Primeira Liga Gameweek 18 Mon, Jan 19 2026 · 20:15 Estádio José Gomes, Amadora
0–5 Full time · HT 0–1 xG 0.22 – 2.27
  • A. Marcus 45’
  • 3’ João Carvalho
  • 51’, 54’ (P), 70’ Y. Begraoui
  • 64’ A. Marqués
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Begraoui hat-trick sinks Estrela

Estoril won 5–0 through goals from Carvalho, Begraoui and Marqués. Estrela played with ten men from the 45th minute after Marcus was sent off. Estoril finished with the higher xG (2.27 vs 0.22).

Estrela35%
Draw28%
Estoril ✓36%

Model vs reality

Estrela goals
0
Model 1.25 · xG 0.22
Estoril goals
5
Model 1.27 · xG 2.27
Total goals
5
Model 2.53 · xG 2.49
Score 0–5
<1%
Most likely 1–1 (13%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 46%
Both scored
No
Model 52%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchJoão CarvalhoEstoril · 1 goal · 2 assists
10.0
  • RefereePedro Ramalho
  • CoachesJoao Nuno · —
  • VenueEstádio José Gomes
  • Table before kick-offEstrela 12th · Estoril 10th

Timeline

  1. João Carvalho 0–1Assist J. Holsgrove
    3’
  2. A. MarcusRed card
    45’
  3. Half time · 0–1
  4. ⇄ Guilherme MontóiaFor Bernardo Schappo
    46’
  5. ⇄ Jovane CabralFor I. Stoica
    46’
  6. Y. Begraoui 0–2Assist João Carvalho
    51’
  7. Y. Begraoui (pen) 0–3
    54’
  8. A. Marqués 0–4Assist João Carvalho
    64’
  9. ⇄ A. TsounguiFor K. Boma
    66’
  10. ⇄ PizziFor A. Marqués
    66’
  11. ⇄ FerroFor João Carvalho
    66’
  12. ⇄ PeixinhoFor Ricard Sánchez
    67’
  13. ⇄ RobinhoFor A. Sola
    67’
  14. ⇄ Alisson SouzaFor Jorge Meireles
    67’
  15. Y. Begraoui 0–5Assist Pedro Amaral
    70’
  16. RobinhoYellow card
    73’
  17. ⇄ N. LominadzeFor J. Holsgrove
    78’
  18. ⇄ A. ChernevFor Otávio
    80’
  19. Jandro OrellanaYellow card
    81’
  20. PeixinhoYellow card
    84’
  21. Jovane CabralYellow card
    90+2’
  22. Full time · 0–5

Team stats

Estrela6 shots · 1 in box, 5 outside
Estoril11 shots · 9 in box, 2 outside
EstrelaEstoril
40% Possession 60%
0.22 Expected goals (xG) 2.27
0.21 Expected points (xPts) 2.66
6 Shots 11
2 Shots on target 6
3 Shots off target 2
1 Blocked shots 3
1 Shots inside the box 9
5 Shots outside the box 2
347 Passes 526
81% Pass accuracy 87%
1 Corners 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
15 Fouls 12
1 Offsides 1
2 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 0
6.04 Team rating 7.35

Line-ups

Estrela 4-2-3-1

405.2 Renan Ribeiro(G)
835.3 Otávio ↓80’ 146.6 Bernardo Schappo ↓46’ 306.3 Luan Patrick 176.0 Jefferson Encada
636.5 A. Sola ↓67’ 195.9 Paulo Moreira
106.3 I. Stoica ↓46’ 186.7 Jorge Meireles ↓67’ 995.6 A. Marcus
986.3 Kikas
  • 40Renan Ribeiro (G)5.2
  • 83Otávio↓80’5.3
  • 14Bernardo Schappo↓46’6.6
  • 30Luan Patrick6.3
  • 17Jefferson Encada6.0
  • 63A. Sola↓67’6.5
  • 19Paulo Moreira5.9
  • 10I. Stoica↓46’6.3
  • 18Jorge Meireles↓67’6.7
  • 99A. Marcus5.6
  • 98Kikas6.3

Substitutes used

  • 21Guilherme Montóia↑46’5.6
  • 11Jovane Cabral↑46’6.3
  • 79A. Chernev↑80’6.3
  • 80Alisson Souza↑67’6.7
  • 8Robinho↑67’6.2

Unused: David Grilo, Rodrigo Pinho, P. Fuhrer, Leandro Antonetti

Coach: Joao Nuno

Estoril 4-4-2

16.3 Joel Robles(G)
246.9 Pedro Amaral A 257.9 F. Bacher 446.9 K. Boma ↓66’ 27.9 Ricard Sánchez ↓67’
1210.0★ João Carvalho AA↓66’ 107.3 J. Holsgrove A↓78’ 66.9 Jandro Orellana 996.5 R. Guitane
96.9 A. Marqués ↓66’ 149.0 Y. Begraoui
  • 1Joel Robles (G)6.3
  • 24Pedro AmaralA6.9
  • 25F. Bacher7.9
  • 44K. Boma↓66’6.9
  • 2Ricard Sánchez↓67’7.9
  • 12João Carvalho ★A×2↓66’10.0
  • 10J. HolsgroveA↓78’7.3
  • 6Jandro Orellana6.9
  • 99R. Guitane6.5
  • 9A. Marqués↓66’6.9
  • 14Y. Begraoui9.0

Substitutes used

  • 4Ferro↑66’6.6
  • 5A. Tsoungui↑66’6.7
  • 21Pizzi↑66’6.3
  • 7N. Lominadze↑78’6.7
  • 70Peixinho↑67’6.2

Unused: M. Turk, Pedro Carvalho, Gonçalo Costa, K. Edwards

Player stats

Top rated
João CarvalhoEstoril10.0
2nd
Y. BegraouiEstoril9.0
3rd
F. BacherEstoril7.9

Estrela

Estoril

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.