Primeira Liga Gameweek 3 Sat, Sep 6 2025 · 20:30 Estádio António Coimbra da Mota, Estoril
0–1 Full time · HT 0–0 xG 0.70 – 1.59
  • 53’ (P) Gabriel Silva
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Silva goal decides it for Santa Clara

Estoril entered as narrow favourites, but Santa Clara won 1–0 through a Silva goal. Santa Clara finished with the higher xG (1.59 vs 0.70).

Estoril47%
Draw27%
Santa Clara ✓26%

Model vs reality

Estoril goals
0
Model 1.51 · xG 0.70
Santa Clara goals
1
Model 1.08 · xG 1.59
Total goals
1
Model 2.59 · xG 2.29
Score 0–1
7%
Most likely 1–1 (13%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 48%
Both scored
No
Model 52%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchJ. HolsgroveEstoril
7.9
  • RefereeMiguel Bertolo Nogueira
  • VenueEstádio António Coimbra da Mota
  • Table before kick-offEstoril 14th · Santa Clara 15th

Timeline

  1. Patrick de PaulaYellow card · Simulation
    37’
  2. Half time · 0–0
  3. Gabriel Silva (pen) 0–1
    53’
  4. ⇄ R. GuitaneFor Patrick de Paula
    55’
  5. Paulo VictorYellow card · Foul
    56’
  6. João CarvalhoYellow card · Foul
    57’
  7. ⇄ Tiago BritoFor Pizzi
    65’
  8. ⇄ Y. BegraouiFor André Lacximicant
    65’
  9. Tiago BritoYellow card · Foul
    71’
  10. ⇄ Vinícius LopesFor Paulo Victor
    72’
  11. ⇄ Pedro FerreiraFor Serginho
    72’
  12. ⇄ Or IsraelovFor Ferro
    73’
  13. ⇄ A. MarquésFor Ricard Sánchez
    73’
  14. ⇄ Anthony CarterFor Brenner Lucas Gonçalves Santos
    73’
  15. Pedro CarvalhoYellow card · Foul
    78’
  16. ⇄ José TavaresFor Gabriel Silva
    83’
  17. Full time · 0–1

Team stats

Estoril15 shots · 9 in box, 6 outside
Santa Clara16 shots · 11 in box, 5 outside
EstorilSanta Clara
60% Possession 40%
0.70 Expected goals (xG) 1.59
0.74 Expected points (xPts) 2.01
15 Shots 16
4 Shots on target 4
10 Shots off target 7
1 Blocked shots 5
9 Shots inside the box 11
6 Shots outside the box 5
470 Passes 306
85% Pass accuracy 77%
5 Corners 7
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
16 Fouls 11
0 Offsides 4
4 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
6.68 Team rating 7.08

Line-ups

Estoril 5-3-2

17.2 Joel Robles(G)
26.7 Ricard Sánchez ↓73’ 246.6 Pedro Amaral 256.6 F. Bacher 46.5 Ferro ↓73’ 226.2 Pedro Carvalho
216.7 Pizzi ↓65’ 107.9★ J. Holsgrove 456.3 Patrick de Paula ↓55’
126.3 João Carvalho 196.3 André Lacximicant ↓65’
  • 1Joel Robles (G)7.2
  • 2Ricard Sánchez↓73’6.7
  • 24Pedro Amaral6.6
  • 25F. Bacher6.6
  • 4Ferro↓73’6.5
  • 22Pedro Carvalho6.2
  • 21Pizzi↓65’6.7
  • 10J. Holsgrove ★7.9
  • 45Patrick de Paula↓55’6.3
  • 12João Carvalho6.3
  • 19André Lacximicant↓65’6.3

Substitutes used

  • 18Or Israelov↑73’6.6
  • 9A. Marqués↑73’6.3
  • 90Tiago Brito↑65’6.7
  • 14Y. Begraoui↑65’6.5
  • 99R. Guitane↑55’6.9

Unused: Longin Bimai, Fabrício Garcia, Peixinho, Diogo Dias

Santa Clara 3-4-3

17.5 Gabriel Batista(G)
327.9 MT 217.3 F. Ferrão Venâncio 237.2 Sidney Lima
647.2 Paulo Victor ↓72’ 66.9 Adriano 357.3 Serginho ↓72’ 426.6 Lucas Soares
37.0 Matheus Pereira 107.2 Gabriel Silva ↓83’ 116.2 Brenner Lucas Gonçalves Santos ↓73’
  • 1Gabriel Batista (G)7.5
  • 32MT7.9
  • 21F. Ferrão Venâncio7.3
  • 23Sidney Lima7.2
  • 64Paulo Victor↓72’7.2
  • 6Adriano6.9
  • 35Serginho↓72’7.3
  • 42Lucas Soares6.6
  • 3Matheus Pereira7.0
  • 10Gabriel Silva↓83’7.2
  • 11Brenner Lucas Gonçalves Santos↓73’6.2

Substitutes used

  • 65José Tavares↑83’6.3
  • 9Anthony Carter↑73’6.3
  • 70Vinícius Lopes↑72’6.2
  • 8Pedro Ferreira↑72’6.7

Unused: Wendel, Luís Rocha, João Costa, Neneca, Elias Manoel

Player stats

Top rated
J. HolsgroveEstoril7.9
2nd
MTSanta Clara7.9
3rd
Gabriel BatistaSanta Clara7.5

Estoril

Santa Clara

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.