Primeira Liga Gameweek 19 Sat, Jan 24 2026 · 20:30 Estádio António Coimbra da Mota, Estoril
Estoril
4–2 Full time · HT 1–2 xG 2.08 – 2.04
Guimaraes
  • Y. Begraoui 29’, 78’
  • A. Marqués 56’, 65’
  • 27’ Samu
  • 34’ Matija Mitrović
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Estoril come from behind to beat Guimaraes

Estoril entered as narrow favourites, yet Guimaraes led 1–0 after 27 minutes through a Samu goal. But Begraoui and Marqués scored to turn it around for Estoril, who won 4–2. The chances were even, with xG of 2.08 and 2.04. On the chances created, Guimaraes deserved more: 1.4 expected points against the 0 points they took.

Estoril ✓39%
Draw27%
Guimaraes33%

Model vs reality

Estoril goals
4
Model 1.39 · xG 2.08
Guimaraes goals
2
Model 1.25 · xG 2.04
Total goals
6
Model 2.64 · xG 4.12
Score 4–2
1%
Most likely 1–1 (13%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 49%
Both scored
Yes
Model 54%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchA. MarquésEstoril · 2 goals
9.2
  • RefereeFabio Jose Costa Verissimo
  • VenueEstádio António Coimbra da Mota
  • Table before kick-offEstoril 9th · Guimaraes 8th

Timeline

  1. A. NdoyeYellow card
    22’
  2. R. GuitaneYellow card
    26’
  3. Samu 0–1Assist Gonçalo Nogueira
    27’
  4. Y. Begraoui 1–1Assist R. Guitane
    29’
  5. N. LominadzeYellow card
    33’
  6. Matija Mitrović 1–2
    34’
  7. Gonçalo NogueiraYellow card
    36’
  8. Half time · 1–2
  9. ⇄ PizziFor N. Lominadze
    46’
  10. A. Marqués 2–2Assist R. Guitane
    56’
  11. ⇄ Diogo SousaFor Gonçalo Nogueira
    58’
  12. ⇄ Gustavo SilvaFor N. Saviolo
    58’
  13. J. Teixeira MendesYellow card
    64’
  14. A. Marqués 3–2Assist J. Holsgrove
    65’
  15. ⇄ O. LebedenkoFor J. Teixeira Mendes
    72’
  16. ⇄ Fabio BlancoFor Samu
    72’
  17. ⇄ Gonçalo CostaFor Pedro Amaral
    73’
  18. ⇄ A. TsounguiFor Ricard Sánchez
    73’
  19. ⇄ XekaFor A. Marqués
    78’
  20. Y. Begraoui 4–2Assist Pizzi
    78’
  21. ⇄ E. OparaFor O. Camara
    82’
  22. ⇄ FerroFor R. Guitane
    90+1’
  23. Full time · 4–2

Team stats

Estoril16 shots · 9 in box, 7 outside
Guimaraes13 shots · 10 in box, 3 outside
EstorilGuimaraes
55% Possession 45%
2.08 Expected goals (xG) 2.04
1.42 Expected points (xPts) 1.38
16 Shots 13
6 Shots on target 4
4 Shots off target 7
6 Blocked shots 2
9 Shots inside the box 10
7 Shots outside the box 3
444 Passes 360
87% Pass accuracy 82%
4 Corners 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
9 Fouls 18
1 Offsides 1
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
7.22 Team rating 6.51

Line-ups

Estoril 4-4-2

16.3 Joel Robles(G)
246.2 Pedro Amaral ↓73’ 256.7 F. Bacher 447.3 K. Boma 25.9 Ricard Sánchez ↓73’
127.0 João Carvalho 107.9 J. Holsgrove A 997.9 R. Guitane AA↓90’ 76.3 N. Lominadze ↓46’
99.2★ A. Marqués ↓78’ 148.7 Y. Begraoui
  • 1Joel Robles (G)6.3
  • 24Pedro Amaral↓73’6.2
  • 25F. Bacher6.7
  • 44K. Boma7.3
  • 2Ricard Sánchez↓73’5.9
  • 12João Carvalho7.0
  • 10J. HolsgroveA7.9
  • 99R. GuitaneA×2↓90’7.9
  • 7N. Lominadze↓46’6.3
  • 9A. Marqués ★↓78’9.2
  • 14Y. Begraoui8.7

Substitutes used

  • 5A. Tsoungui↑73’6.3
  • 20Gonçalo Costa↑73’6.3
  • 4Ferro↑90’
  • 21PizziA↑46’7.0
  • 8Xeka↑78’6.3

Unused: M. Turk, Pedro Carvalho, K. Edwards, Peixinho

Guimaraes 4-2-3-1

255.9 Juan Castillo(G)
136.7 J. Teixeira Mendes ↓72’ 266.7 R. Abascal 36.7 M. Nóbrega 665.6 T. Strata
306.3 Gonçalo Nogueira A↓58’ 68.0 Matija Mitrović
486.5 N. Saviolo ↓58’ 207.3 Samu ↓72’ 195.9 O. Camara ↓82’
906.2 A. Ndoye
  • 25Juan Castillo (G)5.9
  • 13J. Teixeira Mendes↓72’6.7
  • 26R. Abascal6.7
  • 3M. Nóbrega6.7
  • 66T. Strata5.6
  • 30Gonçalo NogueiraA↓58’6.3
  • 6Matija Mitrović8.0
  • 48N. Saviolo↓58’6.5
  • 20Samu↓72’7.3
  • 19O. Camara↓82’5.9
  • 90A. Ndoye6.2

Substitutes used

  • 17O. Lebedenko↑72’6.5
  • 22Fabio Blanco↑72’6.9
  • 23Diogo Sousa↑58’6.6
  • 33E. Opara↑82’6.2
  • 11Gustavo Silva↑58’5.9

Unused: Charles, Miguel Maga, Thiago Balieiro, Rica Rocha

Player stats

Top rated
A. MarquésEstoril9.2
2nd
Y. BegraouiEstoril8.7
3rd
Matija MitrovićGuimaraes8.0

Estoril

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
Joel Robles G 90 0 0 2 sv 0 54% 24 0 0 0/0 0/1 6.3
Pedro Amaral D 73 0 0 1 (1) 0 92% 26 0 0 0/0 0/1 6.2
F. Bacher D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 94% 62 0 0 0/0 1/1 6.7
K. Boma D 90 0 0 1 (0) 1 94% 66 4 1 0/0 0/0 7.3
Ricard Sánchez D 73 0 0 0 (0) 1 91% 22 0 0 0/0 2/1 5.9
João Carvalho M 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 81% 48 0 1 0/0 0/3 7.0
J. Holsgrove M 90 0 1 1 (0) 1 92% 79 0 1 0/0 0/4 7.9
R. Guitane M 90 0 2 0 (0) 4 91% 34 1 1 9/15 3/2 7.9
N. Lominadze M 46 0 0 0 (0) 0 83% 18 3 0 1/2 1/1 6.3
A. Marqués F 78 2 0 3 (3) 0 60% 10 0 0 1/2 0/3 9.2
Y. Begraoui F 90 2 0 3 (2) 1 70% 23 0 0 1/2 0/1 8.7
A. Tsoungui D 17 0 0 0 (0) 0 60% 5 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.3
Gonçalo Costa D 17 0 0 1 (0) 0 100% 4 1 0 0/0 1/0 6.3
Ferro D 1 0 0 0 (0) 0 — 0 0 0 0/0 0/0 —
Pizzi M 44 0 1 0 (0) 2 89% 18 0 0 0/0 1/0 7.0
Xeka M 12 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 5 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.3

Guimaraes

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
Juan Castillo G 90 0 0 1 sv 0 57% 14 0 0 0/0 0/0 5.9
J. Teixeira Mendes D 72 0 0 1 (0) 2 82% 33 1 0 0/1 2/1 6.7
R. Abascal D 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 85% 54 1 2 0/0 0/0 6.7
M. Nóbrega D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 82% 39 1 2 1/1 1/0 6.7
T. Strata D 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 91% 34 0 0 0/0 1/0 5.6
Gonçalo Nogueira M 58 0 1 0 (0) 1 92% 25 1 1 0/0 3/1 6.3
Matija Mitrović M 90 1 0 1 (1) 1 83% 47 1 0 1/1 0/1 8.0
N. Saviolo M 58 0 0 0 (0) 0 63% 8 1 0 1/2 0/2 6.5
Samu M 72 1 0 3 (2) 1 87% 23 2 1 0/0 2/1 7.3
O. Camara F 82 0 0 0 (0) 1 88% 17 0 0 0/3 3/1 5.9
A. Ndoye F 90 0 0 4 (1) 2 75% 20 1 0 0/0 3/1 6.2
O. Lebedenko D 18 0 0 0 (0) 0 57% 7 2 0 0/0 0/0 6.5
Fabio Blanco F 18 0 0 1 (0) 0 70% 10 2 0 1/2 1/0 6.9
Diogo Sousa M 32 0 0 0 (0) 1 76% 21 1 0 1/1 2/1 6.6
E. Opara F 8 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 2 1 0 0/0 0/0 6.2
Gustavo Silva F 32 0 0 1 (0) 1 67% 6 0 0 0/1 0/0 5.9

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.