Primeira Liga Gameweek 13 Sun, Dec 7 2025 · 18:00 Estádio José Gomes, Amadora
3–1 Full time · HT 2–0 xG 2.78 – 0.46
  • Kikas 29’
  • A. Marcus 34’
  • Rodrigo Pinho 90’
  • 59’ T. Fukui
  • 28’ Alex Pinto
  • 68’ T. Fukui
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Estrela beat Arouca

Estrela entered as narrow favourites and won 3–1 through goals from Kikas, Marcus and Pinho. Arouca replied through a Fukui goal. Arouca played with ten men from the 28th minute after Pinto was sent off. Estrela finished with the higher xG (2.78 vs 0.46).

Estrela ✓39%
Draw28%
Arouca33%

Model vs reality

Estrela goals
3
Model 1.32 · xG 2.78
Arouca goals
1
Model 1.20 · xG 0.46
Total goals
4
Model 2.51 · xG 3.24
Score 3–1
4%
Most likely 1–1 (13%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 46%
Both scored
Yes
Model 52%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchA. MarcusEstrela · 1 goal
8.2
  • RefereeJoao Antonio Ferreira Goncalves
  • VenueEstádio José Gomes
  • Table before kick-offEstrela 14th · Arouca 17th

Timeline

  1. Alex PintoRed card
    28’
  2. Kikas 1–0Assist I. Stoica
    29’
  3. A. Marcus 2–0Assist I. Stoica
    34’
  4. Oumar NgomYellow card
    45’
  5. Half time · 2–0
  6. N. DjouahraYellow card
    51’
  7. E. van EeYellow card
    51’
  8. T. Fukui 2–1
    59’
  9. ⇄ Pedro SantosFor E. van Ee
    62’
  10. T. FukuiRed card
    68’
  11. ⇄ Rodrigo PinhoFor Jovane Cabral
    68’
  12. ⇄ Jefferson EncadaFor Oumar Ngom
    73’
  13. ⇄ RobinhoFor Otávio
    73’
  14. ⇄ Lee Hyun-JuFor A. Trezza
    73’
  15. ⇄ Jorge MeirelesFor I. Stoica
    82’
  16. ⇄ Leandro AntonettiFor Kikas
    82’
  17. ⇄ BarberoFor D. Nandin
    82’
  18. Pedro SantosYellow card
    85’
  19. Rodrigo Pinho 3–1Assist Jorge Meireles
    90’
  20. Lee Hyun-JuYellow card
    90+7’
  21. Full time · 3–1

Team stats

Estrela21 shots · 14 in box, 7 outside
Arouca8 shots · 6 in box, 2 outside
EstrelaArouca
63% Possession 37%
2.78 Expected goals (xG) 0.46
2.67 Expected points (xPts) 0.23
21 Shots 8
7 Shots on target 2
6 Shots off target 4
8 Blocked shots 2
14 Shots inside the box 6
7 Shots outside the box 2
425 Passes 246
87% Pass accuracy 75%
5 Corners 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
12 Fouls 13
2 Offsides 1
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 2
7.12 Team rating 6.50

Line-ups

Estrela 3-4-3

406.2 Renan Ribeiro(G)
836.9 Otávio ↓73’ 147.0 Bernardo Schappo 307.2 Luan Patrick
107.9 I. Stoica AA↓82’ 66.6 Oumar Ngom ↓73’ 196.9 Paulo Moreira 556.6 Sidny Lopes Cabral
117.0 Jovane Cabral ↓68’ 987.9 Kikas ↓82’ 998.2★ A. Marcus
  • 40Renan Ribeiro (G)6.2
  • 83Otávio↓73’6.9
  • 14Bernardo Schappo7.0
  • 30Luan Patrick7.2
  • 10I. StoicaA×2↓82’7.9
  • 6Oumar Ngom↓73’6.6
  • 19Paulo Moreira6.9
  • 55Sidny Lopes Cabral6.6
  • 11Jovane Cabral↓68’7.0
  • 98Kikas↓82’7.9
  • 99A. Marcus ★8.2

Substitutes used

  • 9Rodrigo Pinho↑68’7.9
  • 17Jefferson Encada↑73’6.6
  • 8Robinho↑73’6.3
  • 18Jorge MeirelesA↑82’6.6
  • 7Leandro Antonetti↑82’6.7

Unused: David Grilo, A. Chernev, A. Sola, J. Gastao

Arouca 4-3-3

586.2 N. Mantl(G)
446.6 A. Dante 56.3 B. Popović 667.3 Omar Fayed 784.9 Alex Pinto
217.0 T. Fukui 226.3 E. van Ee ↓62’ 116.3 Miguel Puche
76.6 N. Djouahra 236.9 D. Nandin ↓82’ 195.9 A. Trezza ↓73’
  • 58N. Mantl (G)6.2
  • 44A. Dante6.6
  • 5B. Popović6.3
  • 66Omar Fayed7.3
  • 78Alex Pinto4.9
  • 21T. Fukui7.0
  • 22E. van Ee↓62’6.3
  • 11Miguel Puche6.3
  • 7N. Djouahra6.6
  • 23D. Nandin↓82’6.9
  • 19A. Trezza↓73’5.9

Substitutes used

  • 89Pedro Santos↑62’6.6
  • 14Lee Hyun-Ju↑73’6.5
  • 17Barbero↑82’6.5

Unused: João Valido, Arnau Solà, M. Rocha, Brian Mansilla, David Simão, Pablo Gozálbez

Player stats

Top rated
A. MarcusEstrela8.2
2nd
I. StoicaEstrela7.9
3rd
KikasEstrela7.9

Estrela

Arouca

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.