Belgian Pro League Knockout phase Sun, Oct 5 2025 · 17:30 Jan Breydelstadion, Brugge
1–0 Full time · HT 0–0 xG 0.49 – 0.17
  • Carlos Forbs 77’
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Forbs goal decides it for Club Brugge KV

Club Brugge KV entered as favourites and won 1–0 through a Forbs goal. Club Brugge KV finished with the higher xG (0.49 vs 0.17). On the chances created, Union St. Gilloise deserved more: 0.9 expected points against the 0 points they took.

Club Brugge KV ✓49%
Draw25%
Union St. Gilloise25%

Model vs reality

Club Brugge KV goals
1
Model 1.67 · xG 0.49
Union St. Gilloise goals
0
Model 1.13 · xG 0.17
Total goals
1
Model 2.80 · xG 0.66
Score 1–0
10%
Most likely 1–1 (12%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 53%
Both scored
No
Model 56%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchCarlos ForbsClub Brugge KV · 1 goal
8.2
  • RefereeJan Boterberg
  • VenueJan Breydelstadion
  • Table before kick-offClub Brugge KV 3rd · Union St. Gilloise 1st

Timeline

  1. K. Mac AllisterYellow card
    5’
  2. J. OrdoñezYellow card
    29’
  3. A. KhalailiYellow card
    44’
  4. Half time · 0–0
  5. ⇄ P. DavidFor R. Florucz
    46’
  6. ⇄ M. GigerFor K. Rodríguez
    59’
  7. ⇄ M. RasmussenFor A. Ait El Hadj
    59’
  8. ⇄ M. DiakhonFor R. Vermant
    66’
  9. Carlos Forbs 1–0Assist N. Tresoldi
    77’
  10. ⇄ L. PatrisFor A. Khalaili
    81’
  11. ⇄ R. SchoofsFor K. Van de Perre
    81’
  12. ⇄ L. ReisFor Carlos Forbs
    84’
  13. ⇄ C. SandraFor L. Reis
    88’
  14. M. GigerYellow card
    90+2’
  15. N. TresoldiYellow card
    90+6’
  16. Full time · 1–0

Team stats

Club Brugge KV10 shots · 4 in box, 6 outside
Union St. Gilloise5 shots · 4 in box, 1 outside
Club Brugge KVUnion St. Gilloise
61% Possession 39%
0.49 Expected goals (xG) 0.17
1.58 Expected points (xPts) 0.86
10 Shots 5
2 Shots on target 1
2 Shots off target 3
6 Blocked shots 1
4 Shots inside the box 4
6 Shots outside the box 1
486 Passes 308
86% Pass accuracy 80%
7 Corners 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
6 Fouls 17
4 Offsides 2
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
7.23 Team rating 6.60

Line-ups

Club Brugge KV 4-2-3-1

297.2 N. Jackers(G)
147.2 B. Meijer 447.6 B. Mechele 47.2 J. Ordoñez 657.7 J. Seys
207.3 H. Vanaken 257.3 A. Stanković
87.2 C. Tzolis 176.2 R. Vermant ↓66’ 98.2★ Carlos Forbs ↓84’
76.3 N. Tresoldi A
  • 29N. Jackers (G)7.2
  • 14B. Meijer7.2
  • 44B. Mechele7.6
  • 4J. Ordoñez7.2
  • 65J. Seys7.7
  • 20H. Vanaken7.3
  • 25A. Stanković7.3
  • 8C. Tzolis7.2
  • 17R. Vermant↓66’6.2
  • 9Carlos Forbs ★↓84’8.2
  • 7N. TresoldiA6.3

Substitutes used

  • 6L. Reis
  • 11C. Sandra↑88’
  • 67M. Diakhon↑66’6.9

Unused: T. van den Heuvel, K. Sabbe, Z. Romero, H. Siquet, S. Campbell, H. Nilsson

Union St. Gilloise 3-4-1-2

377.2 K. Scherpen(G)
486.7 F. Leysen 167.3 C. Burgess 56.6 K. Mac Allister
226.6 O. Niang 66.3 K. Van de Perre ↓81’ 86.5 A. Zorgane 256.6 A. Khalaili ↓81’
106.7 A. Ait El Hadj ↓59’
306.2 R. Florucz ↓46’ 136.0 K. Rodríguez ↓59’
  • 37K. Scherpen (G)7.2
  • 48F. Leysen6.7
  • 16C. Burgess7.3
  • 5K. Mac Allister6.6
  • 22O. Niang6.6
  • 6K. Van de Perre↓81’6.3
  • 8A. Zorgane6.5
  • 25A. Khalaili↓81’6.6
  • 10A. Ait El Hadj↓59’6.7
  • 30R. Florucz↓46’6.2
  • 13K. Rodríguez↓59’6.0

Substitutes used

  • 12P. David↑46’6.2
  • 20M. Giger↑59’6.2
  • 27L. Patris↑81’6.5
  • 4M. Rasmussen↑59’6.3
  • 17R. Schoofs↑81’6.3

Unused: V. Chambaere, M. Barry, G. da Silva Carvalho, S. Boufal

Player stats

Top rated
Carlos ForbsClub Brugge KV8.2
2nd
J. SeysClub Brugge KV7.7
3rd
B. MecheleClub Brugge KV7.6

Club Brugge KV

Union St. Gilloise

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.