Primeira Liga Gameweek 15 Fri, Dec 19 2025 · 20:15 Estádio António Coimbra da Mota, Estoril
Estoril
1–0 Full time · HT 1–0 xG 2.00 – 2.20
SC Braga
  • André Lacximicant 43’
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Lacximicant goal decides it for Estoril

SC Braga entered as favourites, but Estoril won 1–0 through a Lacximicant goal. The chances were even, with xG of 2.00 and 2.20. On the chances created, SC Braga deserved more: 1.5 expected points against the 0 points they took.

Estoril ✓22%
Draw25%
SC Braga53%

Model vs reality

Estoril goals
1
Model 1.02 · xG 2.00
SC Braga goals
0
Model 1.71 · xG 2.20
Total goals
1
Model 2.73 · xG 4.20
Score 1–0
6%
Most likely 1–1 (12%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 51%
Both scored
No
Model 53%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchJ. HolsgroveEstoril
8.0
  • RefereeDavid Rafael Oliveira da Silva
  • VenueEstádio António Coimbra da Mota
  • Table before kick-offEstoril 13th · SC Braga 4th

Timeline

  1. Jandro OrellanaYellow card · Foul
    41’
  2. André Lacximicant 1–0Assist Pedro Amaral
    43’
  3. Half time · 1–0
  4. ⇄ Ricardo HortaFor D. Rodrigues
    61’
  5. ⇄ M. DorgelesFor Vitor Carvalho
    61’
  6. ⇄ FerroFor R. Guitane
    62’
  7. Pau VíctorYellow card · Foul
    62’
  8. ⇄ N. LominadzeFor Jandro Orellana
    71’
  9. ⇄ Tiago ParenteFor Pedro Amaral
    71’
  10. ⇄ Fran NavarroFor Gabri Martínez
    73’
  11. ⇄ F. GrillitschFor Jean-Baptiste Gorby
    73’
  12. Ricard SánchezYellow card
    78’
  13. ⇄ Fabrício GarciaFor André Lacximicant
    78’
  14. ⇄ A. TsounguiFor Ricard Sánchez
    78’
  15. Tiago ParenteYellow card · Holding
    82’
  16. ⇄ Leonardo LeloFor João Moutinho
    83’
  17. F. GrillitschYellow card · Unsportsmanlike conduct
    90+2’
  18. Fabrício GarciaYellow card · Unsportsmanlike conduct
    90+2’
  19. A. TsounguiYellow card · Unsportsmanlike conduct
    90+5’
  20. Full time · 1–0

Team stats

Estoril12 shots · 9 in box, 3 outside
SC Braga12 shots · 9 in box, 3 outside
EstorilSC Braga
32% Possession 68%
2.00 Expected goals (xG) 2.20
1.29 Expected points (xPts) 1.51
12 Shots 12
6 Shots on target 6
5 Shots off target 4
1 Blocked shots 2
9 Shots inside the box 9
3 Shots outside the box 3
311 Passes 671
75% Pass accuracy 87%
8 Corners 5
4 Goalkeeper saves 5
11 Fouls 8
1 Offsides 3
5 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
7.05 Team rating 6.86

Line-ups

Estoril 4-1-4-1

17.6 Joel Robles(G)
246.9 Pedro Amaral A↓71’ 256.9 F. Bacher 447.3 K. Boma 27.0 Ricard Sánchez ↓78’
108.0★ J. Holsgrove
197.7 André Lacximicant ↓78’ 127.2 João Carvalho 66.3 Jandro Orellana ↓71’ 145.6 Y. Begraoui
997.2 R. Guitane ↓62’
  • 1Joel Robles (G)7.6
  • 24Pedro AmaralA↓71’6.9
  • 25F. Bacher6.9
  • 44K. Boma7.3
  • 2Ricard Sánchez↓78’7.0
  • 10J. Holsgrove ★8.0
  • 19André Lacximicant↓78’7.7
  • 12João Carvalho7.2
  • 6Jandro Orellana↓71’6.3
  • 14Y. Begraoui5.6
  • 99R. Guitane↓62’7.2

Substitutes used

  • 4Ferro↑62’6.7
  • 55Tiago Parente↑71’6.7
  • 7N. Lominadze↑71’6.5
  • 5A. Tsoungui↑78’7.3
  • 17Fabrício Garcia↑78’7.3

Unused: M. Turk, Pedro Carvalho, Pizzi, A. Marqués

SC Braga 3-4-2-1

17.3 L. Horníček(G)
266.7 B. Arrey-Mbi 67.3 Vitor Carvalho ↓61’ 146.6 G. Lagerbielke
775.9 Gabri Martínez ↓73’ 87.0 João Moutinho ↓83’ 296.9 Jean-Baptiste Gorby ↓73’ 27.7 Víctor Gómez
506.9 D. Rodrigues ↓61’ 107.3 R. Zalazar
186.2 Pau Víctor
  • 1L. Horníček (G)7.3
  • 26B. Arrey-Mbi6.7
  • 6Vitor Carvalho↓61’7.3
  • 14G. Lagerbielke6.6
  • 77Gabri Martínez↓73’5.9
  • 8João Moutinho↓83’7.0
  • 29Jean-Baptiste Gorby↓73’6.9
  • 2Víctor Gómez7.7
  • 50D. Rodrigues↓61’6.9
  • 10R. Zalazar7.3
  • 18Pau Víctor6.2

Substitutes used

  • 20M. Dorgeles↑61’6.9
  • 21Ricardo Horta↑61’6.3
  • 27F. Grillitsch↑73’6.6
  • 39Fran Navarro↑73’6.5
  • 5Leonardo Lelo↑83’6.7

Unused: Tiago Sá, Paulo Oliveira, Gabriel Moscardo, Yanis da Rocha

Player stats

Top rated
J. HolsgroveEstoril8.0
2nd
André LacximicantEstoril7.7
3rd
Víctor GómezSC Braga7.7

Estoril

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
Joel Robles G 90 0 0 4 sv 0 62% 29 0 0 0/0 0/0 7.6
Pedro Amaral D 71 0 1 1 (0) 2 79% 28 0 0 1/1 1/0 6.9
F. Bacher D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 76% 29 2 0 0/0 2/1 6.9
K. Boma D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 73% 22 1 0 0/0 0/0 7.3
Ricard Sánchez D 78 0 0 0 (0) 2 78% 23 0 0 0/0 1/1 7.0
J. Holsgrove M 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 79% 48 2 0 0/0 1/1 8.0
André Lacximicant F 78 1 0 3 (2) 0 55% 20 0 1 0/0 0/1 7.7
João Carvalho M 90 0 0 0 (0) 3 91% 34 2 0 0/1 2/1 7.2
Jandro Orellana M 71 0 0 0 (0) 0 70% 20 1 2 0/0 2/1 6.3
Y. Begraoui F 90 0 0 5 (3) 0 55% 20 0 0 0/1 1/2 5.6
R. Guitane M 62 0 0 0 (0) 1 83% 24 0 0 5/10 0/0 7.2
Ferro D 28 0 0 1 (0) 0 100% 2 0 1 0/0 0/0 6.7
Tiago Parente D 19 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 3 1 0 0/0 1/0 6.7
N. Lominadze M 19 0 0 0 (0) 0 60% 5 0 2 0/1 0/0 6.5
A. Tsoungui D 12 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 1 1 0 0/0 0/0 7.3
Fabrício Garcia F 12 0 0 1 (1) 1 67% 3 0 0 1/1 0/0 7.3

SC Braga

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
L. Horníček G 90 0 0 5 sv 0 72% 32 0 0 0/0 0/0 7.3
B. Arrey-Mbi D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 91% 47 0 0 1/1 1/0 6.7
Vitor Carvalho M 61 0 0 0 (0) 0 91% 54 1 0 0/0 0/0 7.3
G. Lagerbielke D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 90% 90 1 0 0/0 1/0 6.6
Gabri Martínez F 73 0 0 1 (0) 0 72% 18 1 0 1/1 2/0 5.9
João Moutinho M 83 0 0 1 (1) 0 93% 73 1 1 0/0 0/0 7.0
Jean-Baptiste Gorby M 73 0 0 0 (0) 0 88% 72 4 1 0/1 0/1 6.9
Víctor Gómez D 90 0 0 1 (1) 2 86% 85 1 0 0/1 0/2 7.7
D. Rodrigues M 61 0 0 1 (0) 1 79% 19 3 0 1/1 1/2 6.9
R. Zalazar M 90 0 0 2 (1) 3 77% 64 0 0 4/4 0/3 7.3
Pau Víctor F 90 0 0 3 (2) 1 87% 31 1 0 1/2 3/1 6.2
M. Dorgeles M 29 0 0 0 (0) 0 92% 39 0 0 3/3 0/1 6.9
Ricardo Horta F 29 0 0 1 (1) 0 89% 18 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.3
F. Grillitsch M 17 0 0 0 (0) 0 89% 27 0 0 0/0 0/1 6.6
Fran Navarro F 17 0 0 0 (0) 1 — 0 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.5
Leonardo Lelo D 7 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 2 1 0 0/0 0/0 6.7

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.