Primeira Liga Gameweek 23 Sun, Feb 22 2026 · 18:00 Estádio António Coimbra da Mota, Estoril
3–1 Full time · HT 1–1 xG 2.18 – 2.28
  • F. Bacher 22’
  • Y. Begraoui 74’
  • João Carvalho 80’
  • 15’ (P) Murilo
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Estoril come from behind to beat GIL Vicente

GIL Vicente entered as narrow favourites and led 1–0 after 15 minutes through a Murilo goal. But Bacher, Begraoui and Carvalho scored to turn it around for Estoril, who won 3–1. The chances were even, with xG of 2.18 and 2.28. On the chances created, GIL Vicente deserved more: 1.5 expected points against the 0 points they took.

Estoril ✓30%
Draw27%
GIL Vicente44%

Model vs reality

Estoril goals
3
Model 1.21 · xG 2.18
GIL Vicente goals
1
Model 1.51 · xG 2.28
Total goals
4
Model 2.72 · xG 4.46
Score 3–1
3%
Most likely 1–1 (13%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 51%
Both scored
Yes
Model 55%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchY. BegraouiEstoril · 1 goal
8.5
  • RefereeVasilica Iancu
  • VenueEstádio António Coimbra da Mota
  • Table before kick-offEstoril 9th · GIL Vicente 5th

Timeline

  1. Murilo (pen) 0–1
    15’
  2. F. Bacher 1–1Assist J. Holsgrove
    22’
  3. Half time · 1–1
  4. ⇄ Agustín MoreiraFor Joelson Fernandes
    52’
  5. ⇄ R. GuitaneFor A. Tsoungui
    59’
  6. ⇄ Pedro CarvalhoFor Gonçalo Costa
    68’
  7. ⇄ Héctor HernándezFor Gustavo Varela
    73’
  8. ⇄ Hevertton SantosFor Zé Carlos
    73’
  9. Y. Begraoui 2–1Assist João Carvalho
    74’
  10. João Carvalho 3–1
    80’
  11. ⇄ Carlos EduardoFor Luís Esteves
    83’
  12. ⇄ F. CáseresFor Zé Carlos
    83’
  13. ⇄ PizziFor Jandro Orellana
    86’
  14. Full time · 3–1

Team stats

Estoril10 shots · 9 in box, 1 outside
GIL Vicente11 shots · 10 in box, 1 outside
EstorilGIL Vicente
49% Possession 51%
2.18 Expected goals (xG) 2.28
1.35 Expected points (xPts) 1.46
10 Shots 11
7 Shots on target 4
2 Shots off target 3
1 Blocked shots 4
9 Shots inside the box 10
1 Shots outside the box 1
335 Passes 349
72% Pass accuracy 76%
1 Corners 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
13 Fouls 7
1 Offsides 1
0 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
7.08 Team rating 6.68

Line-ups

Estoril 4-3-1-2

17.2 Joel Robles(G)
206.3 Gonçalo Costa ↓68’ 257.5 F. Bacher 46.5 Ferro 26.9 Ricard Sánchez
107.9 J. Holsgrove A 56.3 A. Tsoungui ↓59’ 66.5 Jandro Orellana ↓86’
128.0 João Carvalho A
96.2 A. Marqués 148.5★ Y. Begraoui
  • 1Joel Robles (G)7.2
  • 20Gonçalo Costa↓68’6.3
  • 25F. Bacher7.5
  • 4Ferro6.5
  • 2Ricard Sánchez6.9
  • 10J. HolsgroveA7.9
  • 5A. Tsoungui↓59’6.3
  • 6Jandro Orellana↓86’6.5
  • 12João CarvalhoA8.0
  • 9A. Marqués6.2
  • 14Y. Begraoui ★8.5

Substitutes used

  • 99R. Guitane↑59’6.3
  • 22Pedro Carvalho↑68’6.6
  • 21Pizzi↑86’6.3

Unused: M. Turk, Jan Montes, Longin Bimai, Luís Gomes, Peixinho, K. Edwards

GIL Vicente 4-2-3-1

307.5 Lucão(G)
36.3 G. Konan 396.9 Jonathan Buatu 486.2 Espigares 26.6 Zé Carlos ↓73’
107.0 Luís Esteves ↓83’ 66.9 Zé Carlos ↓83’
116.3 Joelson Fernandes ↓52’ 956.3 Santi García 777.2 Murilo
896.2 Gustavo Varela ↓73’
  • 30Lucão (G)7.5
  • 3G. Konan6.3
  • 39Jonathan Buatu6.9
  • 48Espigares6.2
  • 2Zé Carlos↓73’6.6
  • 10Luís Esteves↓83’7.0
  • 6Zé Carlos↓83’6.9
  • 11Joelson Fernandes↓52’6.3
  • 95Santi García6.3
  • 77Murilo7.2
  • 89Gustavo Varela↓73’6.2

Substitutes used

  • 27Agustín Moreira↑52’6.6
  • 20Hevertton Santos↑73’6.2
  • 23Héctor Hernández↑73’6.5
  • 5F. Cáseres↑83’6.3
  • 29Carlos Eduardo↑83’6.7

Unused: Daniel Figueira, Diogo Costa, Sergio Bermejo, R. Rodrigues

Player stats

Top rated
Y. BegraouiEstoril8.5
2nd
João CarvalhoEstoril8.0
3rd
J. HolsgroveEstoril7.9

Estoril

GIL Vicente

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.