Premier League Gameweek 6 Sat, Sep 27 2025 · 15:00 Selhurst Park, London
Crystal Palace
2–1 Full time · HT 1–0 xG 2.92 – 2.14
Liverpool
  • I. Sarr 9’
  • E. Nketiah 90’
  • 87’ F. Chiesa
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Nketiah’s late goal settles it for Crystal Palace

Liverpool entered as favourites, but Crystal Palace won 2–1 through goals from Sarr and Nketiah. Liverpool replied through a Chiesa goal. Crystal Palace finished with the higher xG (2.92 vs 2.14). On the chances created, Liverpool deserved more: 1.0 expected points against the 0 points they took.

Crystal Palace ✓24%
Draw25%
Liverpool51%

Model vs reality

Crystal Palace goals
2
Model 1.17 · xG 2.92
Liverpool goals
1
Model 1.77 · xG 2.14
Total goals
3
Model 2.94 · xG 5.06
Score 2–1
6%
Most likely 1–1 (12%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 56%
Both scored
Yes
Model 58%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchA. BeckerLiverpool
8.0
  • RefereeChris Kavanagh
  • VenueSelhurst Park
  • Table before kick-offCrystal Palace 5th · Liverpool 1st

Timeline

  1. I. Sarr 1–0
    9’
  2. I. KonatéYellow card · Foul
    26’
  3. Half time · 1–0
  4. ⇄ C. GakpoFor C. Bradley
    46’
  5. V. van DijkYellow card · Argument
    61’
  6. ⇄ W. HughesFor A. Wharton
    62’
  7. ⇄ C. JonesFor A. Mac Allister
    65’
  8. ⇄ J. LermaFor Yeremy Pino
    74’
  9. ⇄ F. ChiesaFor F. Wirtz
    74’
  10. ⇄ J. FrimpongFor I. Konaté
    74’
  11. ⇄ E. NketiahFor I. Sarr
    75’
  12. F. ChiesaYellow card · Foul
    77’
  13. E. NketiahYellow card · Foul
    78’
  14. ⇄ R. NgumohaFor A. Isak
    84’
  15. F. Chiesa 1–1
    87’
  16. E. Nketiah 2–1Assist A. Guéhi
    90’
  17. ⇄ J. DevennyFor Daichi Kamada
    90+1’
  18. Full time · 2–1

Team stats

Crystal Palace16 shots · 12 in box, 4 outside
Liverpool20 shots · 13 in box, 7 outside
Crystal PalaceLiverpool
28% Possession 72%
2.92 Expected goals (xG) 2.14
1.81 Expected points (xPts) 1.02
16 Shots 20
7 Shots on target 4
7 Shots off target 11
2 Blocked shots 5
12 Shots inside the box 13
4 Shots outside the box 7
270 Passes 688
65% Pass accuracy 89%
2 Corners 6
3 Goalkeeper saves 5
10 Fouls 8
2 Offsides 1
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
6.93 Team rating 6.79

Line-ups

Crystal Palace 3-4-2-1

16.9 D. Henderson(G)
67.2 A. Guéhi A 57.3 M. Lacroix 266.5 Chris Richards
36.9 T. Mitchell 186.9 Daichi Kamada ↓90’ 207.6 A. Wharton ↓62’ 26.3 D. Muñoz
107.2 Yeremy Pino ↓74’ 77.6 I. Sarr ↓75’
146.3 J. Mateta
  • 1D. Henderson (G)6.9
  • 6A. GuéhiA7.2
  • 5M. Lacroix7.3
  • 26Chris Richards6.5
  • 3T. Mitchell6.9
  • 18Daichi Kamada↓90’6.9
  • 20A. Wharton↓62’7.6
  • 2D. Muñoz6.3
  • 10Yeremy Pino↓74’7.2
  • 7I. Sarr↓75’7.6
  • 14J. Mateta6.3

Substitutes used

  • 19W. Hughes↑62’6.6
  • 8J. Lerma↑74’6.6
  • 9E. Nketiah↑75’7.3
  • 55J. Devenny↑90’6.7

Unused: R. Matthews, N. Clyne, B. Sosa, J. Canvot, C. Uche

Liverpool 4-2-3-1

18.0★ A. Becker(G)
65.9 M. Kerkez 47.5 V. van Dijk 57.2 I. Konaté ↓74’ 126.3 C. Bradley ↓46’
106.6 A. Mac Allister ↓65’ 387.7 R. Gravenberch
76.3 F. Wirtz ↓74’ 86.9 D. Szoboszlai 115.9 Mohamed Salah
96.2 A. Isak ↓84’
  • 1A. Becker (G) ★8.0
  • 6M. Kerkez5.9
  • 4V. van Dijk7.5
  • 5I. Konaté↓74’7.2
  • 12C. Bradley↓46’6.3
  • 10A. Mac Allister↓65’6.6
  • 38R. Gravenberch7.7
  • 7F. Wirtz↓74’6.3
  • 8D. Szoboszlai6.9
  • 11Mohamed Salah5.9
  • 9A. Isak↓84’6.2

Substitutes used

  • 14F. Chiesa↑74’7.3
  • 18C. Gakpo↑46’6.5
  • 30J. Frimpong↑74’6.3
  • 17C. Jones↑65’6.9
  • 73R. Ngumoha↑84’6.3

Unused: G. Mamardashvili, W. Endō, A. Robertson, J. Gomez

Player stats

Top rated
A. BeckerLiverpool8.0
2nd
R. GravenberchLiverpool7.7
3rd
A. WhartonCrystal Palace7.6

Crystal Palace

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
D. Henderson G 90 0 0 3 sv 0 29% 38 0 0 0/0 0/1 6.9
A. Guéhi D 90 0 1 0 (0) 1 90% 21 3 1 0/0 0/0 7.2
M. Lacroix D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 63% 27 5 1 0/0 0/1 7.3
Chris Richards D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 82% 22 3 3 0/0 0/0 6.5
T. Mitchell D 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 48% 23 5 3 0/0 0/1 6.9
Daichi Kamada M 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 75% 28 3 0 0/0 4/1 6.9
A. Wharton M 62 0 0 1 (0) 4 68% 22 1 0 3/3 0/0 7.6
D. Muñoz D 90 0 0 3 (2) 1 61% 18 2 1 0/1 0/0 6.3
Yeremy Pino M 74 0 0 1 (1) 1 68% 19 0 0 0/0 1/1 7.2
I. Sarr F 75 1 0 2 (1) 1 81% 16 0 0 0/0 0/0 7.6
J. Mateta F 90 0 0 4 (2) 1 64% 14 0 0 1/1 2/1 6.3
W. Hughes M 28 0 0 0 (0) 0 83% 6 0 0 2/2 1/0 6.6
J. Lerma M 16 0 0 1 (0) 0 91% 11 1 0 0/0 0/1 6.6
E. Nketiah F 15 1 0 2 (1) 1 50% 2 0 0 0/0 1/0 7.3
J. Devenny M 1 0 0 0 (0) 0 33% 3 1 0 0/0 1/0 6.7

Liverpool

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
A. Becker G 90 0 0 5 sv 0 86% 44 0 0 0/0 0/1 8.0
M. Kerkez D 90 0 0 1 (0) 1 86% 59 1 1 0/1 0/0 5.9
V. van Dijk D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 91% 105 1 1 0/0 1/2 7.5
I. Konaté D 74 0 0 1 (0) 1 97% 97 1 2 0/0 1/1 7.2
C. Bradley D 46 0 0 0 (0) 0 86% 49 1 1 1/3 0/1 6.3
A. Mac Allister M 65 0 0 0 (0) 1 88% 42 0 0 0/1 0/0 6.6
R. Gravenberch M 90 0 0 2 (1) 0 88% 77 1 2 1/1 0/4 7.7
F. Wirtz M 74 0 0 1 (1) 1 84% 44 0 0 2/4 1/0 6.3
D. Szoboszlai M 90 0 0 0 (0) 4 87% 67 0 2 1/1 1/0 6.9
Mohamed Salah F 90 0 0 2 (1) 2 88% 24 0 0 0/1 1/0 5.9
A. Isak F 84 0 0 3 (0) 0 60% 10 0 0 0/1 1/0 6.2
F. Chiesa F 16 1 0 2 (1) 0 43% 7 0 1 0/2 1/0 7.3
C. Gakpo F 44 0 0 2 (0) 1 100% 15 0 0 1/2 0/0 6.5
J. Frimpong D 16 0 0 0 (0) 0 80% 15 1 0 0/0 1/0 6.3
C. Jones M 25 0 0 1 (0) 1 94% 31 0 0 0/1 0/0 6.9
R. Ngumoha F 6 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 2 1 0 0/1 0/1 6.3

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.