Como vs Inter – 2 May 2027

Serie A Gameweek 34 Sun, May 2 · 17:30 Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia, Como

Como 5th · 14 pts · 7 played WWLDW

VS— Compare

Inter 1st · 19 pts · 7 played WWDWW

Get full prediction oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →

Our take

No forecast yet.

Forecasts are published up to 21 days before kick-off.

Away travel39 kmRest days7 · 7Matches / 14d2 · 2

Real contextStrength only

Como—%

Draw—%

Inter—%

Expected goals — – — No forecast for this match yet. Forecasts are published up to 21 days ahead.

Weather (Como)

Forecast from 17 Apr

Referee—Not appointed yet

Key insights

Headlines

Attack

Defence

Streaks

Streak Inter 9 Scoring in a row Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Scoring in a row

Team strength

Como

Inter

— L90 StrengthIn forecast —

65 Current StrengthIn forecast 83

72 AttackIn forecast 91

67 DefenceIn forecast 73

50 Form indexContext 76

In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Como

Attack—

Defense risk—

Inter

Attack—

Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

Como

Inter

1.71 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 3.00

1.00 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.29

1.88 xGVia Att/Def 2.67

1.61 xG allowedVia Att/Def 0.92

-0.17 Goals minus xGContext +0.33

71% Scored inContext 100%

14% Clean sheetsContext 29%

21.43 ShotsContext 21.57

6.86 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 7.29

32% On target shareContext 34%

13.43 Shots in the boxContext 15.14

62% Box shareContext 70%

8% ConversionContext 14%

2.67 OffsidesContext 2.83

14.71 Shots allowedContext 11.00

3.71 On target allowedVia Att/Def 4.17

2.86 BlocksContext 2.71

2.57 Goalkeeper savesContext 2.83

69% Save rateContext 68%

61% PossessionIn forecast 63%

588 PassesContext 616

527 Accurate passesContext 556

90% Pass accuracyContext 90%

7.01 Team ratingContext 7.20

8.29 FoulsContext 8.14

9.57 Fouls sufferedContext 9.43

1.29 Yellow cardsContext 1.57

0.00 Red cardsContext 0.00

This league season, per match · 7 and 7 games

2.20 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 2.80

1.20 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.80

1.88 xGVia Att/Def 2.73

1.41 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.36

+0.32 Goals minus xGContext +0.07

80% Scored inContext 100%

10% Clean sheetsContext 20%

19.00 ShotsContext 21.00

6.50 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 7.20

34% On target shareContext 34%

12.10 Shots in the boxContext 14.80

63% Box shareContext 70%

12% ConversionContext 13%

3.20 OffsidesContext 2.88

13.60 Shots allowedContext 11.40

3.60 On target allowedVia Att/Def 4.33

2.70 BlocksContext 2.80

2.67 Goalkeeper savesContext 2.78

69% Save rateContext 64%

60% PossessionIn forecast 61%

571 PassesContext 586

513 Accurate passesContext 529

90% Pass accuracyContext 90%

6.97 Team ratingContext 7.05

9.70 FoulsContext 8.70

11.00 Fouls sufferedContext 10.50

1.60 Yellow cardsContext 1.80

0.00 Red cardsContext 0.00

Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games

In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Como WLDLW

Rest7 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d2all competitions

Travel0 km1,030 km in 14d

Schedule load0%Low

Form 50 · 7 pts vs 7.0 for an average club · -1.9 vs expected

W18 OctA · Fiorentina3–11.8 xPts
L14 OctA · Feyenoord2–31.2 xPts
D11 OctH · AS Roma0–01.4 xPts
L20 SepA · Frosinone0–22.1 xPts
W14 SepH · Parma2–12.4 xPts

Inter WDWLW

Rest7 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d2all competitions

Travel39 km29 km in 14d

Schedule load0%Low

Form 76 · 10 pts vs 6.7 for an average club · -0.0 vs expected

W17 OctA · Bologna3–11.9 xPts
L13 OctH · Club Brugge KV3–41.9 xPts
W10 OctH · Parma3–02.6 xPts
D19 SepA · AS Roma2–21.2 xPts
W14 SepH · Udinese5–32.4 xPts

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery

	Como	Inter
Schedule loaddescriptive index, context	Low · 0	Low · 0
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast	No	No
Rest dayssince last match	7Serie A 2026-2027, 25 Apr	7Serie A 2026-2027, 25 Apr
Travel to venuefrom home stadium	0 km	39 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways	1,030 km	29 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days	1 / 2 / 4	1 / 2 / 4
Next matchdays after this one	7	7

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

Como Last XI · not confirmed

4-2-3-1 · vs Fiorentina (A) 3–1, 18 Oct

1J. Butez(G)

3Álex Valle 2M. Kempf 99T. Chalobah 28I. Smolčić

7L. da Cunha 6Luis Milla

8M. Caqueret 10N. Paz 30M. Liberali

9A. Douvikas

Inter Last XI · not confirmed

3-5-2 · vs Bologna (A) 3–1, 17 Oct

1Josep Martínez(G)

95A. Bastoni 25M. Akanji 31Y. Bisseck

32F. Dimarco 8P. Sučić 7P. Zieliński 23N. Barella 11L. de Lima

94F. Esposito 9M. Thuram

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences

Como Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh

Inter Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh

Total impact vs full squads —

Home / Away this season

Como · Home 2.00points per game · 2 home games

W-D-L: 1-1-0
Scored: 1.00
Conceded: 0.50

Inter · Away 2.33points per game · 3 away games

W-D-L: 2-1-0
Scored: 2.00
Conceded: 1.00

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Common opponents 4 this season

Opponent	Como	Inter
AS Roma	D 0–0 H	D 2–2 A
Parma	W 2–1 H	W 3–0 H
Napoli	W 2–1 A	W 3–2 H
Udinese	D 1–1 A	W 5–3 H
Points	8 of 12 · 2.00 per game	10 of 12 · 2.50 per game

League games this season against teams both sides have played. A small, uneven sample: context only.

Head to head last 4 of 4 meetings

0 Como wins0 draws4 Inter wins

Goals per game0.75 – 3.00 Over 2.550% Both scored25% Clean sheets0% · 75%

12 Apr 2026Como3–4Inter
6 Dec 2025Inter4–0Como
23 May 2025Como0–2Inter
23 Dec 2024Inter2–0Como

All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.

Goals & match trends

	Como	Inter
Scored per game	1.71	3.00
Conceded per game	1.00	1.29
Match goals	2.71	4.29
Over 1.5	86%	86%
Over 2.5	57%	86%
Over 3.5	29%	71%
Both teams scored	71%	71%
Clean sheets	14%	29%
Failed to score	29%	0%
Games	7	7

	Como	Inter
Scored per game	2.20	2.80
Conceded per game	1.20	1.80
Match goals	3.40	4.60
Over 1.5	90%	90%
Over 2.5	70%	90%
Over 3.5	50%	70%
Both teams scored	80%	80%
Clean sheets	10%	20%
Failed to score	20%	0%
Games	10	10

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

	Como	Inter	League
Corners
Corners won	7.29	5.86
Corners conceded	4.57	3.43
Match total	11.86	9.29	9.38
Over 8.5	86% 6/7	57% 4/7
Over 9.5	57% 4/7	43% 3/7
Over 10.5	57% 4/7	43% 3/7
Cards
Cards	1.29	1.57
Opponent cards	2.14	2.00
Match total	3.43	3.57	3.43
Over 3.5	43% 3/7	43% 3/7
Over 4.5	43% 3/7	29% 2/7

	Como	Inter	League
Corners
Corners won	5.70	6.00
Corners conceded	4.40	3.20
Match total	10.10	9.20	9.38
Over 8.5	60% 6/10	50% 5/10
Over 9.5	40% 4/10	40% 4/10
Over 10.5	40% 4/10	40% 4/10
Cards
Cards	1.60	1.80
Opponent cards	2.70	1.90
Match total	4.30	3.70	3.43
Over 3.5	60% 6/10	50% 5/10
Over 4.5	60% 6/10	30% 3/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.