Belgian Pro League Knockout phase Sat, Dec 20 2025 · 15:00 DENDER Football Complex, Denderleeuw
First leg1–1 0–1 Full time · HT 0–1 xG 0.96 – 0.56
  • 1’ I. Hautekiet
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Hautekiet goal decides it for Standard Liege

Standard Liege won 1–0 through a Hautekiet goal. Standard Liege won despite the lower xG; Dender created the better chances (0.96 vs 0.56). On the chances created, Dender deserved more: 1.7 expected points against the 0 points they took.

Dender37%
Draw28%
Standard Liege ✓35%

Model vs reality

Dender goals
0
Model 1.31 · xG 0.96
Standard Liege goals
1
Model 1.28 · xG 0.56
Total goals
1
Model 2.59 · xG 1.52
Score 0–1
9%
Most likely 1–1 (13%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 48%
Both scored
No
Model 53%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchI. HautekietStandard Liege · 1 goal
7.9
  • RefereeNicolas Laforge
  • CoachesHayk Milkon · —
  • VenueDENDER Football Complex
  • Table before kick-offDender 16th · Standard Liege 7th

Timeline

  1. I. Hautekiet 0–1Assist T. Mohr
    1’
  2. M. ViltardYellow card
    31’
  3. L. MarijnissenYellow card
    39’
  4. Mohamed BerteYellow card
    44’
  5. Half time · 0–1
  6. ⇄ L. De FougerollesFor L. Marijnissen
    46’
  7. L. De FougerollesYellow card
    57’
  8. ⇄ L. KuavitaFor N. Mehssatou
    58’
  9. ⇄ K. KotońFor M. Viltard
    65’
  10. ⇄ R. KvětFor A. Jahanbakhsh
    65’
  11. ⇄ David ToševskiFor K. Cools
    73’
  12. ⇄ T. HenryFor T. Nkada
    77’
  13. ⇄ A. AbidFor D. Eckert Ayensa
    78’
  14. ⇄ D. HrnčárFor M. Sambu
    81’
  15. L. PirardYellow card
    84’
  16. Full time · 0–1

Team stats

Dender9 shots · 8 in box, 1 outside
Standard Liege8 shots · 4 in box, 4 outside
DenderStandard Liege
59% Possession 41%
0.96 Expected goals (xG) 0.56
1.67 Expected points (xPts) 0.98
9 Shots 8
4 Shots on target 4
3 Shots off target 4
2 Blocked shots 0
8 Shots inside the box 4
1 Shots outside the box 4
413 Passes 294
77% Pass accuracy 70%
5 Corners 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
17 Fouls 11
4 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
6.65 Team rating 6.96

Line-ups

Dender 3-5-2

306.9 G. Dietsch(G)
77.2 B. Goncalves 217.7 K. Cools ↓73’ 56.5 L. Marijnissen ↓46’
886.3 F. Ferraro 176.3 N. Mbamba 246.6 M. Viltard ↓65’ 276.3 A. Jahanbakhsh ↓65’ 706.6 M. Sambu ↓81’
906.0 Mohamed Berte 776.6 B. Nsimba
  • 30G. Dietsch (G)6.9
  • 7B. Goncalves7.2
  • 21K. Cools↓73’7.7
  • 5L. Marijnissen↓46’6.5
  • 88F. Ferraro6.3
  • 17N. Mbamba6.3
  • 24M. Viltard↓65’6.6
  • 27A. Jahanbakhsh↓65’6.3
  • 70M. Sambu↓81’6.6
  • 90Mohamed Berte6.0
  • 77B. Nsimba6.6

Substitutes used

  • 44L. De Fougerolles↑46’6.9
  • 16R. Květ↑65’6.9
  • 15K. Kotoń↑65’6.7
  • 9David Toševski↑73’6.3
  • 20D. Hrnčár↑81’6.3

Unused: L. Fortin, N. Moutha-Sebtaoui, N. Rôdes, J. Attah Kadiri

Coach: Hayk Milkon

Standard Liege 3-4-1-2

217.3 L. Pirard(G)
257.9★ I. Hautekiet 207.0 I. Karamoko 296.3 D. Dierckx
77.9 T. Mohr A 86.9 N. Mehssatou ↓58’ 237.5 M. Ilaimaharitra 186.3 H. Lawrence
946.9 C. Nielsen
106.2 D. Eckert Ayensa ↓78’ 596.3 T. Nkada ↓77’
  • 21L. Pirard (G)7.3
  • 25I. Hautekiet ★7.9
  • 20I. Karamoko7.0
  • 29D. Dierckx6.3
  • 7T. MohrA7.9
  • 8N. Mehssatou↓58’6.9
  • 23M. Ilaimaharitra7.5
  • 18H. Lawrence6.3
  • 94C. Nielsen6.9
  • 10D. Eckert Ayensa↓78’6.2
  • 59T. Nkada↓77’6.3

Substitutes used

  • 14L. Kuavita↑58’6.6
  • 11A. Abid↑78’6.5
  • 9T. Henry↑77’6.9

Unused: M. Godfroid, Steeven Assengue, B. Bolingoli-Mbombo, D. Bates, Charli Spoden, R. Mitongo

Player stats

Top rated
I. HautekietStandard Liege7.9
2nd
T. MohrStandard Liege7.9
3rd
K. CoolsDender7.7

Dender

Standard Liege

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.