Çorum FK vs Kasimpasa – 22 Aug 2026

Süper Lig Gameweek 2 Sat, Aug 22 · 17:00 Çorum Şehir Stadyumu, Çorum

Çorum FK 9th · 1 pts · 1 played D

0–1Full time

Kasimpasa 12th · 1 pts · 1 played D

Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →

Our take

Çorum FK were slight favourites.

Çorum FK were the stronger side on L90 Strength (28 vs 19). Recent goals, xG and shots on target narrow the gap for Kasimpasa. Çorum FK had 7.9 days of rest, Kasimpasa 7 and had to travel 508 km.

Away travel508 kmRest days7.9 · 7Matches / 14d1 · 1

Çorum FK49%

Draw25%

Kasimpasa26%

Expected goals 1.62 – 1.10

Çorum FK53%

Draw24%

Kasimpasa23%

Expected goals 1.70 – 1.05

Çorum FK49%

Draw25%

Kasimpasa26%

Expected goals 1.62 – 1.10

Çorum FK42%

Draw26%

Kasimpasa32%

Expected goals 1.45 – 1.24

Çorum FK49%

Draw24%

Kasimpasa26%

Expected goals 1.65 – 1.14

Over 2.5 51% Both score 54% Likeliest score 1–1

Rebuilt after the match from pre-match Elo. Real context is the full LOAD90 forecast; Strength only is Elo and home edge alone. How it works.

Weather (Çorum)

No weather data yet

Referee · TürkiyeFatih Tokail

Cards per match 7.0
Penalties per match 0.50
Matches 2

Team strength

Çorum FK

Kasimpasa

28 L90 StrengthIn forecast 19

32 Current StrengthIn forecast 23

31 AttackIn forecast 21

36 DefenceIn forecast 32

— Form indexContext —

In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Çorum FK

Attack—

Defense risk—

Kasimpasa

Attack—

Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

Çorum FK

Kasimpasa

— Goals scoredVia Att/Def —

— Goals concededVia Att/Def —

— xGVia Att/Def —

— xG allowedVia Att/Def —

— Goals minus xGContext —

— Scored inContext —

— Clean sheetsContext —

— ShotsContext —

— Shots on targetVia Att/Def —

— On target shareContext —

— Shots in the boxContext —

— Box shareContext —

— ConversionContext —

— OffsidesContext —

— Shots allowedContext —

— On target allowedVia Att/Def —

— BlocksContext —

— Goalkeeper savesContext —

— Save rateContext —

— PossessionIn forecast —

— PassesContext —

— Accurate passesContext —

— Pass accuracyContext —

— Team ratingContext —

— FoulsContext —

— Fouls sufferedContext —

— Yellow cardsContext —

— Red cardsContext —

This league season, per match

— Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.30

— Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.40

— xGVia Att/Def 0.86

— xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.16

— Goals minus xGContext +0.44

— Scored inContext 90%

— Clean sheetsContext 40%

— ShotsContext 7.80

— Shots on targetVia Att/Def 2.80

— On target shareContext 36%

— Shots in the boxContext 4.00

— Box shareContext 52%

— ConversionContext 17%

— OffsidesContext 1.75

— Shots allowedContext 10.40

— On target allowedVia Att/Def 4.30

— BlocksContext 2.00

— Goalkeeper savesContext 3.22

— Save rateContext 69%

— PossessionIn forecast 42%

— PassesContext 323

— Accurate passesContext 248

— Pass accuracyContext 77%

— Team ratingContext 6.73

— FoulsContext 14.30

— Fouls sufferedContext 12.70

— Yellow cardsContext 2.80

— Red cardsContext 0.30

Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 0 and 10 games

In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Çorum FK D

Rest7.9 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d1all competitions

Travel0 km1,016 km in 14d

Schedule load0%Low

Form 51 · 1 pts vs 0.9 for an average club · +0.4 vs expected

D14 AugA · Galatasaray2–20.6 xPts

Kasimpasa D

Rest7 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d1all competitions

Travel508 km0 km in 14d

Schedule load6%Low

Form 44 · 1 pts vs 1.7 for an average club · -0.1 vs expected

D15 AugH · Trabzonspor1–11.2 xPts

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery

	Çorum FK	Kasimpasa
Schedule loaddescriptive index, context	Low · 0	Low · 6
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast	No	No
Rest dayssince last match	7.9Süper Lig 2026-2027, 14 Aug	7Süper Lig 2026-2027, 15 Aug
Travel to venuefrom home stadium	0 km	508 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways	1,016 km	0 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days	0 / 1 / 1	1 / 1 / 1
Next matchdays after this one	9.1	8.1

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

Çorum FK Confirmed XI

4-1-4-1

1Marcos Felipe(G)

24A. Borza 6H. Smolčić 5Alexandre Penetra 11G. Sazdağı

20Y. Ramadani

7S. Gürler 16Fredy 8M. Karlsbakk 10M. Diomande

19J. Ramírez

Kasimpasa Confirmed XI

4-2-3-1

1A. Gianniotis(G)

5J. Jessen 27M. Ilie 4Adem Arous 2C. Winck Neto

26K. Demirbay 16A. Baldursson

19M. Rafferty 34F. Diabaté 50G. Yalçın

9A. Benedyczak

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences

Çorum FK Absences are shown before kick-off

Kasimpasa Absences are shown before kick-off

Total impact vs full squads

Çorum FK+0.0 pp
Draw+0.0 pp
Kasimpasa+0.0 pp

Home / Away this season

Çorum FK · Home No home games yet this season.

Kasimpasa · Away No away games yet this season.

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Head to head

No earlier meetings in our data.

Goals & match trends

	Çorum FK	Kasimpasa	Forecast
Scored per game	2.00	1.00
Conceded per game	2.00	1.00
Match goals	4.00	2.00	2.73
Over 1.5	100%	100%
Over 2.5	100%	0%	51%
Over 3.5	100%	0%
Both teams scored	100%	100%	54%
Clean sheets	0%	0%
Failed to score	0%	0%
Games	1	1

	Çorum FK	Kasimpasa	Forecast
Scored per game	2.00	1.30
Conceded per game	2.00	1.40
Match goals	4.00	2.70	2.73
Over 1.5	100%	70%
Over 2.5	100%	40%	51%
Over 3.5	100%	30%
Both teams scored	100%	50%	54%
Clean sheets	0%	40%
Failed to score	0%	10%
Games	1	10

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

	Çorum FK	Kasimpasa	League
Corners
Corners won	1.00	3.00
Corners conceded	8.00	10.00
Match total	9.00	13.00	9.67
Over 8.5	100% 1/1	100% 1/1
Over 9.5	0% 0/1	100% 1/1
Over 10.5	0% 0/1	100% 1/1
Cards
Cards	1.00	2.00
Opponent cards	1.00	0.00
Match total	2.00	2.00	2.89
Over 3.5	0% 0/1	0% 0/1
Over 4.5	0% 0/1	0% 0/1

	Çorum FK	Kasimpasa	League
Corners
Corners won	1.00	3.00
Corners conceded	8.00	4.70
Match total	9.00	7.70	9.67
Over 8.5	100% 1/1	50% 5/10
Over 9.5	0% 0/1	30% 3/10
Over 10.5	0% 0/1	10% 1/10
Cards
Cards	1.00	3.20
Opponent cards	1.00	2.20
Match total	2.00	5.40	2.89
Over 3.5	0% 0/1	70% 7/10
Over 4.5	0% 0/1	60% 6/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.

Referee · Fatih Tokail Türkiye · 2 matches before this one

Per match, all competitions

Yellow cards6.50league 3.00

Red cards0.50league 0.20

Cards 5+100%league 40%

Fouls34.0league 24.6

Penalties0.50league 0.40

Home wins50%league 40%

Çorum FK

No previous matches with this referee.

Kasimpasa1 with this referee

Record0-1-0 Cards · opp.5.0 · 2.0 Pens for · against0 · 1

D24 May 25A · Gazişehir Gaziantep2–25

From eScored match records before this kick-off. "league" is this league season's average; red is notably above it, green below. Cards · opp. is cards shown to the club and to its opponents per match with this referee. Context only: referees are not part of the forecast.