Primeira Liga Gameweek 27 Sun, Mar 22 2026 · 15:30 Estádio António Coimbra da Mota, Estoril
Estoril
1–2 Full time · HT 1–0 xG 1.23 – 1.60
Rio Ave
  • Ferro 17’
  • 54’ J. Brabec
  • 74’ (P) Jalen Blesa
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Rio Ave come from behind to beat Estoril

Estoril entered as favourites and led 1–0 at half-time through a Ferro goal. But Brabec and Blesa scored to turn it around for Rio Ave, who won 2–1. Rio Ave finished with the higher xG (1.60 vs 1.23). On the chances created, Estoril deserved more: 1.1 expected points against the 0 points they took.

Estoril48%
Draw28%
Rio Ave ✓24%

Model vs reality

Estoril goals
1
Model 1.47 · xG 1.23
Rio Ave goals
2
Model 0.97 · xG 1.60
Total goals
3
Model 2.44 · xG 2.83
Score 1–2
6%
Most likely 1–1 (13%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 44%
Both scored
Yes
Model 48%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchM. VrousaiRio Ave
8.3
  • RefereeAndre Filipe Domingues Narciso
  • VenueEstádio António Coimbra da Mota
  • Table before kick-offEstoril 7th · Rio Ave 14th

Timeline

  1. Ferro 1–0Assist J. Holsgrove
    17’
  2. João CarvalhoYellow card
    41’
  3. Half time · 1–0
  4. ⇄ André LacximicantFor R. Guitane
    46’
  5. J. Brabec 1–1Assist Diogo Bezerra
    54’
  6. ⇄ Jandro OrellanaFor Xeka
    58’
  7. ⇄ Pedro AmaralFor Pedro Carvalho
    58’
  8. Jalen Blesa (pen) 1–2
    74’
  9. ⇄ PizziFor A. Tsoungui
    75’
  10. André LacximicantYellow card
    78’
  11. ⇄ Ryan GuilhermeFor O. Pohlmann
    78’
  12. ⇄ Tamble MonteiroFor D. Špikić
    83’
  13. N. AbbeyYellow card
    85’
  14. ⇄ A. MarquésFor J. Holsgrove
    85’
  15. T. NikitscherYellow card
    87’
  16. ⇄ J. LombotoFor Jalen Blesa
    90+3’
  17. ⇄ João ToméFor Diogo Bezerra
    90+3’
  18. Full time · 1–2

Team stats

Estoril13 shots · 8 in box, 5 outside
Rio Ave13 shots · 9 in box, 4 outside
EstorilRio Ave
55% Possession 45%
1.23 Expected goals (xG) 1.60
1.13 Expected points (xPts) 1.63
13 Shots 13
4 Shots on target 8
6 Shots off target 2
3 Blocked shots 3
8 Shots inside the box 9
5 Shots outside the box 4
431 Passes 359
82% Pass accuracy 79%
9 Corners 7
5 Goalkeeper saves 3
15 Fouls 10
1 Offsides 3
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
6.76 Team rating 6.90

Line-ups

Estoril 4-3-3

16.9 Joel Robles(G)
27.2 Ricard Sánchez 256.9 F. Bacher 47.7 Ferro 226.2 Pedro Carvalho ↓58’
107.0 J. Holsgrove A↓85’ 56.3 A. Tsoungui ↓75’ 86.2 Xeka ↓58’
126.3 João Carvalho 146.6 Y. Begraoui 996.9 R. Guitane ↓46’
  • 1Joel Robles (G)6.9
  • 2Ricard Sánchez7.2
  • 25F. Bacher6.9
  • 4Ferro7.7
  • 22Pedro Carvalho↓58’6.2
  • 10J. HolsgroveA↓85’7.0
  • 5A. Tsoungui↓75’6.3
  • 8Xeka↓58’6.2
  • 12João Carvalho6.3
  • 14Y. Begraoui6.6
  • 99R. Guitane↓46’6.9

Substitutes used

  • 19André Lacximicant↑46’6.5
  • 24Pedro Amaral↑58’6.5
  • 6Jandro Orellana↑58’6.9
  • 21Pizzi↑75’6.7
  • 9A. Marqués↑85’6.2

Unused: M. Turk, Gonçalo Costa, N. Lominadze, Peixinho

Rio Ave 4-2-3-1

996.7 E. van der Gouw(G)
67.0 N. Abbey 396.9 Gustavo Mancha 327.6 J. Brabec 178.3★ M. Vrousai
56.9 A. Ntoi 446.6 T. Nikitscher
186.0 D. Špikić ↓83’ 806.3 O. Pohlmann ↓78’ 76.6 Diogo Bezerra
116.9 Jalen Blesa ↓90’
  • 99E. van der Gouw (G)6.7
  • 6N. Abbey7.0
  • 39Gustavo Mancha6.9
  • 32J. Brabec7.6
  • 17M. Vrousai ★8.3
  • 5A. Ntoi6.9
  • 44T. Nikitscher6.6
  • 18D. Špikić↓83’6.0
  • 80O. Pohlmann↓78’6.3
  • 7Diogo Bezerra6.6
  • 11Jalen Blesa↓90’6.9

Substitutes used

  • 63J. Lomboto↑90’
  • 20João Tomé↑90’
  • 8Ryan Guilherme↑78’6.7
  • 9Tamble Monteiro↑83’6.3

Unused: C. Miszta, Leonardo Buta, G. Liavas, A. Papakanellos, João Graça

Player stats

Top rated
M. VrousaiRio Ave8.3
2nd
FerroEstoril7.7
3rd
J. BrabecRio Ave7.6

Estoril

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
Joel Robles G 90 0 0 5 sv 0 54% 24 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.9
Ricard Sánchez D 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 88% 34 2 0 0/4 0/1 7.2
F. Bacher D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 91% 47 0 2 0/0 0/1 6.9
Ferro D 90 1 0 1 (1) 0 82% 51 1 4 1/1 0/0 7.7
Pedro Carvalho D 58 0 0 0 (0) 0 84% 25 2 1 0/1 1/0 6.2
J. Holsgrove M 85 0 1 1 (0) 3 82% 55 2 0 1/2 2/2 7.0
A. Tsoungui D 75 0 0 0 (0) 0 86% 22 2 0 0/1 4/2 6.3
Xeka M 58 0 0 0 (0) 0 78% 36 2 0 1/2 3/0 6.2
João Carvalho M 90 0 0 2 (0) 3 76% 41 1 0 1/5 1/0 6.3
Y. Begraoui F 90 0 0 2 (1) 1 87% 15 1 0 0/2 3/1 6.6
R. Guitane M 46 0 0 1 (1) 0 100% 20 0 0 0/1 0/1 6.9
André Lacximicant F 44 0 0 1 (1) 1 100% 5 0 0 0/0 1/1 6.5
Pedro Amaral D 32 0 0 1 (0) 0 91% 11 0 0 0/0 0/1 6.5
Jandro Orellana M 32 0 0 0 (0) 1 82% 22 3 1 0/0 0/0 6.9
Pizzi M 15 0 0 0 (0) 1 74% 23 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.7
A. Marqués F 5 0 0 1 (0) 0 — 0 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.2

Rio Ave

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
E. van der Gouw G 90 0 0 3 sv 0 71% 31 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.7
N. Abbey D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 73% 33 3 0 0/0 0/1 7.0
Gustavo Mancha D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 87% 47 1 0 0/0 1/0 6.9
J. Brabec D 90 1 0 1 (1) 0 95% 38 1 0 0/0 1/0 7.6
M. Vrousai F 90 0 0 2 (2) 0 80% 54 5 1 0/0 0/1 8.3
A. Ntoi D 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 71% 24 0 0 0/2 0/2 6.9
T. Nikitscher M 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 84% 44 2 1 2/2 2/0 6.6
D. Špikić F 83 0 0 1 (0) 2 65% 20 2 4 0/1 3/1 6.0
O. Pohlmann M 78 0 0 1 (0) 0 81% 21 1 1 0/0 1/3 6.3
Diogo Bezerra 90 0 0 2 (2) 1 53% 17 1 0 1/4 0/3 6.6
Jalen Blesa F 90 1 0 1 (1) 1 67% 21 1 0 1/5 2/1 6.9
J. Lomboto D 1 0 0 0 (0) 0 — 0 0 0 0/0 0/0 —
João Tomé D 1 0 0 0 (0) 0 — 0 0 0 0/0 0/0 —
Ryan Guilherme M 12 0 0 0 (0) 1 100% 6 0 0 1/2 0/0 6.7
Tamble Monteiro F 7 0 0 2 (2) 0 100% 3 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.3

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.