Belgian Pro League Knockout phase Sun, Jan 18 2026 · 15:00 DENDER Football Complex, Denderleeuw
First leg2–1 1–0 Full time · HT 1–0 xG 1.17 – 0.54
  • R. Květ 32’
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Květ goal decides it for Dender

Antwerp entered as narrow favourites, but Dender won 1–0 through a Květ goal. Dender finished with the higher xG (1.17 vs 0.54). On the chances created, Antwerp deserved more: 0.8 expected points against the 0 points they took.

Dender ✓29%
Draw27%
Antwerp44%

Model vs reality

Dender goals
1
Model 1.14 · xG 1.17
Antwerp goals
0
Model 1.47 · xG 0.54
Total goals
1
Model 2.62 · xG 1.71
Score 1–0
8%
Most likely 1–1 (13%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 49%
Both scored
No
Model 53%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchM. ViltardDender
7.7
  • RefereeMichiel Allaerts
  • CoachesHayk Milkon · —
  • VenueDENDER Football Complex
  • Table before kick-offDender 16th · Antwerp 7th

Timeline

  1. R. Květ 1–0Assist B. Nsimba
    32’
  2. Half time · 1–0
  3. ⇄ A. ValenciaFor B. Kouyaté
    46’
  4. ⇄ D. FoulonFor C. Scott
    46’
  5. R. KvětYellow card
    56’
  6. ⇄ A. VerstraetenFor D. Praet
    59’
  7. ⇄ G. VandeplasFor M. Al Sahafi
    59’
  8. ⇄ N. Moutha-SebtaouiFor F. Ferraro
    75’
  9. ⇄ I. BabadiFor T. Somers
    83’
  10. ⇄ Mohamed BerteFor David Toševski
    83’
  11. ⇄ N. RôdesFor N. Mbamba
    90’
  12. ⇄ A. JahanbakhshFor B. Nsimba
    90’
  13. N. Moutha-SebtaouiYellow card
    90+7’
  14. Full time · 1–0

Team stats

Dender10 shots · 8 in box, 2 outside
Antwerp7 shots · 4 in box, 3 outside
DenderAntwerp
48% Possession 52%
1.17 Expected goals (xG) 0.54
1.86 Expected points (xPts) 0.83
10 Shots 7
1 Shots on target 0
4 Shots off target 4
5 Blocked shots 3
8 Shots inside the box 4
2 Shots outside the box 3
356 Passes 391
69% Pass accuracy 77%
2 Corners 5
13 Fouls 9
2 Offsides 1
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
7.14 Team rating 6.69

Line-ups

Dender 3-4-1-2

936.9 G. Gallon(G)
77.3 B. Goncalves 217.6 K. Cools 57.0 L. Marijnissen
887.3 F. Ferraro ↓75’ 247.7★ M. Viltard 177.0 N. Mbamba ↓90’ 706.6 M. Sambu
167.7 R. Květ
777.3 B. Nsimba A↓90’ 96.2 David Toševski ↓83’
  • 93G. Gallon (G)6.9
  • 7B. Goncalves7.3
  • 21K. Cools7.6
  • 5L. Marijnissen7.0
  • 88F. Ferraro↓75’7.3
  • 24M. Viltard ★7.7
  • 17N. Mbamba↓90’7.0
  • 70M. Sambu6.6
  • 16R. Květ7.7
  • 77B. NsimbaA↓90’7.3
  • 9David Toševski↓83’6.2

Substitutes used

  • 67N. Moutha-Sebtaoui↑75’6.6
  • 18N. Rôdes↑90’
  • 27A. Jahanbakhsh↑90’
  • 90Mohamed Berte↑83’6.5

Unused: L. Fortin, K. Kotoń, D. Acquah, J. Attah Kadiri, Amine Daali

Coach: Hayk Milkon

Antwerp 3-4-3

416.2 Taishi Brandon Nozawa(G)
47.3 Yuto Tsunashima 256.5 B. Kouyaté ↓46’ 337.3 Z. Van Den Bosch
306.3 C. Scott ↓46’ 786.3 Xander Dierickx 86.9 D. Praet ↓59’ 247.2 T. Somers ↓83’
96.2 M. Al Sahafi ↓59’ 186.2 V. Janssen 76.9 G. Kerk
  • 41Taishi Brandon Nozawa (G)6.2
  • 4Yuto Tsunashima7.3
  • 25B. Kouyaté↓46’6.5
  • 33Z. Van Den Bosch7.3
  • 30C. Scott↓46’6.3
  • 78Xander Dierickx6.3
  • 8D. Praet↓59’6.9
  • 24T. Somers↓83’7.2
  • 9M. Al Sahafi↓59’6.2
  • 18V. Janssen6.2
  • 7G. Kerk6.9

Substitutes used

  • 5D. Foulon↑46’6.6
  • 14A. Valencia↑46’6.9
  • 21A. Verstraeten↑59’6.9
  • 79G. Vandeplas↑59’6.2
  • 10I. Babadi↑83’6.7

Unused: Y. Thoelen, S. Renders, M. Oʻrinboyev

Player stats

Top rated
M. ViltardDender7.7
2nd
R. KvětDender7.7
3rd
K. CoolsDender7.6

Dender

Antwerp

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.