Deportivo La Coruna vs Elche – 17 Aug 2026

La Liga Gameweek 1 Mon, Aug 17 · 20:00 Estadio Abanca-Riazor, La Coruña

Deportivo La Coruna

1–1Full time

Elche

Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →

Our take

Deportivo La Coruna were slight favourites.

The two sides are close in strength. Deportivo La Coruna had ? days of rest, Elche 86 and had to travel 861 km. Conditions were neutral.

Away travel861 kmRest days? · 86Matches / 14d0 · 0

Deportivo La Coruna43%

Draw26%

Elche31%

Expected goals 1.48 – 1.23

Deportivo La Coruna44%

Draw26%

Elche31%

Expected goals 1.49 – 1.20

Deportivo La Coruna43%

Draw26%

Elche31%

Expected goals 1.48 – 1.23

Deportivo La Coruna36%

Draw26%

Elche38%

Expected goals 1.32 – 1.37

Deportivo La Coruna43%

Draw26%

Elche31%

Expected goals 1.45 – 1.19

Over 2.5 51% Both score 54% Likeliest score 1–1

Rebuilt after the match from pre-match Elo. Real context is the full LOAD90 forecast; Strength only is Elo and home edge alone. How it works.

Weather (La Coruña)

23°CClear

Precipitation 0.0 mm
Wind 10 km/h
Humidity 76%

Referee · SpainFrancisco Hernandez Maeso

Cards per match 4.0
Penalties per match 0.35
Matches 37

Team strength

Deportivo La Coruna

Elche

42 L90 StrengthIn forecast 43

45 Current StrengthIn forecast 44

40 AttackIn forecast 39

57 DefenceIn forecast 51

— Form indexContext —

In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Deportivo La Coruna

Attack—

Defense risk—

Elche

Attack—

Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

Deportivo La Coruna

Elche

— Goals scoredVia Att/Def —

— Goals concededVia Att/Def —

— xGVia Att/Def —

— xG allowedVia Att/Def —

— Goals minus xGContext —

— Scored inContext —

— Clean sheetsContext —

— ShotsContext —

— Shots on targetVia Att/Def —

— On target shareContext —

— Shots in the boxContext —

— Box shareContext —

— ConversionContext —

— OffsidesContext —

— Shots allowedContext —

— On target allowedVia Att/Def —

— BlocksContext —

— Goalkeeper savesContext —

— Save rateContext —

— PossessionIn forecast —

— PassesContext —

— Accurate passesContext —

— Pass accuracyContext —

— Team ratingContext —

— FoulsContext —

— Fouls sufferedContext —

— Yellow cardsContext —

— Red cardsContext —

This league season, per match

1.60 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.30

0.80 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.20

1.17 xGVia Att/Def 0.96

1.29 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.19

+0.43 Goals minus xGContext +0.34

100% Scored inContext 90%

30% Clean sheetsContext 20%

13.00 ShotsContext 9.80

4.80 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 3.50

37% On target shareContext 36%

9.10 Shots in the boxContext 7.56

70% Box shareContext 71%

12% ConversionContext 13%

2.57 OffsidesContext 2.14

11.20 Shots allowedContext 11.80

3.00 On target allowedVia Att/Def 5.11

3.90 BlocksContext 3.00

2.75 Goalkeeper savesContext 3.44

82% Save rateContext 67%

49% PossessionIn forecast 55%

423 PassesContext 427

361 Accurate passesContext 358

85% Pass accuracyContext 84%

6.99 Team ratingContext 6.92

13.30 FoulsContext 13.60

13.20 Fouls sufferedContext 15.00

2.10 Yellow cardsContext 2.30

0.00 Red cardsContext 0.20

Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games

In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Deportivo La Coruna

Rest—since last match

Matches / 14d0all competitions

Travel0 km0 km in 14d

Schedule load0%Low

No finished matches with a forecast yet.

Elche

Rest86 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d0all competitions

Travel861 km0 km in 14d

Schedule load12%Low

No finished matches with a forecast yet.

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery

	Deportivo La Coruna	Elche
Schedule loaddescriptive index, context	Low · 0	Low · 12
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast	No	No
Rest dayssince last match	—	86La Liga 2025-2026, 23 May
Travel to venuefrom home stadium	0 km	861 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways	0 km	0 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days	0 / 0 / 0	0 / 0 / 0
Next matchdays after this one	7	6

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

Deportivo La Coruna Confirmed XI

4-2-3-1

13Leo Román(G)

12G. Quagliata 22B. Ede 4L. Noubi 23Ximo Navarro

16L. Amatucci 21Mario Soriano

18J. Asp Jensen 32B. Nsongo 2Adrià Alti

7P. Aubameyang

Elche Confirmed XI

5-4-1

1M. Dituro(G)

11Germán Valera 23Víctor Chust 5F. Redondo 22D. Affengruber 2Buba Sangaré

29Ali Houary 8Marc Aguado 16Martim Neto 12Gonzalo Villar

14Fer Niño

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences

Deportivo La Coruna Absences are shown before kick-off

Elche Absences are shown before kick-off

Total impact vs full squads

Deportivo La Coruna+0.0 pp
Draw+0.0 pp
Elche+0.0 pp

Home / Away this season

Deportivo La Coruna · Home No home games yet this season.

Elche · Away No away games yet this season.

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Head to head

No earlier meetings in our data.

Goals & match trends

	Deportivo La Coruna	Elche	Forecast
Scored per game	—	—
Conceded per game	—	—
Match goals	—	—	2.70
Over 1.5	—	—
Over 2.5	—	—	51%
Over 3.5	—	—
Both teams scored	—	—	54%
Clean sheets	—	—
Failed to score	—	—
Games	0	0

	Deportivo La Coruna	Elche	Forecast
Scored per game	—	1.30
Conceded per game	—	1.20
Match goals	—	2.50	2.70
Over 1.5	—	70%
Over 2.5	—	50%	51%
Over 3.5	—	20%
Both teams scored	—	70%	54%
Clean sheets	—	20%
Failed to score	—	10%
Games	0	10

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

	Deportivo La Coruna	Elche	League
Corners
Corners won	—	—
Corners conceded	—	—
Match total	—	—	9.00
Over 8.5	—	—
Over 9.5	—	—
Over 10.5	—	—
Cards
Cards	—	—
Opponent cards	—	—
Match total	—	—	7.67
Over 3.5	—	—
Over 4.5	—	—

	Deportivo La Coruna	Elche	League
Corners
Corners won	5.00	3.89
Corners conceded	5.20	5.00
Match total	10.20	8.89	9.00
Over 8.5	70% 7/10	44% 4/9
Over 9.5	60% 6/10	44% 4/9
Over 10.5	40% 4/10	33% 3/9
Cards
Cards	2.10	2.60
Opponent cards	2.90	2.50
Match total	5.00	5.10	7.67
Over 3.5	80% 8/10	70% 7/10
Over 4.5	70% 7/10	50% 5/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.

Referee · Francisco Hernandez Maeso Spain · 37 matches before this one

Per match, all competitions

Yellow cards3.86league 6.00

Red cards0.11league 0.50

Cards 5+41%league 75%

Fouls24.0league 29.3

Penalties0.35league 0.75

Home wins46%league 75%

Deportivo La Coruna

No previous matches with this referee.

Elche2 with this referee

Record1-1-0 Cards · opp.3.0 · 0.5 Pens for · against0 · 0 Reds1

W11 Apr 26H · Valencia1–01
D23 Nov 25H · Real Madrid2–25

From eScored match records before this kick-off. "league" is this league season's average; red is notably above it, green below. Cards · opp. is cards shown to the club and to its opponents per match with this referee. Context only: referees are not part of the forecast.