Primeira Liga Gameweek 16 Sat, Dec 27 2025 · 20:30 Estádio António Coimbra da Mota, Estoril
Estoril
4–1 Full time · HT 2–0 xG 1.30 – 0.71
Alverca
  • B. Meupiyou 36’ (OG), 60’ (OG)
  • Y. Begraoui 43’, 48’
  • 67’ Alexsandro Amorim
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Estoril cruise past Alverca

Estoril entered as narrow favourites and won 4–1 through goals from Begraoui and an own goal. Alverca replied through a Amorim goal. Estoril finished with the higher xG (1.30 vs 0.71). On the chances created, Alverca deserved more: 0.9 expected points against the 0 points they took.

Estoril ✓46%
Draw27%
Alverca27%

Model vs reality

Estoril goals
4
Model 1.47 · xG 1.30
Alverca goals
1
Model 1.06 · xG 0.71
Total goals
5
Model 2.53 · xG 2.01
Score 4–1
2%
Most likely 1–1 (13%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 46%
Both scored
Yes
Model 51%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchY. BegraouiEstoril · 2 goals
9.3
  • RefereeFabio Jose Costa Verissimo
  • VenueEstádio António Coimbra da Mota
  • Table before kick-offEstoril 10th · Alverca 12th

Timeline

  1. B. Meupiyou (own goal) 1–0
    36’
  2. Y. Begraoui 2–0
    43’
  3. Half time · 2–0
  4. ⇄ M. MilovanovićFor Cedric Nuozzi
    46’
  5. Y. Begraoui 3–0Assist João Carvalho
    48’
  6. LincolnYellow card
    49’
  7. Pedro CarvalhoYellow card
    52’
  8. ZoubdiYellow card
    55’
  9. ⇄ A. TsounguiFor João Carvalho
    57’
  10. B. Meupiyou (own goal) 4–0
    60’
  11. ⇄ T. LeiteFor M. Milovanović
    61’
  12. ⇄ D. GuiFor Lincoln
    61’
  13. Alexsandro Amorim 4–1
    67’
  14. ⇄ PizziFor Pedro Amaral
    68’
  15. ⇄ Tiago ParenteFor Pedro Carvalho
    68’
  16. ⇄ Felipe LimaFor Sandro Lima
    74’
  17. ⇄ Sergi GómezFor B. Meupiyou
    75’
  18. Julián Jose MartinezYellow card
    86’
  19. ⇄ PeixinhoFor A. Marqués
    87’
  20. ⇄ N. LominadzeFor Jandro Orellana
    88’
  21. A. TsounguiYellow card
    90+2’
  22. Full time · 4–1

Team stats

Estoril9 shots · 6 in box, 3 outside
Alverca11 shots · 9 in box, 2 outside
EstorilAlverca
64% Possession 36%
1.30 Expected goals (xG) 0.71
1.81 Expected points (xPts) 0.90
9 Shots 11
4 Shots on target 7
3 Shots off target 4
2 Blocked shots 0
6 Shots inside the box 9
3 Shots outside the box 2
613 Passes 329
89% Pass accuracy 79%
3 Corners 7
6 Goalkeeper saves 2
11 Fouls 10
2 Offsides 0
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
7.16 Team rating 6.23

Line-ups

Estoril 4-2-3-1

17.2 Joel Robles(G)
246.7 Pedro Amaral ↓68’ 257.5 F. Bacher 446.9 K. Boma 226.3 Pedro Carvalho ↓68’
107.3 J. Holsgrove 67.0 Jandro Orellana ↓88’
127.3 João Carvalho A↓57’ 149.3★ Y. Begraoui 997.0 R. Guitane
96.3 A. Marqués ↓87’
  • 1Joel Robles (G)7.2
  • 24Pedro Amaral↓68’6.7
  • 25F. Bacher7.5
  • 44K. Boma6.9
  • 22Pedro Carvalho↓68’6.3
  • 10J. Holsgrove7.3
  • 6Jandro Orellana↓88’7.0
  • 12João CarvalhoA↓57’7.3
  • 14Y. Begraoui ★9.3
  • 99R. Guitane7.0
  • 9A. Marqués↓87’6.3

Substitutes used

  • 5A. Tsoungui↑57’6.9
  • 55Tiago Parente↑68’6.6
  • 21Pizzi↑68’6.7
  • 7N. Lominadze↑88’
  • 70Peixinho↑87’

Unused: M. Turk, Ferro, Tiago Brito, Fabrício Garcia

Alverca 3-4-3

136.2 André Gomes(G)
334.7 B. Meupiyou ↓75’ 35.9 Julián Jose Martinez 46.7 Kaiky Naves
556.2 Francisco Chissumba 87.9 Alexsandro Amorim 216.2 S. Abdulai 25.3 Zoubdi
116.3 Cedric Nuozzi ↓46’ 916.0 Sandro Lima ↓74’ 186.9 Lincoln ↓61’
  • 13André Gomes (G)6.2
  • 33B. Meupiyou↓75’4.7
  • 3Julián Jose Martinez5.9
  • 4Kaiky Naves6.7
  • 55Francisco Chissumba6.2
  • 8Alexsandro Amorim7.9
  • 21S. Abdulai6.2
  • 2Zoubdi5.3
  • 11Cedric Nuozzi↓46’6.3
  • 91Sandro Lima↓74’6.0
  • 18Lincoln↓61’6.9

Substitutes used

  • 9M. Milovanović6.7
  • 6D. Gui↑61’6.3
  • 19T. Leite↑61’6.3
  • 5Sergi Gómez↑75’6.7

Unused: Felipe Lima, Mateus Oliveira, S. Baseya, Isaac James, Kauan Gomes

Player stats

Top rated
Y. BegraouiEstoril9.3
2nd
Alexsandro AmorimAlverca7.9
3rd
F. BacherEstoril7.5

Estoril

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
Joel Robles G 90 0 0 5 sv 0 58% 19 0 0 0/0 0/0 7.2
Pedro Amaral D 68 0 0 1 (0) 0 88% 41 0 1 0/0 0/1 6.7
F. Bacher D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 60 3 3 0/0 0/1 7.5
K. Boma D 90 0 0 1 (1) 0 95% 60 1 3 1/1 1/1 6.9
Pedro Carvalho D 68 0 0 0 (0) 0 95% 38 2 1 0/0 1/0 6.3
J. Holsgrove M 90 0 0 0 (0) 3 93% 103 3 2 0/1 2/1 7.3
Jandro Orellana M 88 0 0 0 (0) 0 92% 75 3 2 1/1 2/0 7.0
João Carvalho M 57 0 1 0 (0) 1 85% 39 2 3 1/1 0/0 7.3
Y. Begraoui F 90 2 0 4 (2) 0 76% 33 3 2 2/3 0/1 9.3
R. Guitane M 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 83% 54 2 3 4/13 0/4 7.0
A. Marqués F 87 0 0 0 (0) 0 87% 15 0 1 2/5 5/1 6.3
A. Tsoungui D 33 0 0 0 (0) 0 84% 38 2 0 0/1 0/0 6.9
Tiago Parente D 22 0 0 0 (0) 0 81% 16 1 0 0/0 0/0 6.6
Pizzi M 22 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 16 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.7
N. Lominadze M 2 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 1 0 0 0/0 0/0 —
Peixinho F 3 0 0 0 (0) 0 0% 1 0 0 0/0 0/0 —

Alverca

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
André Gomes G 90 0 0 1 sv 0 67% 18 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.2
B. Meupiyou D 75 0 0 0 (0) 0 72% 18 2 2 0/0 0/0 4.7
Julián Jose Martinez D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 97% 29 4 1 0/0 2/2 5.9
Kaiky Naves D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 74% 57 4 2 1/1 0/1 6.7
Francisco Chissumba D 90 0 0 1 (0) 2 76% 25 3 1 0/3 2/1 6.2
Alexsandro Amorim M 90 1 0 1 (1) 4 79% 43 2 0 1/1 1/2 7.9
S. Abdulai M 90 0 0 1 (0) 1 76% 29 2 1 0/2 1/1 6.2
Zoubdi F 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 71% 21 0 0 0/1 2/1 5.3
Cedric Nuozzi F 46 0 0 2 (1) 0 50% 10 0 1 1/2 0/0 6.3
Sandro Lima F 74 0 0 2 (1) 0 94% 16 0 0 0/1 1/0 6.0
Lincoln M 61 0 0 1 (1) 0 91% 23 0 0 0/0 1/2 6.9
M. Milovanović F 15 0 0 0 (0) 0 0% 3 0 0 0/0 0/1 6.7
D. Gui M 29 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 8 0 1 0/0 0/0 6.3
T. Leite F 29 0 0 2 (2) 0 100% 2 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.3
Sergi Gómez D 15 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 4 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.7

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.