Primeira Liga Gameweek 5 Sun, Sep 14 2025 · 15:30 Estádio José Gomes, Amadora
0–2 Full time · HT 0–1 xG 0.51 – 1.36
  • 33’ Nélson Oliveira
  • 90’ A. Ndoye
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Guimaraes beat Estrela

Guimaraes entered as favourites and won 2–0 through goals from Oliveira and Ndoye. Guimaraes finished with the higher xG (1.36 vs 0.51).

Estrela25%
Draw27%
Guimaraes ✓49%

Model vs reality

Estrela goals
0
Model 1.04 · xG 0.51
Guimaraes goals
2
Model 1.56 · xG 1.36
Total goals
2
Model 2.60 · xG 1.87
Score 0–2
9%
Most likely 1–1 (13%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 48%
Both scored
No
Model 52%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchRenan RibeiroEstrela
7.9
  • RefereeMiguel Nogueira
  • VenueEstádio José Gomes
  • Table before kick-offEstrela 14th · Guimaraes 12th

Timeline

  1. Nélson Oliveira 0–1Assist R. Abascal
    33’
  2. Half time · 0–1
  3. ⇄ I. StoicaFor Rodrigo Pinho
    46’
  4. ⇄ Matija MitrovićFor Gonçalo Nogueira
    53’
  5. ⇄ N. SavioloFor Nélson Oliveira
    64’
  6. Jefferson EncadaYellow card · Foul
    71’
  7. ⇄ Jorge MeirelesFor Bernardo Schappo
    74’
  8. ⇄ A. NdoyeFor Telmo Arcanjo
    74’
  9. ⇄ Nuno SantosFor M. Nogueira
    75’
  10. ⇄ Alan GodoyFor Robinho
    81’
  11. ⇄ J. GastaoFor Kikas
    81’
  12. VAR I. StoicaRed card cancelled
    88’
  13. I. StoicaYellow card · Foul
    89’
  14. ⇄ Leandro AntonettiFor A. Marcus
    90’
  15. A. Ndoye 0–2Assist N. Saviolo
    90’
  16. Full time · 0–2

Team stats

Estrela10 shots · 4 in box, 6 outside
Guimaraes14 shots · 9 in box, 5 outside
EstrelaGuimaraes
59% Possession 41%
0.51 Expected goals (xG) 1.36
0.70 Expected points (xPts) 2.02
10 Shots 14
1 Shots on target 6
9 Shots off target 6
0 Blocked shots 2
4 Shots inside the box 9
6 Shots outside the box 5
383 Passes 263
85% Pass accuracy 79%
3 Corners 2
4 Goalkeeper saves 1
10 Fouls 11
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
6.67 Team rating 7.07

Line-ups

Estrela 5-3-2

407.9★ Renan Ribeiro(G)
176.2 Jefferson Encada 796.7 A. Chernev 146.9 Bernardo Schappo ↓74’ 306.3 Luan Patrick 556.2 Sidny Lopes Cabral
86.9 Robinho ↓81’ 196.9 Paulo Moreira 996.7 A. Marcus ↓90’
986.3 Kikas ↓81’ 96.3 Rodrigo Pinho ↓46’
  • 40Renan Ribeiro (G) ★7.9
  • 17Jefferson Encada6.2
  • 79A. Chernev6.7
  • 14Bernardo Schappo↓74’6.9
  • 30Luan Patrick6.3
  • 55Sidny Lopes Cabral6.2
  • 8Robinho↓81’6.9
  • 19Paulo Moreira6.9
  • 99A. Marcus↓90’6.7
  • 98Kikas↓81’6.3
  • 9Rodrigo Pinho↓46’6.3

Substitutes used

  • 7Leandro Antonetti↑90’6.2
  • 13Alan Godoy↑81’6.3
  • 89J. Gastao↑81’6.5
  • 18Jorge Meireles↑74’7.2
  • 10I. Stoica↑46’6.5

Unused: Diogo Pinto, I. Dramé, Ryan, A. Sola

Guimaraes 4-2-3-1

257.3 Juan Castillo(G)
136.9 J. Teixeira Mendes 267.3 R. Abascal A 46.9 Óscar Rivas 27.2 Miguel Maga
167.2 Beni 306.9 Gonçalo Nogueira ↓53’
116.9 Gustavo Silva 887.0 M. Nogueira ↓75’ 187.2 Telmo Arcanjo ↓74’
77.3 Nélson Oliveira ↓64’
  • 25Juan Castillo (G)7.3
  • 13J. Teixeira Mendes6.9
  • 26R. AbascalA7.3
  • 4Óscar Rivas6.9
  • 2Miguel Maga7.2
  • 16Beni7.2
  • 30Gonçalo Nogueira↓53’6.9
  • 11Gustavo Silva6.9
  • 88M. Nogueira↓75’7.0
  • 18Telmo Arcanjo↓74’7.2
  • 7Nélson Oliveira↓64’7.3

Substitutes used

  • 77Nuno Santos↑75’6.9
  • 90A. Ndoye↑74’7.3
  • 48N. SavioloA↑64’6.7
  • 6Matija Mitrović↑53’6.6

Unused: O. Lebedenko, M. Nóbrega, Rica Rocha, Charles, Fabio Blanco

Player stats

Top rated
Renan RibeiroEstrela7.9
2nd
Juan CastilloGuimaraes7.3
3rd
R. AbascalGuimaraes7.3

Estrela

Guimaraes

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.