Belgian Pro League Knockout phase Sun, Feb 8 2026 · 18:15 AFAS Stadion, Malines
First leg1–2 2–0 Full time · HT 1–0 xG 1.55 – 0.99
  • M. van Brederode 11’
  • K. Van Rafelghem 65’
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

KV Mechelen beat Antwerp

KV Mechelen won 2–0 through goals from van Brederode and Van Rafelghem. KV Mechelen finished with the higher xG (1.55 vs 0.99). On the chances created, Antwerp deserved more: 1.0 expected points against the 0 points they took.

KV Mechelen ✓36%
Draw26%
Antwerp37%

Model vs reality

KV Mechelen goals
2
Model 1.39 · xG 1.55
Antwerp goals
0
Model 1.43 · xG 0.99
Total goals
2
Model 2.82 · xG 2.54
Score 2–0
6%
Most likely 1–1 (12%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 54%
Both scored
No
Model 58%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchM. van BrederodeKV Mechelen · 1 goal · 1 assist
8.2
  • RefereeLothar D'hondt
  • VenueAFAS Stadion
  • Table before kick-offKV Mechelen 7th · Antwerp 9th

Timeline

  1. M. van Brederode 1–0Assist José Marsà
    11’
  2. ⇄ M. Al SahafiFor D. Foulon
    38’
  3. Half time · 1–0
  4. ⇄ A. ValenciaFor G. Vandeplas
    61’
  5. ⇄ Y. HamdaouiFor T. Somers
    61’
  6. A. VerstraetenYellow card
    62’
  7. K. Van Rafelghem 2–0Assist M. van Brederode
    65’
  8. ⇄ Moncef ZekriFor Mathis Servais
    71’
  9. ⇄ M. DecoeneFor B. Antonio
    71’
  10. M. DecoeneYellow card
    71’
  11. ⇄ B. BafdiliFor K. Van Rafelghem
    79’
  12. ⇄ B. RamanFor M. van Brederode
    79’
  13. ⇄ G. BijlFor C. Scott
    79’
  14. ⇄ I. BabadiFor Xander Dierickx
    80’
  15. ⇄ B. BandéFor B. Boersma
    90+3’
  16. Full time · 2–0

Team stats

KV Mechelen7 shots · 7 in box
Antwerp14 shots · 5 in box, 9 outside
KV MechelenAntwerp
34% Possession 66%
1.55 Expected goals (xG) 0.99
1.76 Expected points (xPts) 0.98
7 Shots 14
2 Shots on target 5
4 Shots off target 4
1 Blocked shots 5
7 Shots inside the box 5
0 Shots outside the box 9
260 Passes 502
67% Pass accuracy 83%
3 Corners 6
5 Goalkeeper saves 0
9 Fouls 15
3 Offsides 2
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
7.16 Team rating 6.60

Line-ups

KV Mechelen 3-4-3

137.9 Nacho Mirás(G)
37.3 José Marsà A 87.0 M. Konaté 337.0 T. St. Jago
177.2 Mathis Servais ↓71’ 67.7 F. Hammar 196.6 A. Mrabti 386.3 B. Antonio ↓71’
98.2★ M. van Brederode A↓79’ 286.0 B. Boersma ↓90’ 278.0 K. Van Rafelghem ↓79’
  • 13Nacho Mirás (G)7.9
  • 3José MarsàA7.3
  • 8M. Konaté7.0
  • 33T. St. Jago7.0
  • 17Mathis Servais↓71’7.2
  • 6F. Hammar7.7
  • 19A. Mrabti6.6
  • 38B. Antonio↓71’6.3
  • 9M. van Brederode ★A↓79’8.2
  • 28B. Boersma↓90’6.0
  • 27K. Van Rafelghem↓79’8.0

Substitutes used

  • 23Moncef Zekri↑71’6.3
  • 39M. Decoene↑71’6.9
  • 12B. Bandé↑90’
  • 11B. Bafdili↑79’6.9
  • 14B. Raman↑79’6.6

Unused: Tijn Van Ingelgom, Ian Struyf, L. Golič, H. Özdemir

Antwerp 3-1-4-2

416.3 Taishi Brandon Nozawa(G)
336.9 Z. Van Den Bosch 217.2 A. Verstraeten 47.0 Yuto Tsunashima
86.9 D. Praet
56.2 D. Foulon ↓38’ 786.2 Xander Dierickx ↓80’ 306.3 C. Scott ↓79’ 247.0 T. Somers ↓61’
795.6 G. Vandeplas ↓61’ 186.2 V. Janssen
  • 41Taishi Brandon Nozawa (G)6.3
  • 33Z. Van Den Bosch6.9
  • 21A. Verstraeten7.2
  • 4Yuto Tsunashima7.0
  • 8D. Praet6.9
  • 5D. Foulon↓38’6.2
  • 78Xander Dierickx↓80’6.2
  • 30C. Scott↓79’6.3
  • 24T. Somers↓61’7.0
  • 79G. Vandeplas↓61’5.6
  • 18V. Janssen6.2

Substitutes used

  • 9M. Al Sahafi↑38’6.9
  • 43Y. Hamdaoui↑61’6.5
  • 14A. Valencia↑61’6.9
  • 23G. Bijl↑79’6.7
  • 10I. Babadi↑80’6.7

Unused: Y. Thoelen, B. Kouyaté, S. Renders, Orseer Achihi

Player stats

Top rated
M. van BrederodeKV Mechelen8.2
2nd
K. Van RafelghemKV Mechelen8.0
3rd
Nacho MirásKV Mechelen7.9

KV Mechelen

Antwerp

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.