Premier League Gameweek 6 Sun, Oct 11 2026 · 14:00 Selhurst Park, London
Crystal Palace
3–1 Full time · HT 2–1 xG 2.42 – 2.95
Nottingham Forest
  • Daichi Kamada 41’
  • J. Lerma 45+4’
  • Yeremy Pino 59’
  • 3’ D. Ndoye
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Crystal Palace come from behind to beat Nottingham Forest

Nottingham Forest led 1–0 after 3 minutes through a Ndoye goal. But Kamada, Lerma and Pino scored to turn it around for Crystal Palace, who won 3–1. Crystal Palace won despite the lower xG; Nottingham Forest created the better chances (2.95 vs 2.42). On the chances created, Nottingham Forest deserved more: 1.7 expected points against the 0 points they took.

Crystal Palace ✓38%
Draw25%
Nottingham Forest37%

Model vs reality

Crystal Palace goals
3
Model 1.48 · xG 2.42
Nottingham Forest goals
1
Model 1.45 · xG 2.95
Total goals
4
Model 2.93 · xG 5.37
Score 3–1
4%
Most likely 1–1 (12%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 56%
Both scored
Yes
Model 59%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchYeremy PinoCrystal Palace · 1 goal
8.1
  • RefereePeter Bankes
  • CoachesPierre Sage · Oliver Glasner
  • VenueSelhurst Park
  • Table before kick-offCrystal Palace 15th · Nottingham Forest 13th
  • Weather at kick-off15°C · Overcast · wind 9 km/h

Timeline

  1. D. Ndoye 0–1
    3’
  2. J. LermaYellow card · Foul
    16’
  3. Daichi Kamada 1–1Assist Q. Timber
    41’
  4. J. Lerma 2–1Assist A. Wharton
    45+4’
  5. Half time · 2–1
  6. Yeremy Pino 3–1
    59’
  7. Yeremy PinoYellow card
    60’
  8. ⇄ I. SangaréFor X. Schlager
    66’
  9. ⇄ C. Hudson-OdoiFor D. Ndoye
    72’
  10. ⇄ C. WoodFor L. Delap
    72’
  11. ⇄ H. AhanorFor J. Lerma
    72’
  12. T. AinaYellow card · Foul
    73’
  13. ⇄ I. SarrFor Yeremy Pino
    83’
  14. ⇄ E. NketiahFor J. Strand Larsen
    83’
  15. ⇄ A. KalimuendoFor T. Aina
    83’
  16. ⇄ D. McNeilFor Daichi Kamada
    90’
  17. MurilloYellow card · Foul
    90+4’
  18. Full time · 3–1

Team stats

Crystal Palace13 shots · 11 in box, 2 outside
Nottingham Forest24 shots · 17 in box, 7 outside
Crystal PalaceNottingham Forest
43% Possession 57%
2.42 Expected goals (xG) 2.95
1.15 Expected points (xPts) 1.68
13 Shots 24
7 Shots on target 6
4 Shots off target 10
2 Blocked shots 8
11 Shots inside the box 17
2 Shots outside the box 7
384 Passes 491
75% Pass accuracy 82%
5 Corners 8
4 Goalkeeper saves 4
11 Fouls 10
2 Offsides 1
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
6.89 Team rating 6.34

Line-ups

Crystal Palace 3-4-2-1

446.8 W. Benítez(G)
67.0 J. Canvot 267.0 Chris Richards 86.6 J. Lerma ↓72’
36.3 T. Mitchell 236.5 Q. Timber A 207.7 A. Wharton A 256.1 A. Khalaili
108.1★ Yeremy Pino ↓83’ 187.5 Daichi Kamada ↓90’
226.3 J. Strand Larsen ↓83’
  • 44W. Benítez (G)6.8
  • 6J. Canvot7.0
  • 26Chris Richards7.0
  • 8J. Lerma↓72’6.6
  • 3T. Mitchell6.3
  • 23Q. TimberA6.5
  • 20A. WhartonA7.7
  • 25A. Khalaili6.1
  • 10Yeremy Pino ★↓83’8.1
  • 18Daichi Kamada↓90’7.5
  • 22J. Strand Larsen↓83’6.3

Substitutes used

  • 7I. Sarr↑83’6.5
  • 11D. McNeil↑90’
  • 21H. Ahanor↑72’6.4
  • 9E. Nketiah↑83’6.4

Unused: W. Hughes, C. Doucouré, Óscar Mingueza, R. Matthews, E. Guessand

Coach: Pierre Sage

Nottingham Forest 3-4-2-1

266.4 M. Sels(G)
56.7 Murillo 26.6 O. Diomande 345.7 T. Aina ↓83’
37.0 N. Williams 245.7 J. McAtee 216.5 X. Schlager ↓66’ 276.0 D. Muñoz
146.7 D. Ndoye ↓72’ 106.6 M. Gibbs-White
196.0 L. Delap ↓72’
  • 26M. Sels (G)6.4
  • 5Murillo6.7
  • 2O. Diomande6.6
  • 34T. Aina↓83’5.7
  • 3N. Williams7.0
  • 24J. McAtee5.7
  • 21X. Schlager↓66’6.5
  • 27D. Muñoz6.0
  • 14D. Ndoye↓72’6.7
  • 10M. Gibbs-White6.6
  • 19L. Delap↓72’6.0

Substitutes used

  • 9C. Wood↑72’6.2
  • 7C. Hudson-Odoi↑72’6.3
  • 6I. Sangaré↑66’6.3
  • 15A. Kalimuendo↑83’5.9

Unused: John Victor, Jair, L. Netz, N. Domínguez, R. Yates

Coach: Oliver Glasner

Player stats

Top rated
Yeremy PinoCrystal Palace8.1
2nd
A. WhartonCrystal Palace7.7
3rd
Daichi KamadaCrystal Palace7.5

Crystal Palace

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
W. Benítez G 90 0 0 4 sv 0 52% 42 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.8
J. Canvot M 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 86% 37 3 1 0/1 0/0 7.0
Chris Richards D 90 0 0 1 (0) 1 85% 47 0 2 0/0 1/0 7.0
J. Lerma M 72 1 0 3 (2) 0 70% 43 1 0 0/0 3/0 6.6
T. Mitchell D 90 0 0 1 (1) 0 70% 23 7 1 0/0 0/1 6.3
Q. Timber M 90 0 1 1 (0) 1 66% 35 2 0 2/2 3/3 6.5
A. Wharton M 90 0 1 0 (0) 3 81% 52 2 0 0/0 0/1 7.7
A. Khalaili F 90 0 0 2 (0) 1 70% 27 1 0 0/1 1/0 6.1
Yeremy Pino M 83 1 0 1 (1) 3 86% 29 2 0 0/1 1/1 8.1
Daichi Kamada M 90 1 0 1 (1) 1 80% 25 2 1 0/0 1/0 7.5
J. Strand Larsen F 83 0 0 3 (2) 0 73% 15 1 0 0/0 0/2 6.3
I. Sarr F 7 0 0 0 (0) 0 67% 3 0 0 0/0 0/1 6.5
D. McNeil F 1 0 0 0 (0) 0 — 0 0 0 0/0 0/0 —
H. Ahanor D 18 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 5 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.4
E. Nketiah F 7 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 1 0 0 0/0 1/0 6.4

Nottingham Forest

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
M. Sels G 90 0 0 4 sv 1 77% 22 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.4
Murillo D 90 0 0 4 (2) 0 83% 59 3 2 0/0 1/0 6.7
O. Diomande D 90 0 0 1 (0) 1 95% 58 0 1 0/0 1/0 6.6
T. Aina D 83 0 0 1 (0) 0 83% 40 2 2 2/2 1/3 5.7
N. Williams D 90 0 0 3 (0) 1 89% 54 1 1 0/1 0/1 7.0
J. McAtee M 90 0 0 1 (0) 1 75% 55 0 3 0/0 0/0 5.7
X. Schlager M 66 0 0 3 (0) 1 86% 35 0 1 1/1 1/1 6.5
D. Muñoz D 90 0 0 1 (0) 2 76% 50 2 1 0/4 4/1 6.0
D. Ndoye F 72 1 0 4 (2) 1 79% 14 0 0 4/5 0/2 6.7
M. Gibbs-White M 90 0 0 2 (0) 3 76% 49 2 0 2/4 0/0 6.6
L. Delap F 72 0 0 2 (1) 1 38% 13 0 0 0/0 1/2 6.0
C. Wood F 18 0 0 1 (1) 0 0% 1 0 0 0/0 1/0 6.2
C. Hudson-Odoi F 18 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 10 0 0 1/2 0/0 6.3
I. Sangaré M 24 0 0 0 (0) 1 86% 28 0 0 0/0 0/1 6.3
A. Kalimuendo F 7 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 3 1 0 0/0 0/0 5.9

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.