Primeira Liga Gameweek 1 Mon, Aug 11 2025 · 18:45 Estádio António Coimbra da Mota, Estoril
1–1 Full time · HT 1–0 xG 0.69 – 1.34
  • Tiago Parente 36’
  • 75’ I. Stoica
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Estoril and Estrela share the points

Estoril entered as favourites and led 1–0 at half-time through a Parente goal. But Stoica scored to rescue a draw for Estrela. Estrela finished with the higher xG (1.34 vs 0.69). On the chances created, Estrela deserved more: 1.9 expected points against the 1 point they took.

Estoril54%
Draw ✓25%
Estrela20%

Model vs reality

Estoril goals
1
Model 1.68 · xG 0.69
Estrela goals
1
Model 0.94 · xG 1.34
Total goals
2
Model 2.62 · xG 2.03
Score 1–1
12%
Most likely 1–1 (12%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 49%
Both scored
Yes
Model 50%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchTiago ParenteEstoril · 1 goal
8.3
  • RefereeAnzhony Rodrigues
  • VenueEstádio António Coimbra da Mota

Timeline

  1. N. LominadzeYellow card
    25’
  2. K. BomaYellow card
    27’
  3. Tiago Parente 1–0
    36’
  4. J. HolsgroveYellow card
    45+5’
  5. Half time · 1–0
  6. ⇄ Patrick de PaulaFor N. Lominadze
    46’
  7. ⇄ A. MarcusFor Robinho
    46’
  8. Patrick de PaulaYellow card
    49’
  9. ⇄ KikasFor J. Gastao
    58’
  10. ⇄ Guilherme MontóiaFor Nilton Varela
    58’
  11. ⇄ André LacximicantFor Y. Begraoui
    64’
  12. ⇄ PizziFor R. Guitane
    64’
  13. ⇄ Rodrigo PinhoFor Guilherme Montóia
    74’
  14. ⇄ I. StoicaFor Alan Godoy
    74’
  15. I. Stoica 1–1Assist Rodrigo Pinho
    75’
  16. ⇄ A. MarquésFor J. Holsgrove
    79’
  17. ⇄ Fabrício GarciaFor Pedro Carvalho
    84’
  18. ⇄ Tiago BritoFor João Carvalho
    88’
  19. ⇄ João ResendeFor Jovane Cabral
    90’
  20. Bernardo SchappoYellow card
    90+6’
  21. Full time · 1–1

Team stats

Estoril8 shots · 5 in box, 3 outside
Estrela9 shots · 4 in box, 5 outside
EstorilEstrela
66% Possession 34%
0.69 Expected goals (xG) 1.34
0.86 Expected points (xPts) 1.86
8 Shots 9
3 Shots on target 5
0 Shots off target 3
5 Blocked shots 1
5 Shots inside the box 4
3 Shots outside the box 5
500 Passes 252
84% Pass accuracy 73%
4 Corners 4
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
12 Fouls 14
1 Offsides 3
4 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
6.91 Team rating 6.90

Line-ups

Estoril 3-4-3

16.6 Joel Robles(G)
246.9 Pedro Amaral 256.5 F. Bacher 446.3 K. Boma
558.3★ Tiago Parente 106.9 J. Holsgrove ↓79’ 76.2 N. Lominadze ↓46’ 227.0 Pedro Carvalho ↓84’
127.3 João Carvalho ↓88’ 146.3 Y. Begraoui ↓64’ 998.0 R. Guitane ↓64’
  • 1Joel Robles (G)6.6
  • 24Pedro Amaral6.9
  • 25F. Bacher6.5
  • 44K. Boma6.3
  • 55Tiago Parente ★8.3
  • 10J. Holsgrove↓79’6.9
  • 7N. Lominadze↓46’6.2
  • 22Pedro Carvalho↓84’7.0
  • 12João Carvalho↓88’7.3
  • 14Y. Begraoui↓64’6.3
  • 99R. Guitane↓64’8.0

Substitutes used

  • 45Patrick de Paula↑46’6.7
  • 21Pizzi↑64’6.3
  • 19André Lacximicant↑64’6.6
  • 9A. Marqués↑79’6.5
  • 90Tiago Brito↑88’6.3
  • 17Fabrício Garcia↑84’6.3

Unused: M. Turk, Longin Bimai, Diogo Brasido

Estrela 3-4-2-1

407.7 Renan Ribeiro(G)
797.6 A. Chernev 146.5 Bernardo Schappo 306.9 Luan Patrick
256.2 Nilton Varela ↓58’ 196.9 Paulo Moreira 86.7 Robinho ↓46’ 556.9 Sidny Lopes Cabral
117.0 Jovane Cabral ↓90’ 897.0 J. Gastao ↓58’
136.6 Alan Godoy ↓74’
  • 40Renan Ribeiro (G)7.7
  • 79A. Chernev7.6
  • 14Bernardo Schappo6.5
  • 30Luan Patrick6.9
  • 25Nilton Varela↓58’6.2
  • 19Paulo Moreira6.9
  • 8Robinho↓46’6.7
  • 55Sidny Lopes Cabral6.9
  • 11Jovane Cabral↓90’7.0
  • 89J. Gastao↓58’7.0
  • 13Alan Godoy↓74’6.6

Substitutes used

  • 99A. Marcus↑46’6.3
  • 21Guilherme Montóia6.3
  • 98Kikas↑58’6.5
  • 10I. Stoica↑74’6.9
  • 9Rodrigo PinhoA↑74’7.6
  • 26João Resende↑90’

Unused: Diogo Pinto, S. Commey, A. Sola

Player stats

Top rated
Tiago ParenteEstoril8.3
2nd
R. GuitaneEstoril8.0
3rd
Renan RibeiroEstrela7.7

Estoril

Estrela

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.