Dinamo Zagreb
Attack—
Defense risk—
Our take
Real Betis were slight favourites.
Real Betis were the stronger side on L90 Strength (69 vs 50). Dinamo Zagreb had 14 days of rest, Real Betis 5 and had to travel 2,043 km.
Away travel2,043 kmRest days14 · 5Matches / 14d1 · 3
Dinamo Zagreb33%
Draw26%
Real Betis41%
Dinamo Zagreb33%
Draw27%
Real Betis40%
Dinamo Zagreb33%
Draw27%
Real Betis41%
Dinamo Zagreb26%
Draw25%
Real Betis49%
Dinamo Zagreb32%
Draw27%
Real Betis41%
Over 2.5 53%
Both score 57%
Likeliest score 1–1
Rebuilt after the match from pre-match Elo. Real context is the full LOAD90 forecast; Strength only is Elo and home edge alone. How it works.
Weather (Zagreb)
No weather data yet
RefereeGoga Kikacheishvili
- Cards per match 4.8
- Penalties per match 0.46
- Matches 13
Team strength
Dinamo Zagreb
Real Betis
50
L90 StrengthIn forecast
69
43
Current StrengthIn forecast
72
33
AttackIn forecast
79
44
DefenceIn forecast
59
—
Form indexContext
—
In forecastContext
L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.
Match Opportunity
Full analysisReal Betis
Attack—
Defense risk—
Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.
Playing style
Dinamo ZagrebReal Betis
1.40
Goals scoredVia Att/Def
1.60
2.00
Goals concededVia Att/Def
0.60
0.88
xGVia Att/Def
0.88
1.10
xG allowedVia Att/Def
0.96
+0.52
Goals minus xGContext
+0.72
60%
Scored inContext
80%
0%
Clean sheetsContext
60%
9.60
ShotsContext
10.60
4.25
Shots on targetVia Att/Def
4.40
35%
On target shareContext
42%
7.75
Shots in the boxContext
5.60
67%
Box shareContext
52%
15%
ConversionContext
15%
1.60
OffsidesContext
2.67
9.40
Shots allowedContext
9.80
4.20
On target allowedVia Att/Def
2.80
1.80
BlocksContext
3.00
2.40
Goalkeeper savesContext
2.20
57%
Save rateContext
79%
53%
PossessionIn forecast
52%
503
PassesContext
485
433
Accurate passesContext
422
86%
Pass accuracyContext
87%
6.73
Team ratingContext
6.91
7.60
FoulsContext
12.80
8.60
Fouls sufferedContext
11.60
1.20
Yellow cardsContext
2.40
0.00
Red cardsContext
0.00
1.30
Goals scoredVia Att/Def
1.60
1.80
Goals concededVia Att/Def
1.20
0.80
xGVia Att/Def
1.50
1.28
xG allowedVia Att/Def
0.90
+0.50
Goals minus xGContext
+0.10
50%
Scored inContext
80%
10%
Clean sheetsContext
40%
9.40
ShotsContext
13.90
3.75
Shots on targetVia Att/Def
5.00
32%
On target shareContext
36%
6.11
Shots in the boxContext
8.60
57%
Box shareContext
63%
14%
ConversionContext
12%
2.00
OffsidesContext
2.13
12.10
Shots allowedContext
10.00
4.40
On target allowedVia Att/Def
3.40
2.90
BlocksContext
2.63
2.50
Goalkeeper savesContext
2.20
57%
Save rateContext
65%
44%
PossessionIn forecast
51%
409
PassesContext
477
341
Accurate passesContext
405
83%
Pass accuracyContext
85%
6.80
Team ratingContext
6.87
9.00
FoulsContext
12.00
9.40
Fouls sufferedContext
11.20
1.80
Yellow cardsContext
2.30
0.00
Red cardsContext
0.10
In forecastVia Att/DefContext
In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.
Recent performance last 5 · schedule
Dinamo Zagreb
Rest14 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d1all competitions
Travel0 km2,174 km in 14d
Schedule load5%Low
Real Betis
Rest5 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d3all competitions
Travel2,043 km0 km in 14d
Schedule load35%Moderate
Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.
Full schedule & recovery
| Dinamo Zagreb |
Real Betis |
|
|---|---|---|
| Schedule loaddescriptive index, context | Low · 5 | Moderate · 35 |
| High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast | No | No |
| Rest dayssince last match | 14UEFA Europa League 2025-2026 - League phase, 27 Nov | 5La Liga 2025-2026, 6 Dec |
| Travel to venuefrom home stadium | 0 km | 2,043 km |
| Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways | 2,174 km | 0 km |
| Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days | 0 / 1 / 1 | 1 / 3 / 4 |
| Next matchdays after this one | 42.1 | 4.1 |
All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.
Squad & lineups
Dinamo Zagreb
Confirmed XI
44I. Filipović(G)
3B. Goda
26S. McKenna
36Sergi Domínguez
35N. Mikić
14M. Soldo
27J. Mišić
77D. Ljubičić
11A. Hoxha
9D. Beljo
30F. Topić
Real Betis
Confirmed XI
1Álvaro Vallés(G)
16Valentín Gómez
4Natan
3Diego Llorente
40Ángel Ortiz
6Sergi Altimira
18Nelson Alexander Deossa Suarez
10A. Ezzalzouli
17Rodrigo Riquelme
7Antony
11C. Bakambu
Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.
Key absences Dinamo Zagreb
Scores -0.02 · concedes +0.03 goals Absences are shown before kick-off
Real Betis
Scores 0.00 · concedes +0.03 goals Absences are shown before kick-off
Total impact vs full squads
- Dinamo Zagreb-0.2 pp
- Draw-0.2 pp
- Real Betis+0.4 pp
Home / Away this season
Dinamo Zagreb · Home
1.50points per game · 2 home games
- W-D-L
- 1-0-1
- Scored
- 1.50
- Conceded
- 2.00
Real Betis · Away
2.00points per game · 2 away games
- W-D-L
- 1-1-0
- Scored
- 1.00
- Conceded
- 0.00
Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.
Head to head
No earlier meetings in our data.
Goals & match trends
| Dinamo Zagreb | Real Betis | Forecast | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scored per game | 1.40 | 1.60 | |
| Conceded per game | 2.00 | 0.60 | |
| Match goals | 3.40 | 2.20 | 2.80 |
| Over 1.5 | 100% | 80% | |
| Over 2.5 | 80% | 40% | 53% |
| Over 3.5 | 60% | 20% | |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 40% | 57% |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 60% | |
| Failed to score | 40% | 20% | |
| Games | 5 | 5 |
| Dinamo Zagreb | Real Betis | Forecast | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scored per game | 1.40 | 1.60 | |
| Conceded per game | 2.00 | 1.20 | |
| Match goals | 3.40 | 2.80 | 2.80 |
| Over 1.5 | 100% | 90% | |
| Over 2.5 | 80% | 40% | 53% |
| Over 3.5 | 60% | 20% | |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 50% | 57% |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 40% | |
| Failed to score | 40% | 20% | |
| Games | 5 | 10 |
Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.
Corners & cards
| Dinamo Zagreb | Real Betis | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | |||
| Corners won | 4.40 | 2.60 | |
| Corners conceded | 4.00 | 3.40 | |
| Match total | 8.40 | 6.00 | 9.04 |
| Over 8.5 | 40% 2/5 | 20% 1/5 | |
| Over 9.5 | 40% 2/5 | 0% 0/5 | |
| Over 10.5 | 40% 2/5 | 0% 0/5 | |
| Cards | |||
| Cards | 1.20 | 2.40 | |
| Opponent cards | 1.40 | 1.60 | |
| Match total | 2.60 | 4.00 | 4.29 |
| Over 3.5 | 20% 1/5 | 80% 4/5 | |
| Over 4.5 | 20% 1/5 | 40% 2/5 | |
| Dinamo Zagreb | Real Betis | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | |||
| Corners won | 4.00 | 3.33 | |
| Corners conceded | 6.40 | 4.67 | |
| Match total | 10.40 | 8.00 | 9.04 |
| Over 8.5 | 70% 7/10 | 44% 4/9 | |
| Over 9.5 | 60% 6/10 | 33% 3/9 | |
| Over 10.5 | 60% 6/10 | 11% 1/9 | |
| Cards | |||
| Cards | 1.80 | 2.40 | |
| Opponent cards | 1.90 | 2.20 | |
| Match total | 3.70 | 4.60 | 4.29 |
| Over 3.5 | 60% 6/10 | 60% 6/10 | |
| Over 4.5 | 30% 3/10 | 50% 5/10 | |
Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.
Referee · Goga Kikacheishvili 13 matches before this one
Per match, all competitions
Yellow cards4.62league 4.11
Red cards0.15league 0.19
Cards 5+62%league 43%
Fouls22.4league 24.6
Penalties0.46league 0.38
Home wins62%league 51%
Dinamo ZagrebNo previous matches with this referee.
Real BetisNo previous matches with this referee.
From eScored match records before this kick-off. "league" is this league season's average; red is notably above it, green below. Cards · opp. is cards shown to the club and to its opponents per match with this referee. Context only: referees are not part of the forecast.
Goal timing
Dinamo Zagreb5 games · scored 7 · conceded 10
2
0-15
3
3
16-30
3
31-45
1
46-60
1
1
61-75
2
1
76-90
Real Betis5 games · scored 8 · conceded 3
1
0-15
1
2
16-30
3
31-45
2
1
46-60
61-75
1
76-90
Dinamo Zagreb10 games · scored 13 · conceded 18
1
4
0-15
5
3
16-30
4
31-45
3
2
46-60
2
2
61-75
2
3
76-90
Real Betis10 games · scored 16 · conceded 12
2
3
0-15
1
1
16-30
4
4
31-45
2
2
46-60
4
1
61-75
3
1
76-90
scored conceded, by 15-minute band (stoppage time counts to the band before it). Only games with a complete goal log.
Scenario lab Beta
Numbers are home · draw · away chances. Pick a scenario to update the forecast at the top of the page.
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