Primeira Liga Gameweek 7 Sat, Sep 27 2025 · 20:30 Estádio António Coimbra da Mota, Estoril
Estoril
0–1 Full time · HT 0–1 xG 0.21 – 1.21
Sporting CP
  • 12’ L. Suárez
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Suárez goal decides it for Sporting CP

Sporting CP entered as clear favourites and won 1–0 through a Suárez goal. Sporting CP finished with the higher xG (1.21 vs 0.21).

Estoril14%
Draw21%
Sporting CP ✓66%

Model vs reality

Estoril goals
0
Model 0.84 · xG 0.21
Sporting CP goals
1
Model 2.08 · xG 1.21
Total goals
1
Model 2.92 · xG 1.42
Score 0–1
11%
Most likely 0–2 (12%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 56%
Both scored
No
Model 50%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchL. SuárezSporting CP · 1 goal
8.2
  • RefereeLuís Godinho
  • VenueEstádio António Coimbra da Mota
  • Table before kick-offEstoril 13th · Sporting CP 3rd

Timeline

  1. L. Suárez 0–1Assist M. Araújo
    12’
  2. ⇄ Pedro CarvalhoFor Ricard Sánchez
    34’
  3. Half time · 0–1
  4. ⇄ G. KochorashviliFor H. Morita
    46’
  5. Patrick de PaulaYellow card · Tripping
    48’
  6. A. MarquésYellow card · Unsportsmanlike conduct
    61’
  7. M. HjulmandYellow card · Holding
    64’
  8. ⇄ N. LominadzeFor Patrick de Paula
    64’
  9. ⇄ André LacximicantFor A. Marqués
    64’
  10. ⇄ Iván FresnedaFor G. Vagiannidis
    73’
  11. ⇄ F. IoannidisFor L. Suárez
    73’
  12. ⇄ Geny CatamoFor G. Quenda
    74’
  13. ⇄ Y. BegraouiFor Pedro Amaral
    75’
  14. ⇄ Fabrício GarciaFor R. Guitane
    75’
  15. ⇄ Alisson SantosFor Pote
    84’
  16. Geny CatamoYellow card · Tripping
    85’
  17. Y. BegraouiYellow card · Roughing
    86’
  18. Pedro CarvalhoYellow card · Holding
    89’
  19. Full time · 0–1

Team stats

Estoril7 shots · 4 in box, 3 outside
Sporting CP9 shots · 5 in box, 4 outside
EstorilSporting CP
38% Possession 62%
0.21 Expected goals (xG) 1.21
0.50 Expected points (xPts) 2.19
7 Shots 9
2 Shots on target 2
3 Shots off target 4
2 Blocked shots 3
4 Shots inside the box 5
3 Shots outside the box 4
365 Passes 600
76% Pass accuracy 87%
3 Corners 9
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
13 Fouls 12
1 Offsides 3
4 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
6.56 Team rating 6.98

Line-ups

Estoril 3-4-2-1

16.2 Joel Robles(G)
46.9 Ferro 256.6 F. Bacher 446.6 K. Boma
246.2 Pedro Amaral ↓75’ 456.5 Patrick de Paula ↓64’ 106.9 J. Holsgrove 26.5 Ricard Sánchez ↓34’
996.6 R. Guitane ↓75’ 126.6 João Carvalho
96.7 A. Marqués ↓64’
  • 1Joel Robles (G)6.2
  • 4Ferro6.9
  • 25F. Bacher6.6
  • 44K. Boma6.6
  • 24Pedro Amaral↓75’6.2
  • 45Patrick de Paula↓64’6.5
  • 10J. Holsgrove6.9
  • 2Ricard Sánchez↓34’6.5
  • 99R. Guitane↓75’6.6
  • 12João Carvalho6.6
  • 9A. Marqués↓64’6.7

Substitutes used

  • 22Pedro Carvalho↑34’6.3
  • 7N. Lominadze↑64’6.7
  • 14Y. Begraoui↑75’6.3
  • 19André Lacximicant↑64’6.7
  • 17Fabrício Garcia↑75’6.3

Unused: M. Turk, A. Tsoungui, Pizzi, Tiago Brito

Sporting CP 4-2-3-1

17.5 Rui Silva(G)
206.3 M. Araújo A 257.9 G. Inácio 67.5 Z. Debast 136.9 G. Vagiannidis ↓73’
56.3 H. Morita ↓46’ 427.0 M. Hjulmand
86.2 Pote ↓84’ 176.3 Trincão 77.0 G. Quenda ↓74’
978.2★ L. Suárez ↓73’
  • 1Rui Silva (G)7.5
  • 20M. AraújoA6.3
  • 25G. Inácio7.9
  • 6Z. Debast7.5
  • 13G. Vagiannidis↓73’6.9
  • 5H. Morita↓46’6.3
  • 42M. Hjulmand7.0
  • 8Pote↓84’6.2
  • 17Trincão6.3
  • 7G. Quenda↓74’7.0
  • 97L. Suárez ★↓73’8.2

Substitutes used

  • 22Iván Fresneda↑73’6.6
  • 14G. Kochorashvili↑46’6.7
  • 10Geny Catamo↑74’6.2
  • 89F. Ioannidis↑73’6.5
  • 27Alisson Santos↑84’

Unused: João Virgínia, Eduardo Quaresma, Ricardo Mangas, João Simões

Player stats

Top rated
L. SuárezSporting CP8.2
2nd
G. InácioSporting CP7.9
3rd
Rui SilvaSporting CP7.5

Estoril

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
Joel Robles G 90 0 0 0 sv 0 44% 34 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.2
Ferro D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 83% 23 4 1 1/1 1/0 6.9
F. Bacher D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 91% 33 2 2 0/0 0/2 6.6
K. Boma D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 80% 35 1 3 0/0 0/1 6.6
Pedro Amaral D 75 0 0 1 (0) 0 75% 16 0 0 1/2 2/1 6.2
Patrick de Paula M 64 0 0 0 (0) 0 95% 20 3 3 0/0 3/0 6.5
J. Holsgrove M 90 0 0 2 (1) 1 87% 61 1 2 1/3 1/1 6.9
Ricard Sánchez D 34 0 0 0 (0) 0 71% 14 0 1 0/2 1/1 6.5
R. Guitane M 75 0 0 0 (0) 2 75% 24 0 0 5/8 0/3 6.6
João Carvalho M 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 79% 43 0 0 0/2 0/1 6.6
A. Marqués F 64 0 0 1 (1) 1 50% 14 1 0 2/3 2/0 6.7
Pedro Carvalho D 56 0 0 1 (0) 0 82% 22 0 0 0/0 1/0 6.3
N. Lominadze M 26 0 0 0 (0) 0 71% 7 1 2 1/1 0/0 6.7
Y. Begraoui F 15 0 0 0 (0) 0 80% 5 0 0 0/0 1/1 6.3
André Lacximicant F 26 0 0 0 (0) 0 75% 8 1 0 1/2 0/0 6.7
Fabrício Garcia F 15 0 0 0 (0) 0 0% 2 0 0 0/0 0/1 6.3

Sporting CP

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
Rui Silva G 90 0 0 2 sv 0 100% 25 0 0 0/0 0/0 7.5
M. Araújo M 90 0 1 0 (0) 1 79% 33 1 2 1/1 1/0 6.3
G. Inácio D 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 88% 119 4 0 0/0 1/1 7.9
Z. Debast D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 94% 86 1 0 0/0 0/0 7.5
G. Vagiannidis D 73 0 0 0 (0) 0 94% 48 0 0 1/1 0/1 6.9
H. Morita M 46 0 0 2 (0) 0 83% 30 2 2 0/0 2/0 6.3
M. Hjulmand M 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 89% 75 4 0 0/0 1/1 7.0
Pote M 84 0 0 2 (0) 1 84% 38 2 0 1/3 0/1 6.2
Trincão F 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 81% 36 1 0 1/4 1/2 6.3
G. Quenda F 74 0 0 0 (0) 1 75% 32 2 0 2/3 0/2 7.0
L. Suárez F 73 1 0 1 (1) 1 71% 17 1 0 3/3 2/2 8.2
Iván Fresneda D 17 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 9 0 0 0/0 0/1 6.6
G. Kochorashvili M 44 0 0 0 (0) 0 93% 30 1 1 0/0 1/0 6.7
Geny Catamo M 16 0 0 0 (0) 0 25% 4 1 0 0/0 2/0 6.2
F. Ioannidis F 17 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 1 0 0 0/1 1/0 6.5
Alisson Santos F 6 0 0 0 (0) 0 33% 3 0 0 0/0 0/1 —

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.