La Liga Gameweek 31 Sat, Apr 11 2026 · 15:15 Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero, Elche
Elche
1–0 Full time · HT 0–0 xG 0.57 – 2.33
Valencia
  • Lucas Cepeda 73’
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Cepeda goal decides it for Elche

Valencia entered as narrow favourites, but Elche won 1–0 through a Cepeda goal. Elche won despite the lower xG; Valencia created the better chances (2.33 vs 0.57). On the chances created, Valencia deserved more: 2.5 expected points against the 0 points they took.

Elche ✓34%
Draw28%
Valencia38%

Model vs reality

Elche goals
1
Model 1.23 · xG 0.57
Valencia goals
0
Model 1.33 · xG 2.33
Total goals
1
Model 2.57 · xG 2.90
Score 1–0
9%
Most likely 1–1 (13%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 47%
Both scored
No
Model 53%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchLuis RiojaValencia
8.3
  • RefereeFrancisco Hernandez Maeso
  • VenueEstadio Manuel Martínez Valero
  • Table before kick-offElche 18th · Valencia 14th

Timeline

  1. Half time · 0–0
  2. Buba SangaréYellow card · Holding
    59’
  3. ⇄ Hugo DuroFor U. Sadiq
    61’
  4. ⇄ Diego LópezFor Luis Rioja
    61’
  5. G. RodríguezYellow card · Foul
    63’
  6. ⇄ Á. RodríguezFor André Silva
    64’
  7. ⇄ John NwankwoFor Buba Sangaré
    64’
  8. ⇄ Lucas CepedaFor Martim Neto
    72’
  9. ⇄ Adrià PedrosaFor Gonzalo Villar
    72’
  10. Lucas Cepeda 1–0Assist Aleix Febas
    73’
  11. ⇄ PepeluFor E. Cömert
    75’
  12. ⇄ Jesús VázquezFor José Gayà
    75’
  13. ⇄ A. DanjumaFor L. Beltrán
    81’
  14. ⇄ Víctor ChustFor Germán Valera
    82’
  15. Full time · 1–0

Team stats

Elche7 shots · 6 in box, 1 outside
Valencia22 shots · 16 in box, 6 outside
ElcheValencia
58% Possession 42%
0.57 Expected goals (xG) 2.33
0.38 Expected points (xPts) 2.47
7 Shots 22
2 Shots on target 8
4 Shots off target 7
1 Blocked shots 7
6 Shots inside the box 16
1 Shots outside the box 6
430 Passes 293
84% Pass accuracy 86%
5 Corners 9
7 Goalkeeper saves 2
14 Fouls 18
4 Offsides 3
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
7.14 Team rating 6.70

Line-ups

Elche 3-4-1-2

17.9 M. Dituro(G)
217.2 L. Pétrot 227.5 D. Affengruber 426.5 Buba Sangaré ↓64’
116.9 Germán Valera ↓82’ 127.2 Gonzalo Villar ↓72’ 147.9 Aleix Febas A 156.9 Tete Morente
166.9 Martim Neto ↓72’
96.5 André Silva ↓64’ 107.0 Rafa Mir
  • 1M. Dituro (G)7.9
  • 21L. Pétrot7.2
  • 22D. Affengruber7.5
  • 42Buba Sangaré↓64’6.5
  • 11Germán Valera↓82’6.9
  • 12Gonzalo Villar↓72’7.2
  • 14Aleix FebasA7.9
  • 15Tete Morente6.9
  • 16Martim Neto↓72’6.9
  • 9André Silva↓64’6.5
  • 10Rafa Mir7.0

Substitutes used

  • 23Víctor Chust↑82’6.2
  • 24Lucas Cepeda↑72’8.2
  • 20Á. Rodríguez↑64’6.9
  • 3Adrià Pedrosa↑72’6.7
  • 18John Nwankwo↑64’6.3

Unused: F. Redondo, A. Iturbe Encabo, Iñaki Peña, Josan, David Delgado

Valencia 4-4-2

17.2 S. Dimitrievski(G)
146.7 José Gayà ↓75’ 246.2 E. Cömert ↓75’ 56.9 César Tárrega 126.3 Thierry Correia
176.9 L. Ramazani 236.6 F. Ugrinic 26.3 G. Rodríguez 118.3★ Luis Rioja ↓61’
66.3 U. Sadiq ↓61’ 156.3 L. Beltrán ↓81’
  • 1S. Dimitrievski (G)7.2
  • 14José Gayà↓75’6.7
  • 24E. Cömert↓75’6.2
  • 5César Tárrega6.9
  • 12Thierry Correia6.3
  • 17L. Ramazani6.9
  • 23F. Ugrinic6.6
  • 2G. Rodríguez6.3
  • 11Luis Rioja ★↓61’8.3
  • 6U. Sadiq↓61’6.3
  • 15L. Beltrán↓81’6.3

Substitutes used

  • 9Hugo Duro↑61’6.5
  • 16Diego López↑61’6.7
  • 7A. Danjuma↑81’6.7
  • 21Jesús Vázquez↑75’6.6
  • 18Pepelu↑75’6.7

Unused: Javi Guerra, R. Saravia, André Almeida, Dani Raba, B. Santamaría, Cristian Rivero, Rubén Iranzo

Player stats

Top rated
Luis RiojaValencia8.3
2nd
M. DituroElche7.9
3rd
Aleix FebasElche7.9

Elche

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
M. Dituro G 90 0 0 7 sv 0 70% 40 0 0 0/0 0/0 7.9
L. Pétrot D 90 0 0 1 (0) 0 95% 55 2 2 1/1 2/0 7.2
D. Affengruber D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 86% 72 1 2 0/0 0/2 7.5
Buba Sangaré D 64 0 0 0 (0) 0 80% 50 1 0 1/1 5/0 6.5
Germán Valera F 82 0 0 1 (0) 1 96% 25 0 1 0/2 0/3 6.9
Gonzalo Villar M 72 0 0 0 (0) 0 93% 43 4 0 0/1 1/0 7.2
Aleix Febas M 90 0 1 0 (0) 1 90% 52 7 1 2/2 2/3 7.9
Tete Morente F 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 78% 23 1 1 0/4 0/2 6.9
Martim Neto M 72 0 0 0 (0) 2 86% 28 2 0 0/0 2/1 6.9
André Silva F 64 0 0 1 (0) 0 80% 10 1 0 0/0 1/2 6.5
Rafa Mir F 90 0 0 2 (1) 0 69% 13 1 0 0/0 0/1 7.0
Víctor Chust D 8 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 1 0 0 0/0 1/0 6.2
Lucas Cepeda F 18 1 0 1 (1) 1 83% 6 1 0 1/2 0/1 8.2
Á. Rodríguez F 26 0 0 0 (0) 0 40% 5 1 0 0/0 0/0 6.9
Adrià Pedrosa D 18 0 0 0 (0) 0 33% 3 0 0 0/0 0/1 6.7
John Nwankwo D 26 0 0 0 (0) 0 50% 4 0 1 0/0 0/0 6.3

Valencia

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
S. Dimitrievski G 90 0 0 2 sv 0 64% 33 1 0 0/0 0/1 7.2
José Gayà D 75 0 0 1 (1) 0 100% 15 2 1 0/0 3/0 6.7
E. Cömert D 75 0 0 1 (0) 1 94% 32 0 2 0/0 1/1 6.2
César Tárrega D 90 0 0 1 (0) 0 92% 26 1 2 0/0 2/1 6.9
Thierry Correia D 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 92% 26 1 0 0/0 5/1 6.3
L. Ramazani F 90 0 0 4 (4) 1 88% 17 2 0 4/8 1/3 6.9
F. Ugrinic M 90 0 0 1 (0) 2 81% 32 1 1 2/4 3/0 6.6
G. Rodríguez M 90 0 0 0 (0) 2 95% 42 0 1 0/1 2/0 6.3
Luis Rioja F 61 0 0 0 (0) 2 86% 14 4 0 2/3 0/1 8.3
U. Sadiq F 61 0 0 1 (0) 1 75% 8 2 0 0/1 1/2 6.3
L. Beltrán F 81 0 0 2 (1) 1 85% 13 1 0 0/0 0/3 6.3
Hugo Duro F 29 0 0 2 (0) 0 63% 8 0 0 0/0 0/1 6.5
Diego López F 29 0 0 2 (2) 1 100% 8 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.7
A. Danjuma F 9 0 0 0 (0) 2 50% 2 0 0 0/1 0/0 6.7
Jesús Vázquez D 15 0 0 0 (0) 2 71% 7 1 0 1/2 0/0 6.6
Pepelu M 15 0 0 0 (0) 0 80% 10 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.7

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.