Como vs Udinese – 14 Mar 2027

Serie A Gameweek 28 Sun, Mar 14 · 17:30 Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia, Como

Como 5th · 14 pts · 7 played WWLDW

VS— Compare

Udinese 16th · 4 pts · 7 played LLLLL

Get full prediction oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →

Our take

No forecast yet.

Forecasts are published up to 21 days before kick-off.

Away travel322 kmRest days7 · 7Matches / 14d2 · 2

Real contextStrength only

Como—%

Draw—%

Udinese—%

Expected goals — – — No forecast for this match yet. Forecasts are published up to 21 days ahead.

Weather (Como)

Forecast from 27 Feb

Referee—Not appointed yet

Key insights

Headlines

Attack

Defence

Streaks

Streak Udinese 5 Losses in a row Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Losses in a row

Team strength

Como

Udinese

— L90 StrengthIn forecast —

65 Current StrengthIn forecast 32

72 AttackIn forecast 22

67 DefenceIn forecast 18

50 Form indexContext 7

In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Como

Attack—

Defense risk—

Udinese

Attack—

Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

Como

Udinese

1.71 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.29

1.00 Goals concededVia Att/Def 2.29

1.88 xGVia Att/Def 1.13

1.61 xG allowedVia Att/Def 2.18

-0.17 Goals minus xGContext +0.16

71% Scored inContext 71%

14% Clean sheetsContext 0%

21.43 ShotsContext 14.14

6.86 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 3.86

32% On target shareContext 27%

13.43 Shots in the boxContext 9.14

62% Box shareContext 66%

8% ConversionContext 9%

2.67 OffsidesContext 1.60

14.71 Shots allowedContext 16.29

3.71 On target allowedVia Att/Def 6.71

2.86 BlocksContext 4.71

2.57 Goalkeeper savesContext 4.43

69% Save rateContext 66%

61% PossessionIn forecast 51%

588 PassesContext 467

527 Accurate passesContext 397

90% Pass accuracyContext 85%

7.01 Team ratingContext 6.73

8.29 FoulsContext 10.71

9.57 Fouls sufferedContext 8.57

1.29 Yellow cardsContext 1.86

0.00 Red cardsContext 0.00

This league season, per match · 7 and 7 games

2.20 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.10

1.20 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.80

1.88 xGVia Att/Def 1.07

1.41 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.86

+0.32 Goals minus xGContext +0.03

80% Scored inContext 60%

10% Clean sheetsContext 10%

19.00 ShotsContext 12.70

6.50 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 3.80

34% On target shareContext 30%

12.10 Shots in the boxContext 8.20

63% Box shareContext 66%

12% ConversionContext 9%

3.20 OffsidesContext 2.14

13.60 Shots allowedContext 15.70

3.60 On target allowedVia Att/Def 6.20

2.70 BlocksContext 4.30

2.67 Goalkeeper savesContext 4.20

69% Save rateContext 68%

60% PossessionIn forecast 49%

571 PassesContext 445

513 Accurate passesContext 375

90% Pass accuracyContext 84%

6.97 Team ratingContext 6.77

9.70 FoulsContext 11.10

11.00 Fouls sufferedContext 8.10

1.60 Yellow cardsContext 1.90

0.00 Red cardsContext 0.10

Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games

In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Como WLDLW

Rest7 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d2all competitions

Travel0 km1,909 km in 14d

Schedule load5%Low

Form 50 · 7 pts vs 7.0 for an average club · -1.9 vs expected

W18 OctA · Fiorentina3–11.8 xPts
L14 OctA · Feyenoord2–31.2 xPts
D11 OctH · AS Roma0–01.4 xPts
L20 SepA · Frosinone0–22.1 xPts
W14 SepH · Parma2–12.4 xPts

Udinese LLLLL

Rest7 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d2all competitions

Travel322 km1,663 km in 14d

Schedule load11%Low

Form 7 · 0 pts vs 7.4 for an average club · -6.5 vs expected

L18 OctH · Lecce0–31.9 xPts
L12 OctA · Torino1–21.1 xPts
L19 SepH · Cagliari0–11.6 xPts
L14 SepA · Inter3–50.5 xPts
L7 SepH · Lazio1–21.4 xPts

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery

	Como	Udinese
Schedule loaddescriptive index, context	Low · 5	Low · 11
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast	No	No
Rest dayssince last match	7Serie A 2026-2027, 7 Mar	7Serie A 2026-2027, 7 Mar
Travel to venuefrom home stadium	0 km	322 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways	1,909 km	1,663 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days	1 / 2 / 4	1 / 2 / 4
Next matchdays after this one	7	7

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

Como Last XI · not confirmed

4-2-3-1 · vs Fiorentina (A) 3–1, 18 Oct

1J. Butez(G)

3Álex Valle 2M. Kempf 99T. Chalobah 28I. Smolčić

7L. da Cunha 6Luis Milla

8M. Caqueret 10N. Paz 30M. Liberali

9A. Douvikas

Udinese Last XI · not confirmed

3-4-2-1 · vs Lecce (H) 0–3, 18 Oct

40M. Okoye(G)

77E. Ebosse 5D. Alaba 28O. Solet

11H. Kamara 6Oier Zarraga 8J. Karlström 23M. Vojvoda

30G. Chakvetadze 32J. Ekkelenkamp

9K. Davis

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences

Como Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh

Udinese Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh

Total impact vs full squads —

Home / Away this season

Como · Home 2.00points per game · 2 home games

W-D-L: 1-1-0
Scored: 1.00
Conceded: 0.50

Udinese · Away 1.00points per game · 3 away games

W-D-L: 1-0-2
Scored: 2.33
Conceded: 3.00

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Head to head last 5 of 5 meetings

2 Como wins2 draws1 Udinese wins

Goals per game1.20 – 0.60 Over 2.520% Both scored40% Clean sheets40% · 40%

22 Aug 2026Udinese1–1Como
6 Apr 2026Udinese0–0Como
3 Jan 2026Como1–0Udinese
20 Jan 2025Como4–1Udinese
1 Sep 2024Udinese1–0Como

All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.

Goals & match trends

	Como	Udinese
Scored per game	1.71	1.29
Conceded per game	1.00	2.29
Match goals	2.71	3.57
Over 1.5	86%	86%
Over 2.5	57%	71%
Over 3.5	29%	29%
Both teams scored	71%	71%
Clean sheets	14%	0%
Failed to score	29%	29%
Games	7	7

	Como	Udinese
Scored per game	2.20	1.10
Conceded per game	1.20	1.80
Match goals	3.40	2.90
Over 1.5	90%	70%
Over 2.5	70%	50%
Over 3.5	50%	20%
Both teams scored	80%	50%
Clean sheets	10%	10%
Failed to score	20%	40%
Games	10	10

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

	Como	Udinese	League
Corners
Corners won	7.29	3.86
Corners conceded	4.57	5.86
Match total	11.86	9.72	9.38
Over 8.5	86% 6/7	57% 4/7
Over 9.5	57% 4/7	57% 4/7
Over 10.5	57% 4/7	43% 3/7
Cards
Cards	1.29	1.86
Opponent cards	2.14	0.43
Match total	3.43	2.29	3.43
Over 3.5	43% 3/7	14% 1/7
Over 4.5	43% 3/7	14% 1/7

	Como	Udinese	League
Corners
Corners won	5.70	3.90
Corners conceded	4.40	5.70
Match total	10.10	9.60	9.38
Over 8.5	60% 6/10	60% 6/10
Over 9.5	40% 4/10	60% 6/10
Over 10.5	40% 4/10	40% 4/10
Cards
Cards	1.60	2.00
Opponent cards	2.70	0.70
Match total	4.30	2.70	3.43
Over 3.5	60% 6/10	30% 3/10
Over 4.5	60% 6/10	10% 1/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.