 and had to travel 176 km.

Away travel176 kmRest days7 · 7.2Matches / 14d1 · 1
Club Brugge KV69%
Draw19%
Standard Liege12%
Expected goals 2.24 – 0.83
Club Brugge KV68%
Draw20%
Standard Liege12%
Expected goals 2.18 – 0.82
Club Brugge KV69%
Draw19%
Standard Liege12%
Expected goals 2.24 – 0.83
Club Brugge KV62%
Draw22%
Standard Liege16%
Expected goals 1.99 – 0.93
Club Brugge KV68%
Draw20%
Standard Liege13%
Expected goals 2.20 – 0.84
Over 2.5 59% Both score 51% Likeliest score 2–0
Rebuilt after the match from pre-match Elo. Real context is the full LOAD90 forecast; Strength only is Elo and home edge alone. How it works.
Weather (Brugge)

No weather data yet

RefereeBram Van Driessche
  • Cards per match 4.4
  • Penalties per match 0.21
  • Matches 39

Team strength

Club Brugge KVStandard Liege
64 L90 StrengthIn forecast 26
75 Current StrengthIn forecast 33
86 AttackIn forecast 29
58 DefenceIn forecast 29
— Form indexContext —
In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Club Brugge KV

Attack—
Defense risk—

Standard Liege

Attack—
Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

Club Brugge KVStandard Liege
1.83 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 0.87
1.26 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.26
1.47 xGVia Att/Def 0.92
1.13 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.35
+0.36 Goals minus xGContext -0.05
83% Scored inContext 57%
30% Clean sheetsContext 30%
15.48 ShotsContext 9.70
5.13 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 3.26
33% On target shareContext 34%
10.83 Shots in the boxContext 6.68
69% Box shareContext 66%
12% ConversionContext 9%
2.07 OffsidesContext 2.50
11.65 Shots allowedContext 13.96
3.96 On target allowedVia Att/Def 4.57
2.61 BlocksContext 3.87
3.10 Goalkeeper savesContext 3.41
73% Save rateContext 73%
63% PossessionIn forecast 45%
558 PassesContext 364
488 Accurate passesContext 284
87% Pass accuracyContext 78%
7.02 Team ratingContext 6.80
9.26 FoulsContext 11.00
11.52 Fouls sufferedContext 12.13
1.35 Yellow cardsContext 1.96
0.09 Red cardsContext 0.17
This league season, per match · 23 and 23 games
2.70 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 0.70
1.90 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.10
1.63 xGVia Att/Def 0.87
1.39 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.32
+1.07 Goals minus xGContext -0.17
80% Scored inContext 50%
10% Clean sheetsContext 40%
14.10 ShotsContext 9.40
5.80 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 3.10
41% On target shareContext 33%
10.10 Shots in the boxContext 7.11
73% Box shareContext 69%
19% ConversionContext 7%
1.86 OffsidesContext 2.50
11.60 Shots allowedContext 12.90
4.90 On target allowedVia Att/Def 4.20
2.30 BlocksContext 3.50
3.33 Goalkeeper savesContext 3.33
63% Save rateContext 75%
58% PossessionIn forecast 46%
532 PassesContext 374
462 Accurate passesContext 292
87% Pass accuracyContext 78%
6.99 Team ratingContext 6.78
9.70 FoulsContext 11.30
9.60 Fouls sufferedContext 12.00
1.00 Yellow cardsContext 1.50
0.10 Red cardsContext 0.20
Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games
In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Club Brugge KV
Rest7 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d1all competitions
Travel0 km176 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
No finished matches with a forecast yet.
Standard Liege
Rest7.2 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d1all competitions
Travel176 km0 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
No finished matches with a forecast yet.

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery
Club Brugge KV Standard Liege
Schedule loaddescriptive index, contextLow · 0Low · 0
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecastNoNo
Rest dayssince last match7Belgian Pro League 2025-2026, 1 Feb7.2Belgian Pro League 2025-2026, 1 Feb
Travel to venuefrom home stadium0 km176 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways176 km0 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days1 / 1 / 30 / 1 / 3
Next matchdays after this one6.86.1

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

Club Brugge KV Confirmed XI
4-2-3-1
22S. Mignolet(G)
65J. Seys 44B. Mechele 4J. Ordoñez 64K. Sabbe
15R. Onyedika 25A. Stanković
67M. Diakhon 20H. Vanaken 9Carlos Forbs
7N. Tresoldi
Standard Liege Confirmed XI
3-4-3
21L. Pirard(G)
24J. Homawoo 4D. Bates 25I. Hautekiet
3Gustav Mortensen 8N. Mehssatou 18H. Lawrence 13M. Fossey
17R. Saïd 10D. Eckert Ayensa 11A. Abid

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences
Club Brugge KV Absences are shown before kick-off
Standard Liege Absences are shown before kick-off
Total impact vs full squads
  • Club Brugge KV+0.0 pp
  • Draw+0.0 pp
  • Standard Liege+0.0 pp

Home / Away this season

Club Brugge KV · Home 2.27points per game · 11 home games
W-D-L
8-1-2
Scored
2.09
Conceded
1.36
Standard Liege · Away 1.36points per game · 11 away games
W-D-L
5-0-6
Scored
0.73
Conceded
1.18

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Common opponents 14 this season

OpponentClub Brugge KVStandard Liege
Union St. Gilloise L 0–1 AW 1–0 H L 0–3 A
Zulte Waregem W 4–3 HW 1–0 A D 0–0 H
RAAL La Louvière L 2–3 HL 0–1 A W 2–0 A
Genk W 5–3 AW 2–1 H W 2–1 H
Gent W 2–1 HD 1–1 A L 0–4 HL 0–4 A
Dender W 5–1 AW 2–1 H W 1–0 AD 1–1 H
St. Truiden L 2–3 AW 2–0 H L 1–2 HL 0–1 A
Antwerp L 0–1 HW 1–0 A W 1–0 H
Charleroi W 1–0 H L 0–2 AW 3–1 H
Anderlecht L 0–1 A W 2–0 HL 0–1 A
OH Leuven W 1–0 A L 0–1 HL 0–1 A
KVC Westerlo D 5–5 H W 2–0 A
Cercle Brugge W 2–0 H W 2–1 AL 0–3 H
KV Mechelen L 1–2 A W 1–0 AD 1–1 H
Points41 of 66 · 1.86 per game30 of 66 · 1.36 per game

League games this season against teams both sides have played. A small, uneven sample: context only.

Head to head last 3 of 3 meetings

2 Club Brugge KV wins0 draws1 Standard Liege wins
Goals per game1.67 – 1.00 Over 2.567% Both scored67% Clean sheets33% · 0%
  • 27 Sep 2025Standard Liege1–2Club Brugge KV
  • 3 Dec 2023Club Brugge KV2–0Standard Liege
  • 8 Oct 2023Standard Liege2–1Club Brugge KV

All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.

Goals & match trends

Club Brugge KVStandard LiegeForecast
Scored per game 1.830.87
Conceded per game 1.261.26
Match goals 3.092.13 3.07
Over 1.5 61%65%
Over 2.5 48%39% 59%
Over 3.5 26%13%
Both teams scored 52%30% 51%
Clean sheets 30%30%
Failed to score 17%43%
Games2323
Club Brugge KVStandard LiegeForecast
Scored per game 2.100.70
Conceded per game 1.701.10
Match goals 3.801.80 3.07
Over 1.5 60%50%
Over 2.5 60%30% 59%
Over 3.5 50%10%
Both teams scored 60%20% 51%
Clean sheets 10%40%
Failed to score 30%50%
Games1010

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

Club Brugge KVStandard LiegeLeague
Corners
Corners won6.204.30
Corners conceded4.955.30
Match total11.159.609.77
Over 8.585% 17/2052% 12/23
Over 9.580% 16/2039% 9/23
Over 10.565% 13/2030% 7/23
Cards
Cards1.432.22
Opponent cards2.431.91
Match total3.864.134.12
Over 3.552% 12/2365% 15/23
Over 4.535% 8/2348% 11/23
Club Brugge KVStandard LiegeLeague
Corners
Corners won4.144.60
Corners conceded6.295.20
Match total10.439.809.77
Over 8.586% 6/760% 6/10
Over 9.571% 5/750% 5/10
Over 10.557% 4/740% 4/10
Cards
Cards1.101.70
Opponent cards2.201.70
Match total3.303.404.12
Over 3.540% 4/1050% 5/10
Over 4.530% 3/1030% 3/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.

Referee · Bram Van Driessche 39 matches before this one

Per match, all competitions

Yellow cards4.18league 3.90
Red cards0.26league 0.19
Cards 5+41%league 42%
Fouls22.0league 23.0
Penalties0.21league 0.29
Home wins49%league 41%
Club Brugge KV3 with this referee
Record2-0-1 Cards · opp.2.3 · 2.0 Pens for · against0 · 1
  • L6 Dec 25A · St. Truiden2–31
  • W29 Oct 23H · Antwerp2–14
  • W16 Sep 23H · Charleroi4–22
Standard Liege3 with this referee
Record0-0-3 Cards · opp.2.0 · 2.3 Pens for · against0 · 0 Reds2
  • L5 Oct 25A · Anderlecht0–13
  • L16 Aug 25A · Union St. Gilloise0–32
  • L31 Jan 24H · Antwerp0–11

From eScored match records before this kick-off. "league" is this league season's average; red is notably above it, green below. Cards · opp. is cards shown to the club and to its opponents per match with this referee. Context only: referees are not part of the forecast.

Goal timing

Club Brugge KV23 games · scored 42 · conceded 29
4 5 0-15
7 5 16-30
4 4 31-45
8 3 46-60
7 3 61-75
12 9 76-90
Standard Liege23 games · scored 20 · conceded 29
4 5 0-15
4 3 16-30
5 6 31-45
6 2 46-60
1 6 61-75
7 76-90
Club Brugge KV10 games · scored 27 · conceded 19
4 0-15
5 5 16-30
4 3 31-45
3 4 46-60
4 1 61-75
7 6 76-90
Standard Liege10 games · scored 7 · conceded 11
1 2 0-15
2 1 16-30
2 2 31-45
2 1 46-60
2 61-75
3 76-90

scored conceded, by 15-minute band (stoppage time counts to the band before it). Only games with a complete goal log.

Scenario lab Beta

Numbers are home · draw · away chances. Pick a scenario to update the forecast at the top of the page.

Next fixtures Belgian Pro League

View all fixtures →
KVC Westerlo St. Truiden 04 Zulte Waregem Dender 10 Charleroi Cercle Brugge 34 Gent OH Leuven 13 Genk Anderlecht 20 Union St. Gilloise RAAL La Louvière 21 Club Brugge KV Standard Liege 30 KV Mechelen Antwerp 20