Premier League Gameweek 10 Sat, Nov 1 2025 · 15:00 Selhurst Park, London
2–0 Full time · HT 1–0 xG 0.70 – 0.54
  • J. Mateta 30’
  • N. Collins 51’ (OG)
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Crystal Palace beat Brentford

Crystal Palace entered as narrow favourites and won 2–0 through goals from Mateta and an own goal. The chances were even, with xG of 0.70 and 0.54. On the chances created, Brentford deserved more: 1.1 expected points against the 0 points they took.

Crystal Palace ✓47%
Draw26%
Brentford28%

Model vs reality

Crystal Palace goals
2
Model 1.64 · xG 0.70
Brentford goals
0
Model 1.20 · xG 0.54
Total goals
2
Model 2.84 · xG 1.24
Score 2–0
8%
Most likely 1–1 (12%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 54%
Both scored
No
Model 57%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchJ. MatetaCrystal Palace · 1 goal
7.9
  • RefereePeter Bankes
  • VenueSelhurst Park
  • Table before kick-offCrystal Palace 10th · Brentford 11th

Timeline

  1. J. Mateta 1–0Assist J. Lerma
    30’
  2. K. SchadeYellow card · Argument
    34’
  3. Half time · 1–0
  4. N. Collins (own goal) 2–0Assist J. Lerma
    51’
  5. ⇄ K. Lewis-PotterFor M. Kayode
    67’
  6. ⇄ M. JensenFor M. Damsgaard
    68’
  7. ⇄ V. JaneltFor Y. Yarmoliuk
    68’
  8. ⇄ R. NelsonFor D. Ouattara
    75’
  9. J. HendersonYellow card · Argument
    78’
  10. ⇄ W. HughesFor Yeremy Pino
    78’
  11. ⇄ J. DevennyFor Daichi Kamada
    78’
  12. N. CollinsYellow card · Argument
    84’
  13. ⇄ Fábio CarvalhoFor J. Henderson
    86’
  14. ⇄ J. CanvotFor J. Mateta
    90’
  15. Full time · 2–0

Team stats

Crystal Palace10 shots · 6 in box, 4 outside
Brentford6 shots · 2 in box, 4 outside
Crystal PalaceBrentford
36% Possession 64%
0.70 Expected goals (xG) 0.54
1.45 Expected points (xPts) 1.14
10 Shots 6
3 Shots on target 2
3 Shots off target 2
4 Blocked shots 2
6 Shots inside the box 2
4 Shots outside the box 4
268 Passes 493
66% Pass accuracy 80%
6 Corners 5
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
7 Fouls 11
1 Offsides 3
0 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
7.02 Team rating 6.48

Line-ups

Crystal Palace 3-4-2-1

17.2 D. Henderson(G)
67.5 A. Guéhi 56.9 M. Lacroix 266.9 Chris Richards
36.3 T. Mitchell 186.3 Daichi Kamada ↓78’ 87.5 J. Lerma AA 26.6 D. Muñoz
107.0 Yeremy Pino ↓78’ 77.2 I. Sarr
147.9★ J. Mateta ↓90’
  • 1D. Henderson (G)7.2
  • 6A. Guéhi7.5
  • 5M. Lacroix6.9
  • 26Chris Richards6.9
  • 3T. Mitchell6.3
  • 18Daichi Kamada↓78’6.3
  • 8J. LermaA×27.5
  • 2D. Muñoz6.6
  • 10Yeremy Pino↓78’7.0
  • 7I. Sarr7.2
  • 14J. Mateta ★↓90’7.9

Substitutes used

  • 19W. Hughes↑78’6.3
  • 23J. Canvot↑90’
  • 55J. Devenny↑78’6.3

Unused: W. Benítez, N. Clyne, B. Sosa, R. Esse, C. Uche, Rio Cardines

Brentford 4-2-3-1

16.9 C. Kelleher(G)
206.2 K. Ajer 46.6 S. van den Berg 225.9 N. Collins 336.3 M. Kayode ↓67’
67.0 J. Henderson ↓86’ 185.9 Y. Yarmoliuk ↓68’
76.3 K. Schade 246.7 M. Damsgaard ↓68’ 196.7 D. Ouattara ↓75’
96.5 Thiago
  • 1C. Kelleher (G)6.9
  • 20K. Ajer6.2
  • 4S. van den Berg6.6
  • 22N. Collins5.9
  • 33M. Kayode↓67’6.3
  • 6J. Henderson↓86’7.0
  • 18Y. Yarmoliuk↓68’5.9
  • 7K. Schade6.3
  • 24M. Damsgaard↓68’6.7
  • 19D. Ouattara↓75’6.7
  • 9Thiago6.5

Substitutes used

  • 8M. Jensen↑68’6.9
  • 23K. Lewis-Potter↑67’6.3
  • 14Fábio Carvalho↑86’6.7
  • 11R. Nelson↑75’7.0
  • 27V. Janelt↑68’6.6

Unused: H. Valdimarsson, R. Henry, E. Pinnock, O. Onyeka

Player stats

Top rated
J. MatetaCrystal Palace7.9
2nd
A. GuéhiCrystal Palace7.5
3rd
J. LermaCrystal Palace7.5

Crystal Palace

Brentford

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.