UEFA Europa League Matchday 6 Thu, Dec 11 2025 · 17:45 Stadion Galgenwaard, Utrecht
1–2 Full time · HT 0–0 xG 0.62 – 1.37
  • M. van der Hoorn 73’
  • 52’ A. Kalimuendo
  • 88’ Igor Jesus
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Jesus’s late goal settles it for Nottingham Forest

Nottingham Forest entered as narrow favourites and won 2–1 through goals from Kalimuendo and Jesus. Utrecht replied through a Hoorn goal. Nottingham Forest finished with the higher xG (1.37 vs 0.62). On the chances created, Utrecht deserved more: 0.8 expected points against the 0 points they took.

Utrecht33%
Draw27%
Nottingham Forest ✓41%

Model vs reality

Utrecht goals
1
Model 1.29 · xG 0.62
Nottingham Forest goals
2
Model 1.47 · xG 1.37
Total goals
3
Model 2.77 · xG 1.99
Score 1–2
9%
Most likely 1–1 (13%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 52%
Both scored
Yes
Model 57%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchC. Hudson-OdoiNottingham Forest
8.0
  • RefereeIrfan Peljto
  • VenueStadion Galgenwaard
  • Table before kick-offUtrecht 32nd · Nottingham Forest 16th

Timeline

  1. Half time · 0–0
  2. ⇄ E. AndersonFor Douglas Luiz
    46’
  3. ⇄ I. SangaréFor J. McAtee
    46’
  4. Miguel RodríguezYellow card · Unsportsmanlike conduct
    47’
  5. A. Kalimuendo 0–1
    52’
  6. ⇄ M. van der HoornFor M. Didden
    63’
  7. E. AndersonYellow card · Roughing
    65’
  8. ⇄ N. MilenkovićFor Murillo
    69’
  9. M. van der Hoorn 1–1Assist S. El Karouani
    73’
  10. ⇄ M. Gibbs-WhiteFor N. Domínguez
    78’
  11. ⇄ A. BlakeFor Y. Cathline
    79’
  12. ⇄ N. ViergeverFor M. Eerdhuijzen
    80’
  13. ⇄ Igor JesusFor A. Kalimuendo
    87’
  14. Igor Jesus 1–2
    88’
  15. Igor JesusYellow card · Unsportsmanlike conduct
    89’
  16. A. EngwandaYellow card
    90’
  17. ⇄ M. JonathansFor Miguel Rodríguez
    90+2’
  18. Full time · 1–2

Team stats

Utrecht9 shots · 5 in box, 4 outside
Nottingham Forest18 shots · 11 in box, 7 outside
UtrechtNottingham Forest
44% Possession 56%
0.62 Expected goals (xG) 1.37
0.79 Expected points (xPts) 1.93
9 Shots 18
3 Shots on target 10
3 Shots off target 7
3 Blocked shots 1
5 Shots inside the box 11
4 Shots outside the box 7
347 Passes 465
85% Pass accuracy 87%
6 Corners 5
7 Goalkeeper saves 2
13 Fouls 13
2 Offsides 0
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
6.67 Team rating 6.73

Line-ups

Utrecht 4-3-3

16.6 V. Barkas(G)
167.2 S. El Karouani A 447.6 M. Eerdhuijzen ↓80’ 406.6 M. Didden ↓63’ 26.0 S. Horemans
216.6 G. Zechiël 276.9 A. Engwanda 206.5 D. de Wit
107.0 Y. Cathline ↓79’ 916.3 S. Haller 226.0 Miguel Rodríguez ↓90’
  • 1V. Barkas (G)6.6
  • 16S. El KarouaniA7.2
  • 44M. Eerdhuijzen↓80’7.6
  • 40M. Didden↓63’6.6
  • 2S. Horemans6.0
  • 21G. Zechiël6.6
  • 27A. Engwanda6.9
  • 20D. de Wit6.5
  • 10Y. Cathline↓79’7.0
  • 91S. Haller6.3
  • 22Miguel Rodríguez↓90’6.0

Substitutes used

  • 3M. van der Hoorn↑63’7.5
  • 24N. Viergever↑80’6.2
  • 15A. Blake↑79’6.3
  • 26M. Jonathans↑90’

Unused: Justin Eversen, M. Brouwer, K. Finnsson, J. van Ommeren, Rafik El Arguioui, C. Bozdoğan, Z. Iqbal

Nottingham Forest 4-3-3

136.3 John Victor(G)
356.5 O. Zinchenko 57.2 Murillo ↓69’ 46.9 Morato 446.3 Z. Abbott
166.7 N. Domínguez ↓78’ 127.3 Douglas Luiz ↓46’ 246.3 J. McAtee ↓46’
78.0★ C. Hudson-Odoi 156.9 A. Kalimuendo ↓87’ 145.9 D. Ndoye
  • 13John Victor (G)6.3
  • 35O. Zinchenko6.5
  • 5Murillo↓69’7.2
  • 4Morato6.9
  • 44Z. Abbott6.3
  • 16N. Domínguez↓78’6.7
  • 12Douglas Luiz↓46’7.3
  • 24J. McAtee↓46’6.3
  • 7C. Hudson-Odoi ★8.0
  • 15A. Kalimuendo↓87’6.9
  • 14D. Ndoye5.9

Substitutes used

  • 6I. Sangaré↑46’6.6
  • 8E. Anderson↑46’6.9
  • 31N. Milenković↑69’6.3
  • 10M. Gibbs-White↑78’6.3
  • 19Igor Jesus↑87’6.9

Unused: A. Bott, Keehan Willows, W. Boly, N. Williams, N. Savona, D. Bakwa

Player stats

Top rated
C. Hudson-OdoiNottingham Forest8.0
2nd
M. EerdhuijzenUtrecht7.6
3rd
M. van der HoornUtrecht7.5

Utrecht

Nottingham Forest

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.