Ligue 1 Gameweek 7 Sat, Oct 17 2026 · 19:45 Stade de l’Aube, Troyes
1–3 Full time · HT 1–2 xG 0.92 – 1.55
  • T. Nkada 26’
  • 13’ (OG) A. Monfray
  • 45+2’ O. Édouard
  • 55’ R. Aguilar
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Lens beat Estac Troyes

Lens entered as clear favourites and won 3–1 through goals from Édouard, Aguilar and an own goal. Estac Troyes replied through a Nkada goal. Lens finished with the higher xG (1.55 vs 0.92). On the chances created, Estac Troyes deserved more: 0.9 expected points against the 0 points they took.

Estac Troyes14%
Draw19%
Lens ✓67%

Model vs reality

Estac Troyes goals
1
Model 1.03 · xG 0.92
Lens goals
3
Model 2.39 · xG 1.55
Total goals
4
Model 3.42 · xG 2.47
Score 1–3
8%
Most likely 1–2 (10%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 66%
Both scored
Yes
Model 59%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchF. ThauvinLens · 2 assists
8.6
  • RefereeHakim Ben el Hadj
  • CoachesS. Dumont · —
  • VenueStade de l’Aube
  • Table before kick-offEstac Troyes 17th · Lens 11th
  • Weather at kick-off11°C · Partly cloudy · wind 13 km/h

Timeline

  1. A. Monfray (own goal) 0–1
    13’
  2. T. Nkada 1–1
    26’
  3. O. Édouard 1–2Assist F. Thauvin
    45+2’
  4. Half time · 1–2
  5. R. Aguilar 1–3Assist F. Thauvin
    55’
  6. ⇄ S. BaidooFor J. Todibo
    60’
  7. ⇄ K. DiawaraFor T. Nkada
    60’
  8. ⇄ Noah DonkorFor P. Gozzi
    64’
  9. ⇄ M. SoaresFor F. Thauvin
    67’
  10. ⇄ F. IvanovićFor O. Édouard
    67’
  11. ⇄ A. HaidaraFor Y. Titraoui
    67’
  12. ⇄ S. AbdulhamidFor R. Aguilar
    72’
  13. M. DiazYellow card · Foul
    76’
  14. R. RipartYellow card · Dissent
    76’
  15. S. BaidooYellow card · Foul
    77’
  16. ⇄ J. Le DouaronFor M. Diop
    79’
  17. ⇄ I. GomisFor L. Maronnier
    79’
  18. A. HaidaraYellow card · Foul
    82’
  19. Full time · 1–3

Team stats

Estac Troyes12 shots · 7 in box, 5 outside
Lens13 shots · 9 in box, 4 outside
Estac TroyesLens
41% Possession 59%
0.92 Expected goals (xG) 1.55
0.93 Expected points (xPts) 1.82
12 Shots 13
5 Shots on target 3
4 Shots off target 6
3 Blocked shots 4
7 Shots inside the box 9
5 Shots outside the box 4
365 Passes 540
82% Pass accuracy 83%
6 Corners 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
13 Fouls 11
0 Offsides 1
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
6.22 Team rating 6.95

Line-ups

Estac Troyes 4-2-3-1

335.6 P. Beach(G)
56.3 P. Gozzi ↓64’ 46.1 M. Diaz 65.7 A. Monfray 26.0 L. Maronnier ↓79’
296.8 D. Karim 85.9 M. Diop ↓79’
238.0 T. Nkada ↓60’ 176.3 A. Mille 106.5 M. Ifnaoui
205.9 R. Ripart
  • 33P. Beach (G)5.6
  • 5P. Gozzi↓64’6.3
  • 4M. Diaz6.1
  • 6A. Monfray5.7
  • 2L. Maronnier↓79’6.0
  • 29D. Karim6.8
  • 8M. Diop↓79’5.9
  • 23T. Nkada↓60’8.0
  • 17A. Mille6.3
  • 10M. Ifnaoui6.5
  • 20R. Ripart5.9

Substitutes used

  • 11I. Gomis↑79’5.8
  • 31Noah Donkor↑64’5.8
  • 9J. Le Douaron↑79’6.7
  • 7K. Diawara↑60’6.3

Unused: H. Konaté, A. Phliponeau, H. Picard, C. Batola

Coach: S. Dumont

Lens 3-4-2-1

407.0 R. Risser(G)
206.8 J. Todibo ↓60’ 256.8 P. Ganiou 326.9 Kyllian Antonio
226.5 M. Skóraś 56.7 A. Bulatović 86.5 Y. Titraoui ↓67’ 28.2 R. Aguilar ↓72’
76.4 F. Sotoca 108.6★ F. Thauvin AA↓67’
117.9 O. Édouard ↓67’
  • 40R. Risser (G)7.0
  • 20J. Todibo↓60’6.8
  • 25P. Ganiou6.8
  • 32Kyllian Antonio6.9
  • 22M. Skóraś6.5
  • 5A. Bulatović6.7
  • 8Y. Titraoui↓67’6.5
  • 2R. Aguilar↓72’8.2
  • 7F. Sotoca6.4
  • 10F. Thauvin ★A×2↓67’8.6
  • 11O. Édouard↓67’7.9

Substitutes used

  • 38M. Soares↑67’6.3
  • 23S. Abdulhamid↑72’6.3
  • 6S. Baidoo↑60’6.0
  • 21A. Haidara↑67’6.6
  • 29F. Ivanović↑67’6.3

Unused: M. Cuisance, M. Gorgelin, T. Hazard, J. Kadile

Player stats

Top rated
F. ThauvinLens8.6
2nd
R. AguilarLens8.2
3rd
T. NkadaEstac Troyes8.0

Estac Troyes

Lens

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.