Primeira Liga Gameweek 31 Sun, Apr 26 2026 · 15:30 Estádio António Coimbra da Mota, Estoril
0–1 Full time · HT 0–0 xG 0.66 – 1.03
  • 51’ (P) J. de Haas
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

de Haas goal decides it for Famalicao

Famalicao entered as narrow favourites and won 1–0 through a de Haas goal. Famalicao finished with the higher xG (1.03 vs 0.66). On the chances created, Estoril deserved more: 1.0 expected points against the 0 points they took.

Estoril26%
Draw28%
Famalicao ✓46%

Model vs reality

Estoril goals
0
Model 1.04 · xG 0.66
Famalicao goals
1
Model 1.46 · xG 1.03
Total goals
1
Model 2.51 · xG 1.69
Score 0–1
11%
Most likely 1–1 (13%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 46%
Both scored
No
Model 50%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchJ. de HaasFamalicao · 1 goal
8.2
  • RefereeCarlos Macedo
  • VenueEstádio António Coimbra da Mota
  • Table before kick-offEstoril 10th · Famalicao 5th

Timeline

  1. Half time · 0–0
  2. T. van de LooiYellow card
    46’
  3. J. de Haas (pen) 0–1
    51’
  4. M. De AmorimYellow card
    56’
  5. ⇄ Gonçalo CostaFor Pedro Amaral
    76’
  6. ⇄ Marcos PeñaFor M. De Amorim
    83’
  7. ⇄ Umar AbubakarFor S. Elisor
    87’
  8. ⇄ L. RealpeFor Gustavo Sá
    87’
  9. ⇄ A. MarquésFor Ferro
    88’
  10. ⇄ Gustavo GarciaFor Gil Dias
    90+1’
  11. Full time · 0–1

Team stats

Estoril9 shots · 3 in box, 6 outside
Famalicao5 shots · 5 in box
EstorilFamalicao
54% Possession 46%
0.66 Expected goals (xG) 1.03
1.02 Expected points (xPts) 1.64
9 Shots 5
2 Shots on target 5
3 Shots off target 0
4 Blocked shots 0
3 Shots inside the box 5
6 Shots outside the box 0
425 Passes 365
85% Pass accuracy 79%
8 Corners 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
19 Fouls 11
3 Offsides 0
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
6.80 Team rating 7.04

Line-ups

Estoril 3-4-2-1

168.0 M. Turk(G)
46.3 Ferro ↓88’ 57.0 A. Tsoungui 256.6 F. Bacher
246.2 Pedro Amaral ↓76’ 106.9 J. Holsgrove 86.7 Xeka 26.7 Ricard Sánchez
126.3 João Carvalho 997.9 R. Guitane
146.2 Y. Begraoui
  • 16M. Turk (G)8.0
  • 4Ferro↓88’6.3
  • 5A. Tsoungui7.0
  • 25F. Bacher6.6
  • 24Pedro Amaral↓76’6.2
  • 10J. Holsgrove6.9
  • 8Xeka6.7
  • 2Ricard Sánchez6.7
  • 12João Carvalho6.3
  • 99R. Guitane7.9
  • 14Y. Begraoui6.2

Substitutes used

  • 20Gonçalo Costa↑76’6.3
  • 9A. Marqués↑88’

Unused: Diogo Dias, Joel Robles, Pedro Carvalho, Luís Gomes, Pizzi, N. Lominadze, Peixinho

Famalicao 4-2-3-1

256.7 L. Carević(G)
57.2 Rafa Soares 168.2★ J. de Haas 557.3 I. Ba 178.0 Rodrigo Pinheiro
146.7 M. De Amorim ↓83’ 66.9 T. van de Looi
76.6 Sorriso 206.6 Gustavo Sá ↓87’ 236.9 Gil Dias ↓90’
126.3 S. Elisor ↓87’
  • 25L. Carević (G)6.7
  • 5Rafa Soares7.2
  • 16J. de Haas ★8.2
  • 55I. Ba7.3
  • 17Rodrigo Pinheiro8.0
  • 14M. De Amorim↓83’6.7
  • 6T. van de Looi6.9
  • 7Sorriso6.6
  • 20Gustavo Sá↓87’6.6
  • 23Gil Dias↓90’6.9
  • 12S. Elisor↓87’6.3

Substitutes used

  • 2Gustavo Garcia↑90’
  • 3L. Realpe↑87’
  • 8Marcos Peña↑83’6.3
  • 9Umar Abubakar↑87’

Unused: I. Zlobin, Pedro Bondo, Pedro Santos, O. Mamageishvili, A. Joujou

Player stats

Top rated
J. de HaasFamalicao8.2
2nd
M. TurkEstoril8.0
3rd
Rodrigo PinheiroFamalicao8.0

Estoril

Famalicao

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.