Primeira Liga Gameweek 9 Sat, Oct 25 2025 · 20:30 Estádio José Gomes, Amadora
Estrela
1–2 Full time · HT 1–0 xG 0.79 – 0.61
Rio Ave
  • Paulo Moreira 28’
  • 50’ André Luiz
  • 72’ M. Vrousai
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Rio Ave come from behind to beat Estrela

Estrela led 1–0 at half-time through a Moreira goal. But Luiz and Vrousai scored to turn it around for Rio Ave, who won 2–1. The chances were even, with xG of 0.79 and 0.61. On the chances created, Estrela deserved more: 1.5 expected points against the 0 points they took.

Estrela34%
Draw28%
Rio Ave ✓37%

Model vs reality

Estrela goals
1
Model 1.22 · xG 0.79
Rio Ave goals
2
Model 1.28 · xG 0.61
Total goals
3
Model 2.50 · xG 1.40
Score 1–2
8%
Most likely 1–1 (14%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 46%
Both scored
Yes
Model 51%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchM. VrousaiRio Ave · 1 goal
8.5
  • RefereeLuís Godinho
  • VenueEstádio José Gomes
  • Table before kick-offEstrela 15th · Rio Ave 13th

Timeline

  1. B. AguileraYellow card
    10’
  2. Oumar NgomYellow card
    24’
  3. Paulo Moreira 1–0Assist Jorge Meireles
    28’
  4. Half time · 1–0
  5. ⇄ O. PohlmannFor B. Aguilera
    46’
  6. ⇄ G. LiavasFor F. Petrasso
    46’
  7. André Luiz 1–1Assist Clayton
    50’
  8. ⇄ Guilherme MontóiaFor Otávio
    57’
  9. ⇄ RobinhoFor Jorge Meireles
    67’
  10. ⇄ A. PapakanellosFor D. Špikić
    67’
  11. ⇄ I. StoicaFor A. Marcus
    67’
  12. M. Vrousai 1–2Assist A. Ntoi
    72’
  13. ⇄ J. GastaoFor Jefferson Encada
    74’
  14. ⇄ Rodrigo PinhoFor Paulo Moreira
    74’
  15. J. PanzoYellow card
    74’
  16. C. MisztaYellow card
    75’
  17. ⇄ Marc GualFor Clayton
    82’
  18. RobinhoYellow card
    85’
  19. N. AthanasiouYellow card
    85’
  20. O. PohlmannYellow card
    85’
  21. ⇄ J. LombotoFor André Luiz
    90’
  22. Sidny Lopes CabralYellow card
    90+3’
  23. Full time · 1–2

Team stats

Estrela15 shots · 7 in box, 8 outside
Rio Ave8 shots · 6 in box, 2 outside
EstrelaRio Ave
56% Possession 44%
0.79 Expected goals (xG) 0.61
1.47 Expected points (xPts) 1.15
15 Shots 8
2 Shots on target 2
7 Shots off target 4
6 Blocked shots 2
7 Shots inside the box 6
8 Shots outside the box 2
407 Passes 323
87% Pass accuracy 82%
4 Corners 5
0 Goalkeeper saves 1
15 Fouls 20
3 Offsides 2
3 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
6.66 Team rating 6.88

Line-ups

Estrela 3-5-2

405.5 Renan Ribeiro(G)
836.6 Otávio ↓57’ 796.0 A. Chernev 306.7 Luan Patrick
556.9 Sidny Lopes Cabral 187.0 Jorge Meireles A↓67’ 67.9 Oumar Ngom 198.3 Paulo Moreira ↓74’ 176.3 Jefferson Encada ↓74’
986.0 Kikas 996.7 A. Marcus ↓67’
  • 40Renan Ribeiro (G)5.5
  • 83Otávio↓57’6.6
  • 79A. Chernev6.0
  • 30Luan Patrick6.7
  • 55Sidny Lopes Cabral6.9
  • 18Jorge MeirelesA↓67’7.0
  • 6Oumar Ngom7.9
  • 19Paulo Moreira↓74’8.3
  • 17Jefferson Encada↓74’6.3
  • 98Kikas6.0
  • 99A. Marcus↓67’6.7

Substitutes used

  • 21Guilherme Montóia↑57’6.3
  • 8Robinho↑67’6.3
  • 10I. Stoica↑67’6.3
  • 9Rodrigo Pinho↑74’6.3

Unused: David Grilo, A. Sola, Leandro Antonetti

Rio Ave 3-4-3

16.7 C. Miszta(G)
46.9 J. Panzo 326.9 J. Brabec 236.2 F. Petrasso ↓46’
36.6 N. Athanasiou 106.3 B. Aguilera ↓46’ 56.6 A. Ntoi A 178.5★ M. Vrousai
186.3 D. Špikić ↓67’ 96.7 Clayton A↓82’ 117.9 André Luiz ↓90’
  • 1C. Miszta (G)6.7
  • 4J. Panzo6.9
  • 32J. Brabec6.9
  • 23F. Petrasso↓46’6.2
  • 3N. Athanasiou6.6
  • 10B. Aguilera↓46’6.3
  • 5A. NtoiA6.6
  • 17M. Vrousai ★8.5
  • 18D. Špikić↓67’6.3
  • 9ClaytonA↓82’6.7
  • 11André Luiz↓90’7.9

Substitutes used

  • 63J. Lomboto↑90’
  • 54G. Liavas↑46’6.6
  • 19A. Papakanellos↑67’6.2
  • 80O. Pohlmann↑46’6.2
  • 28Marc Gual↑82’6.5

Unused: K. Chamorro, E. da Silva Moreira, João Graça, T. Nikitscher

Player stats

Top rated
M. VrousaiRio Ave8.5
2nd
Paulo MoreiraEstrela8.3
3rd
Oumar NgomEstrela7.9

Estrela

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
Renan Ribeiro G 90 0 0 0 sv 0 73% 26 0 0 0/0 0/0 5.5
Otávio D 57 0 0 0 (0) 0 86% 29 2 1 2/3 1/1 6.6
A. Chernev D 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 91% 43 1 0 0/0 2/0 6.0
Luan Patrick D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 94% 62 1 0 0/0 0/1 6.7
Sidny Lopes Cabral M 90 0 0 2 (1) 2 85% 26 0 0 3/6 2/2 6.9
Jorge Meireles M 67 0 1 1 (0) 3 89% 18 0 0 1/1 1/2 7.0
Oumar Ngom M 90 0 0 1 (0) 0 88% 66 6 1 0/1 1/5 7.9
Paulo Moreira M 74 1 0 1 (1) 0 93% 27 1 0 0/0 1/5 8.3
Jefferson Encada M 74 0 0 0 (0) 0 94% 34 1 3 0/1 2/0 6.3
Kikas F 90 0 0 1 (0) 1 81% 16 0 0 0/0 1/0 6.0
A. Marcus F 67 0 0 1 (0) 4 86% 22 0 0 1/2 2/0 6.7
Guilherme Montóia D 33 0 0 0 (0) 0 83% 18 2 1 0/1 1/1 6.3
Robinho M 23 0 0 0 (0) 1 88% 8 0 0 1/2 0/0 6.3
I. Stoica F 23 0 0 0 (0) 0 60% 10 0 0 0/0 0/3 6.3
Rodrigo Pinho F 16 0 0 1 (0) 0 50% 2 1 0 0/0 0/0 6.3

Rio Ave

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
C. Miszta G 90 0 0 1 sv 0 77% 30 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.7
J. Panzo D 90 0 0 1 (0) 0 90% 48 0 2 0/0 0/0 6.9
J. Brabec D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 93% 40 0 0 0/0 0/1 6.9
F. Petrasso D 46 0 0 0 (0) 0 73% 22 1 0 0/0 1/0 6.2
N. Athanasiou D 90 0 0 0 (0) 2 76% 37 4 1 0/0 2/1 6.6
B. Aguilera M 46 0 0 0 (0) 0 83% 18 0 1 1/1 2/1 6.3
A. Ntoi D 90 0 1 0 (0) 2 95% 22 1 0 0/0 1/2 6.6
M. Vrousai F 90 1 0 2 (1) 1 81% 27 4 3 1/1 2/1 8.5
D. Špikić F 67 0 0 0 (0) 1 85% 13 1 0 0/0 3/3 6.3
Clayton F 82 0 1 2 (0) 1 81% 16 0 0 0/1 2/2 6.7
André Luiz F 90 1 0 1 (1) 1 56% 9 4 0 2/6 1/3 7.9
J. Lomboto D 1 0 0 0 (0) 0 — 0 0 0 0/0 0/0 —
G. Liavas D 44 0 0 0 (0) 0 89% 19 0 0 0/0 1/0 6.6
A. Papakanellos M 23 0 0 0 (0) 0 60% 10 1 0 0/0 2/0 6.2
O. Pohlmann M 44 0 0 0 (0) 0 73% 11 1 0 0/0 2/0 6.2
Marc Gual F 8 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 1 0 0 0/0 1/0 6.5

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.