Serie A Gameweek 29 Mon, Mar 16 2026 · 19:45 Stadio Giovanni Zini, Cremona
1–4 Full time · HT 0–2 xG 1.19 – 1.81
  • D. Okereke 57’
  • 25’ F. Parisi
  • 32’ R. Piccoli
  • 49’ Dodô
  • 70’ A. Guðmundsson
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Fiorentina cruise past Cremonese

Fiorentina entered as narrow favourites and won 4–1 through goals from Parisi, Piccoli, Dodô and Guðmundsson. Cremonese replied through a Okereke goal. Fiorentina finished with the higher xG (1.81 vs 1.19). On the chances created, Cremonese deserved more: 1.0 expected points against the 0 points they took.

Cremonese27%
Draw28%
Fiorentina ✓45%

Model vs reality

Cremonese goals
1
Model 1.04 · xG 1.19
Fiorentina goals
4
Model 1.41 · xG 1.81
Total goals
5
Model 2.45 · xG 3.00
Score 1–4
1%
Most likely 1–1 (13%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 44%
Both scored
Yes
Model 50%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchD. OkerekeCremonese · 1 goal
8.5
  • RefereeMarco Di Bello
  • CoachesD. Nicola · —
  • VenueStadio Giovanni Zini
  • Table before kick-offCremonese 18th · Fiorentina 17th

Timeline

  1. F. Parisi 0–1Assist R. Mandragora
    25’
  2. W. BondoYellow card
    27’
  3. R. Piccoli 0–2Assist R. Gosens
    32’
  4. Half time · 0–2
  5. ⇄ A. GrassiFor W. Bondo
    46’
  6. ⇄ D. OkerekeFor M. Thorsby
    46’
  7. Dodô 0–3Assist A. Guðmundsson
    49’
  8. D. Okereke 1–3Assist F. Ceccherini
    57’
  9. ⇄ J. VandeputteFor Y. Maleh
    62’
  10. ⇄ A. ZerbinFor R. Floriani Mussolini
    69’
  11. A. Guðmundsson 1–4Assist R. Piccoli
    70’
  12. ⇄ C. NdourFor R. Mandragora
    75’
  13. ⇄ J. HarrisonFor A. Guðmundsson
    76’
  14. ⇄ F. TerraccianoFor F. Ceccherini
    81’
  15. ⇄ J. FazziniFor F. Parisi
    81’
  16. ⇄ D. RuganiFor R. Gosens
    81’
  17. ⇄ G. FabbianFor L. Ranieri
    88’
  18. Full time · 1–4

Team stats

Cremonese13 shots · 10 in box, 3 outside
Fiorentina13 shots · 9 in box, 4 outside
CremoneseFiorentina
48% Possession 52%
1.19 Expected goals (xG) 1.81
0.98 Expected points (xPts) 1.79
13 Shots 13
3 Shots on target 6
8 Shots off target 3
2 Blocked shots 4
10 Shots inside the box 9
3 Shots outside the box 4
347 Passes 397
81% Pass accuracy 83%
4 Corners 6
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
17 Fouls 15
0 Offsides 2
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
6.60 Team rating 7.20

Line-ups

Cremonese 3-5-2

15.7 E. Audero(G)
56.3 S. Luperto 236.2 F. Ceccherini A↓81’ 556.0 F. Folino
226.5 R. Floriani Mussolini ↓69’ 296.7 Y. Maleh ↓62’ 386.6 W. Bondo ↓46’ 26.2 M. Thorsby ↓46’ 46.9 T. Barbieri
97.5 M. Đurić 906.7 F. Bonazzoli
  • 1E. Audero (G)5.7
  • 5S. Luperto6.3
  • 23F. CeccheriniA↓81’6.2
  • 55F. Folino6.0
  • 22R. Floriani Mussolini↓69’6.5
  • 29Y. Maleh↓62’6.7
  • 38W. Bondo↓46’6.6
  • 2M. Thorsby↓46’6.2
  • 4T. Barbieri6.9
  • 9M. Đurić7.5
  • 90F. Bonazzoli6.7

Substitutes used

  • 33A. Grassi↑46’6.7
  • 77D. Okereke ★↑46’8.5
  • 24F. Terracciano↑81’6.6
  • 27J. Vandeputte↑62’7.0
  • 7A. Zerbin↑69’6.5

Unused: M. Silvestri, L. Nava, M. Faye, M. Bianchetti, M. Payero, A. Sanabria, F. Moumbagna

Coach: D. Nicola

Fiorentina 4-3-3

437.7 David de Gea(G)
217.2 R. Gosens A↓81’ 67.2 L. Ranieri ↓88’ 56.7 M. Pongračić 27.7 Dodô
46.3 M. Brescianini 446.9 N. Fagioli 86.7 R. Mandragora A↓75’
108.0 A. Guðmundsson A↓76’ 917.5 R. Piccoli A 657.9 F. Parisi ↓81’
  • 43David de Gea (G)7.7
  • 21R. GosensA↓81’7.2
  • 6L. Ranieri↓88’7.2
  • 5M. Pongračić6.7
  • 2Dodô7.7
  • 4M. Brescianini6.3
  • 44N. Fagioli6.9
  • 8R. MandragoraA↓75’6.7
  • 10A. GuðmundssonA↓76’8.0
  • 91R. PiccoliA7.5
  • 65F. Parisi↓81’7.9

Substitutes used

  • 3D. Rugani↑81’6.2
  • 27C. Ndour↑75’6.3
  • 80G. Fabbian↑88’
  • 17J. Harrison↑76’6.2
  • 22J. Fazzini↑81’6.5

Unused: Pietro Leonardelli, O. Christensen, P. Comuzzo, Luís Balbo, E. Kouadio, M. Kean, Riccardo Braschi

Player stats

Top rated
D. OkerekeCremonese8.5
2nd
A. GuðmundssonFiorentina8.0
3rd
F. ParisiFiorentina7.9

Cremonese

Fiorentina

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.