Espanyol vs Levante – 16 Aug 2026

La Liga Gameweek 1 Sun, Aug 16 · 18:00 Stage Front Stadium, Cornella de Llobregat

Espanyol

3–0Full time

Levante

Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →

Our take

It was too close to call.

The two sides are close in strength. Recent goals, xG and shots on target tip the balance towards Levante. Espanyol had 84.9 days of rest, Levante 84.9 and had to travel 295 km. Weather to note: heat stress.

Away travel295 kmRest days84.9 · 84.9Matches / 14d0 · 0

Espanyol39%

Draw26%

Levante35%

Expected goals 1.40 – 1.31

Espanyol42%

Draw26%

Levante32%

Expected goals 1.46 – 1.23

Espanyol39%

Draw26%

Levante35%

Expected goals 1.40 – 1.31

Espanyol32%

Draw26%

Levante42%

Expected goals 1.25 – 1.47

Espanyol40%

Draw25%

Levante35%

Expected goals 1.46 – 1.36

Over 2.5 51% Both score 55% Likeliest score 1–1

Rebuilt after the match from pre-match Elo. Real context is the full LOAD90 forecast; Strength only is Elo and home edge alone. How it works.

Weather (Cornella de Llobregat)

32°CPartly cloudy

Precipitation 0.0 mm
Wind 10 km/h
Humidity 48%

Heat stress

Referee · SpainCarlos Muniz Munoz

Cards per match 4.2
Penalties per match 0.20
Matches 10

Team strength

Espanyol

Levante

45 L90 StrengthIn forecast 48

44 Current StrengthIn forecast 48

36 AttackIn forecast 55

51 DefenceIn forecast 41

— Form indexContext —

In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Espanyol

Attack—

Defense risk—

Levante

Attack—

Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

Espanyol

Levante

— Goals scoredVia Att/Def —

— Goals concededVia Att/Def —

— xGVia Att/Def —

— xG allowedVia Att/Def —

— Goals minus xGContext —

— Scored inContext —

— Clean sheetsContext —

— ShotsContext —

— Shots on targetVia Att/Def —

— On target shareContext —

— Shots in the boxContext —

— Box shareContext —

— ConversionContext —

— OffsidesContext —

— Shots allowedContext —

— On target allowedVia Att/Def —

— BlocksContext —

— Goalkeeper savesContext —

— Save rateContext —

— PossessionIn forecast —

— PassesContext —

— Accurate passesContext —

— Pass accuracyContext —

— Team ratingContext —

— FoulsContext —

— Fouls sufferedContext —

— Yellow cardsContext —

— Red cardsContext —

This league season, per match

0.80 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.70

1.30 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.50

1.11 xGVia Att/Def 1.64

1.49 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.20

-0.31 Goals minus xGContext +0.06

60% Scored inContext 80%

30% Clean sheetsContext 40%

11.70 ShotsContext 15.00

3.90 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 5.10

33% On target shareContext 34%

7.22 Shots in the boxContext 8.70

58% Box shareContext 59%

7% ConversionContext 11%

3.00 OffsidesContext 1.00

14.70 Shots allowedContext 11.20

5.60 On target allowedVia Att/Def 4.33

3.80 BlocksContext 2.63

3.70 Goalkeeper savesContext 3.13

66% Save rateContext 68%

43% PossessionIn forecast 45%

324 PassesContext 354

248 Accurate passesContext 286

76% Pass accuracyContext 81%

6.80 Team ratingContext 6.81

14.00 FoulsContext 11.70

13.60 Fouls sufferedContext 13.50

2.70 Yellow cardsContext 2.20

0.00 Red cardsContext 0.10

Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games

In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Espanyol

Rest84.9 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d0all competitions

Travel0 km0 km in 14d

Schedule load0%Low

No finished matches with a forecast yet.

Levante

Rest84.9 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d0all competitions

Travel295 km0 km in 14d

Schedule load0%Low

No finished matches with a forecast yet.

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery

	Espanyol	Levante
Schedule loaddescriptive index, context	Low · 0	Low · 0
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast	No	No
Rest dayssince last match	84.9La Liga 2025-2026, 23 May	84.9La Liga 2025-2026, 23 May
Travel to venuefrom home stadium	0 km	295 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways	0 km	0 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days	0 / 0 / 0	0 / 0 / 0
Next matchdays after this one	6.1	8

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

Espanyol Confirmed XI

4-2-3-1

13M. Dmitrović(G)

29Roger Hinojo 14Unai Núñez 5C. Riedel 23O. El Hilali

8Edu Expósito 4Urko González

24T. Dolan 28Javi Hernández 22Álex Calatrava

9R. Fernández Jaén

Levante Confirmed XI

4-2-3-1

13M. Ryan(G)

23Manu Sánchez 2A. Mandi 4Adrián de la Fuente 29Nacho Pérez

20Oriol Rey 8Jon Ander Olasagasti

27Paco Cortés 10Carlos Álvarez 17Víctor García

9Iván Romero

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences

Espanyol Absences are shown before kick-off

Levante Absences are shown before kick-off

Total impact vs full squads

Espanyol+0.0 pp
Draw+0.0 pp
Levante+0.0 pp

Home / Away this season

Espanyol · Home No home games yet this season.

Levante · Away No away games yet this season.

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Head to head last 4 of 4 meetings

1 Espanyol wins3 draws0 Levante wins

Goals per game1.50 – 1.25 Over 2.525% Both scored75% Clean sheets25% · 25%

27 Apr 2026Espanyol0–0Levante
11 Jan 2026Levante1–1Espanyol
12 Mar 2022Levante1–1Espanyol
11 Dec 2021Espanyol4–3Levante

All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.

Goals & match trends

	Espanyol	Levante	Forecast
Scored per game	—	—
Conceded per game	—	—
Match goals	—	—	2.71
Over 1.5	—	—
Over 2.5	—	—	51%
Over 3.5	—	—
Both teams scored	—	—	55%
Clean sheets	—	—
Failed to score	—	—
Games	0	0

	Espanyol	Levante	Forecast
Scored per game	0.80	1.70
Conceded per game	1.30	1.50
Match goals	2.10	3.20	2.71
Over 1.5	70%	80%
Over 2.5	40%	50%	51%
Over 3.5	10%	40%
Both teams scored	50%	50%	55%
Clean sheets	30%	40%
Failed to score	40%	20%
Games	10	10

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

	Espanyol	Levante	League
Corners
Corners won	—	—
Corners conceded	—	—
Match total	—	—	9.00
Over 8.5	—	—
Over 9.5	—	—
Over 10.5	—	—
Cards
Cards	—	—
Opponent cards	—	—
Match total	—	—	7.67
Over 3.5	—	—
Over 4.5	—	—

	Espanyol	Levante	League
Corners
Corners won	5.20	5.50
Corners conceded	6.10	4.40
Match total	11.30	9.90	9.00
Over 8.5	70% 7/10	70% 7/10
Over 9.5	50% 5/10	40% 4/10
Over 10.5	50% 5/10	30% 3/10
Cards
Cards	2.80	2.30
Opponent cards	3.00	2.30
Match total	5.80	4.60	7.67
Over 3.5	80% 8/10	60% 6/10
Over 4.5	60% 6/10	50% 5/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.

Referee · Carlos Muniz Munoz Spain · 10 matches before this one

Per match, all competitions

Yellow cards3.90league 7.00

Red cards0.30league 0.67

Cards 5+40%league 100%

Fouls25.1league 31.0

Penalties0.20league 1.00

Home wins20%league 67%

Espanyol

No previous matches with this referee.

Levante

No previous matches with this referee.

From eScored match records before this kick-off. "league" is this league season's average; red is notably above it, green below. Cards · opp. is cards shown to the club and to its opponents per match with this referee. Context only: referees are not part of the forecast.