Espanyol vs Girona – 16 Jan 2026

La Liga Gameweek 20 Fri, Jan 16 · 20:00 RCDE Stadium, Cornella de Llobregat

Espanyol 5th · 34 pts · 19 played WWWLD

0–2Full time

Girona 13th · 21 pts · 19 played LWLWW

Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →

Our take

Espanyol were slight favourites.

Espanyol were the stronger side on L90 Strength (57 vs 42). Espanyol had 5.2 days of rest, Girona 6.1 and had to travel 94 km.

Away travel94 kmRest days5.2 · 6.1Matches / 14d2 · 2

Espanyol51%

Draw27%

Girona23%

Expected goals 1.55 – 0.95

Espanyol53%

Draw25%

Girona22%

Expected goals 1.72 – 1.04

Espanyol51%

Draw27%

Girona23%

Expected goals 1.55 – 0.95

Espanyol43%

Draw28%

Girona28%

Expected goals 1.38 – 1.07

Espanyol53%

Draw25%

Girona22%

Expected goals 1.72 – 1.04

Over 2.5 46% Both score 49% Likeliest score 1–1

Rebuilt after the match from pre-match Elo. Real context is the full LOAD90 forecast; Strength only is Elo and home edge alone. How it works.

Weather (Cornella de Llobregat)

No weather data yet

Referee · SpainIosu Galech Apezteguia

Cards per match 4.9
Penalties per match 0.20
Matches 10

Team strength

Espanyol

Girona

57 L90 StrengthIn forecast 42

44 Current StrengthIn forecast 45

36 AttackIn forecast 49

51 DefenceIn forecast 64

— Form indexContext —

In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Espanyol

Attack—

Defense risk—

Girona

Attack—

Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

Espanyol

Girona

1.21 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 0.95

1.05 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.79

1.39 xGVia Att/Def 1.01

1.10 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.67

-0.18 Goals minus xGContext -0.06

79% Scored inContext 68%

37% Clean sheetsContext 16%

12.68 ShotsContext 9.21

4.42 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 3.53

35% On target shareContext 38%

8.32 Shots in the boxContext 5.89

66% Box shareContext 64%

10% ConversionContext 10%

2.15 OffsidesContext 2.50

12.32 Shots allowedContext 15.58

4.16 On target allowedVia Att/Def 5.17

3.79 BlocksContext 3.47

3.33 Goalkeeper savesContext 3.50

78% Save rateContext 68%

41% PossessionIn forecast 48%

341 PassesContext 431

270 Accurate passesContext 365

79% Pass accuracyContext 85%

6.84 Team ratingContext 6.75

13.26 FoulsContext 10.58

12.05 Fouls sufferedContext 14.47

1.74 Yellow cardsContext 2.00

0.05 Red cardsContext 0.16

This league season, per match · 19 and 19 games

1.00 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.20

0.90 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.50

1.02 xGVia Att/Def 1.14

1.04 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.44

-0.02 Goals minus xGContext +0.06

80% Scored inContext 80%

40% Clean sheetsContext 20%

12.10 ShotsContext 9.50

4.00 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 3.60

33% On target shareContext 38%

8.20 Shots in the boxContext 5.90

68% Box shareContext 62%

8% ConversionContext 13%

2.29 OffsidesContext 2.25

11.70 Shots allowedContext 13.40

3.80 On target allowedVia Att/Def 4.56

3.90 BlocksContext 2.90

3.00 Goalkeeper savesContext 3.11

79% Save rateContext 68%

40% PossessionIn forecast 51%

328 PassesContext 468

254 Accurate passesContext 401

78% Pass accuracyContext 86%

6.81 Team ratingContext 6.82

12.60 FoulsContext 11.30

12.80 Fouls sufferedContext 14.30

1.90 Yellow cardsContext 2.20

0.00 Red cardsContext 0.10

Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games

In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Espanyol

Rest5.2 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d2all competitions

Travel0 km590 km in 14d

Schedule load0%Low

No finished matches with a forecast yet.

Girona

Rest6.1 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d2all competitions

Travel94 km538 km in 14d

Schedule load0%Low

No finished matches with a forecast yet.

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery

	Espanyol	Girona
Schedule loaddescriptive index, context	Low · 0	Low · 0
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast	No	No
Rest dayssince last match	5.2La Liga 2025-2026, 11 Jan	6.1La Liga 2025-2026, 10 Jan
Travel to venuefrom home stadium	0 km	94 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways	590 km	538 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days	1 / 2 / 3	1 / 2 / 3
Next matchdays after this one	7.8	10

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

Espanyol Confirmed XI

4-2-3-1

13M. Dmitrović(G)

22Carlos Romero 6L. Cabrera 5F. Calero Villa 23O. El Hilali

10Pol Lozano 4Urko González

11Pere Milla 8Edu Expósito 24T. Dolan

9R. Fernández Jaén

Girona Confirmed XI

4-2-3-1

13P. Gazzaniga(G)

24Álex Moreno 17D. Blind 12Vitor Reis 2Hugo Rincón

4Arnau Martínez 23Iván Martín

21Bryan Gil 11T. Lemar 15V. Tsyhankov

19V. Vanat

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences

Espanyol Absences are shown before kick-off

Girona Absences are shown before kick-off

Total impact vs full squads

Espanyol+0.0 pp
Draw+0.0 pp
Girona+0.0 pp

Home / Away this season

Espanyol · Home 1.90points per game · 10 home games

W-D-L: 6-1-3
Scored: 1.30
Conceded: 1.20

Girona · Away 1.00points per game · 9 away games

W-D-L: 2-3-4
Scored: 1.00
Conceded: 1.89

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Common opponents 18 this season

Opponent	Espanyol	Girona
Levante	D 1–1 A	L 0–4 H
Barcelona	L 0–2 H	L 1–2 A
Athletic Club	W 2–1 A	D 1–1 A
Getafe	W 1–0 A	L 1–2 A
Rayo Vallecano	W 1–0 H	L 1–3 H
Celta Vigo	W 1–0 A	D 1–1 A
Sevilla	W 2–1 H	L 0–2 H
Villarreal	L 0–2 H	L 0–5 A
Alaves	L 1–2 A	W 1–0 H
Elche	W 1–0 H	L 0–3 A
Oviedo	W 2–0 A	D 3–3 H
Real Betis	L 1–2 H	D 1–1 A
Valencia	D 2–2 H	W 2–1 H
Real Madrid	L 0–2 A	D 1–1 H
Mallorca	W 3–2 H	W 2–1 A
Osasuna	W 1–0 H	W 1–0 H
Real Sociedad	D 2–2 A	W 2–1 A
Atletico Madrid	W 2–1 H	L 0–3 H
Points	33 of 54 · 1.83 per game	20 of 54 · 1.11 per game

League games this season against teams both sides have played. A small, uneven sample: context only.

Head to head last 5 of 5 meetings

0 Espanyol wins3 draws2 Girona wins

Goals per game1.00 – 1.80 Over 2.560% Both scored80% Clean sheets20% · 20%

26 Sep 2025Girona0–0Espanyol
10 Mar 2025Espanyol1–1Girona
23 Nov 2024Girona4–1Espanyol
1 Apr 2023Girona2–1Espanyol
7 Jan 2023Espanyol2–2Girona

All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.

Goals & match trends

	Espanyol	Girona	Forecast
Scored per game	1.21	0.95
Conceded per game	1.05	1.79
Match goals	2.26	2.74	2.50
Over 1.5	68%	84%
Over 2.5	42%	58%	46%
Over 3.5	16%	21%
Both teams scored	47%	58%	49%
Clean sheets	37%	16%
Failed to score	21%	32%
Games	19	19

	Espanyol	Girona	Forecast
Scored per game	1.00	1.20
Conceded per game	0.90	1.50
Match goals	1.90	2.70	2.50
Over 1.5	60%	80%
Over 2.5	30%	60%	46%
Over 3.5	0%	10%
Both teams scored	40%	60%	49%
Clean sheets	40%	20%
Failed to score	20%	20%
Games	10	10

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

	Espanyol	Girona	League
Corners
Corners won	4.21	4.24
Corners conceded	4.79	4.71
Match total	9.00	8.95	9.51
Over 8.5	42% 8/19	47% 8/17
Over 9.5	42% 8/19	35% 6/17
Over 10.5	37% 7/19	35% 6/17
Cards
Cards	1.84	2.26
Opponent cards	2.47	1.47
Match total	4.31	3.73	4.37
Over 3.5	63% 12/19	26% 5/19
Over 4.5	53% 10/19	26% 5/19

	Espanyol	Girona	League
Corners
Corners won	4.30	4.11
Corners conceded	4.80	3.33
Match total	9.10	7.44	9.51
Over 8.5	40% 4/10	22% 2/9
Over 9.5	40% 4/10	22% 2/9
Over 10.5	30% 3/10	22% 2/9
Cards
Cards	2.00	2.30
Opponent cards	2.60	1.90
Match total	4.60	4.20	4.37
Over 3.5	60% 6/10	30% 3/10
Over 4.5	60% 6/10	30% 3/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.

Referee · Iosu Galech Apezteguia Spain · 10 matches before this one

Per match, all competitions

Yellow cards4.60league 4.12

Red cards0.30league 0.27

Cards 5+50%league 46%

Fouls26.8league 24.6

Penalties0.20league 0.34

Home wins30%league 46%

Espanyol1 with this referee

Record0-0-1 Cards · opp.2.0 · 4.0 Pens for · against0 · 0

L5 Oct 25H · Real Betis1–22

Girona1 with this referee

Record0-1-0 Cards · opp.4.0 · 4.0 Pens for · against0 · 0

D23 Nov 25A · Real Betis1–14

From eScored match records before this kick-off. "league" is this league season's average; red is notably above it, green below. Cards · opp. is cards shown to the club and to its opponents per match with this referee. Context only: referees are not part of the forecast.