Primeira Liga Gameweek 11 Fri, Nov 7 2025 · 20:15 Estádio António Coimbra da Mota, Estoril
Estoril
4–3 Full time · HT 2–2 xG 1.76 – 0.78
Arouca
  • T. Fukui 10’ (OG)
  • K. Boma 43’
  • J. Holsgrove 52’
  • João Carvalho 87’
  • 5’ T. Fukui
  • 31’, 75’ N. Djouahra
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Estoril come from behind to beat Arouca

Estoril entered as narrow favourites, yet Arouca led 1–0 after 5 minutes through a Fukui goal. But an own goal, Boma, Holsgrove and Carvalho scored to turn it around for Estoril, who won 4–3. Estoril finished with the higher xG (1.76 vs 0.78).

Estoril ✓46%
Draw27%
Arouca27%

Model vs reality

Estoril goals
4
Model 1.52 · xG 1.76
Arouca goals
3
Model 1.09 · xG 0.78
Total goals
7
Model 2.61 · xG 2.54
Score 4–3
<1%
Most likely 1–1 (13%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 48%
Both scored
Yes
Model 53%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchJ. HolsgroveEstoril · 1 goal · 1 assist
9.2
  • RefereeClaudio Filipe Ruivo Pereira
  • VenueEstádio António Coimbra da Mota
  • Table before kick-offEstoril 12th · Arouca 15th

Timeline

  1. T. Fukui 0–1
    5’
  2. T. Fukui (own goal) 1–1
    10’
  3. N. LominadzeYellow card
    17’
  4. N. Djouahra 1–2Assist Miguel Puche
    31’
  5. K. Boma 2–2Assist J. Holsgrove
    43’
  6. VAR K. BomaGoal Disallowed - offside
    45+2’
  7. Half time · 2–2
  8. ⇄ FerroFor Pedro Carvalho
    46’
  9. ⇄ PeixinhoFor N. Lominadze
    46’
  10. ⇄ A. TrezzaFor Barbero
    46’
  11. J. Holsgrove 3–2Assist Y. Begraoui
    52’
  12. ⇄ Tiago ParenteFor Gonçalo Costa
    65’
  13. ⇄ D. NandinFor Tiago Esgaio
    71’
  14. ⇄ Pablo GozálbezFor David Simão
    71’
  15. ⇄ Tiago BritoFor André Lacximicant
    71’
  16. ⇄ Alex PintoFor Miguel Puche
    72’
  17. N. Djouahra 3–3Assist Arnau Solà
    75’
  18. ⇄ R. GuitaneFor Peixinho
    78’
  19. ⇄ Omar FayedFor Lee Hyun-Ju
    84’
  20. João Carvalho 4–3Assist R. Guitane
    87’
  21. Omar FayedYellow card
    90’
  22. Full time · 4–3

Team stats

Estoril18 shots · 12 in box, 6 outside
Arouca10 shots · 5 in box, 5 outside
EstorilArouca
48% Possession 52%
1.76 Expected goals (xG) 0.78
2.05 Expected points (xPts) 0.72
18 Shots 10
6 Shots on target 4
5 Shots off target 4
7 Blocked shots 2
12 Shots inside the box 5
6 Shots outside the box 5
389 Passes 449
81% Pass accuracy 82%
10 Corners 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
8 Fouls 13
1 Offsides 3
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
6.91 Team rating 6.60

Line-ups

Estoril 3-4-3

15.6 Joel Robles(G)
256.3 F. Bacher 448.0 K. Boma 56.3 A. Tsoungui
205.9 Gonçalo Costa ↓65’ 76.2 N. Lominadze ↓46’ 109.2★ J. Holsgrove A 226.5 Pedro Carvalho ↓46’
128.2 João Carvalho 146.7 Y. Begraoui A 196.6 André Lacximicant ↓71’
  • 1Joel Robles (G)5.6
  • 25F. Bacher6.3
  • 44K. Boma8.0
  • 5A. Tsoungui6.3
  • 20Gonçalo Costa↓65’5.9
  • 7N. Lominadze↓46’6.2
  • 10J. Holsgrove ★A9.2
  • 22Pedro Carvalho↓46’6.5
  • 12João Carvalho8.2
  • 14Y. BegraouiA6.7
  • 19André Lacximicant↓71’6.6

Substitutes used

  • 4Ferro↑46’6.9
  • 70Peixinho6.3
  • 55Tiago Parente↑65’6.5
  • 90Tiago Brito↑71’6.7
  • 99R. GuitaneA↑78’7.2

Unused: M. Turk, Pizzi, Patrick de Paula, A. Marqués

Arouca 4-2-3-1

586.7 N. Mantl(G)
166.3 Arnau Solà A 36.2 José Fontán 55.9 B. Popović 286.2 Tiago Esgaio ↓71’
217.3 T. Fukui 87.5 David Simão ↓71’
78.3 N. Djouahra 145.9 Lee Hyun-Ju ↓84’ 116.2 Miguel Puche A↓72’
176.3 Barbero ↓46’
  • 58N. Mantl (G)6.7
  • 16Arnau SolàA6.3
  • 3José Fontán6.2
  • 5B. Popović5.9
  • 28Tiago Esgaio↓71’6.2
  • 21T. Fukui7.3
  • 8David Simão↓71’7.5
  • 7N. Djouahra8.3
  • 14Lee Hyun-Ju↓84’5.9
  • 11Miguel PucheA↓72’6.2
  • 17Barbero↓46’6.3

Substitutes used

  • 19A. Trezza↑46’6.3
  • 78Alex Pinto↑72’6.3
  • 66Omar Fayed↑84’
  • 10Pablo Gozálbez↑71’6.2
  • 23D. Nandin↑71’6.3

Unused: João Valido, E. van Ee, Brian Mansilla, Pedro Santos

Player stats

Top rated
J. HolsgroveEstoril9.2
2nd
N. DjouahraArouca8.3
3rd
João CarvalhoEstoril8.2

Estoril

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
Joel Robles G 90 0 0 0 sv 0 60% 20 0 0 0/0 0/0 5.6
F. Bacher D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 87% 52 0 3 1/1 0/1 6.3
K. Boma D 90 1 0 1 (1) 0 88% 49 0 0 1/2 1/2 8.0
A. Tsoungui D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 84% 37 3 2 0/1 0/1 6.3
Gonçalo Costa D 65 0 0 0 (0) 1 63% 19 1 2 0/2 0/0 5.9
N. Lominadze M 46 0 0 1 (0) 1 88% 16 0 0 1/2 2/1 6.2
J. Holsgrove M 90 1 1 1 (1) 6 79% 62 4 4 2/3 1/2 9.2
Pedro Carvalho D 46 0 0 1 (0) 0 89% 9 1 0 0/0 0/0 6.5
João Carvalho M 90 1 0 3 (3) 3 82% 45 1 0 1/3 0/3 8.2
Y. Begraoui F 90 0 1 1 (0) 3 94% 17 0 0 0/0 2/0 6.7
André Lacximicant F 71 0 0 1 (0) 0 78% 9 0 0 0/0 0/2 6.6
Ferro D 44 0 0 1 (1) 0 62% 21 0 4 0/0 0/0 6.9
Peixinho F 32 0 0 1 (0) 0 80% 5 1 0 0/0 2/0 6.3
Tiago Parente D 25 0 0 0 (0) 1 83% 6 0 0 1/1 0/0 6.5
Tiago Brito M 19 0 0 0 (0) 0 89% 9 2 0 0/0 0/0 6.7
R. Guitane M 12 0 1 0 (0) 1 86% 7 0 0 1/1 0/0 7.2

Arouca

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
N. Mantl G 90 0 0 3 sv 0 71% 35 0 0 0/0 0/1 6.7
Arnau Solà D 90 0 1 0 (0) 2 69% 36 2 3 1/2 0/1 6.3
José Fontán D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 85% 62 1 2 1/1 2/0 6.2
B. Popović D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 91% 66 0 1 0/0 1/0 5.9
Tiago Esgaio D 71 0 0 0 (0) 0 70% 43 1 0 0/0 0/0 6.2
T. Fukui M 90 1 0 1 (1) 1 89% 45 0 1 2/4 1/2 7.3
David Simão M 71 0 0 1 (0) 0 90% 50 2 0 0/0 0/2 7.5
N. Djouahra F 90 2 0 2 (2) 1 82% 28 1 1 2/6 1/0 8.3
Lee Hyun-Ju M 84 0 0 2 (0) 0 93% 28 0 0 1/4 1/1 5.9
Miguel Puche F 72 0 1 0 (0) 1 81% 21 1 1 0/2 2/0 6.2
Barbero F 46 0 0 0 (0) 0 63% 8 2 0 0/0 1/1 6.3
A. Trezza F 44 0 0 1 (1) 1 63% 8 0 0 0/0 1/0 6.3
Alex Pinto D 18 0 0 0 (0) 0 50% 4 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.3
Omar Fayed D 6 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 3 0 0 0/0 0/0 —
Pablo Gozálbez M 19 0 0 1 (0) 0 75% 4 1 1 0/0 1/0 6.2
D. Nandin F 19 0 0 0 (0) 0 50% 4 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.3

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.