Primeira Liga Gameweek 17 Sat, Jan 3 2026 · 18:00 Estádio José Gomes, Amadora
Estrela
3–3 Full time · HT 1–1 xG 0.93 – 3.20
SC Braga
  • Kikas 16’
  • Jovane Cabral 69’
  • A. Marcus 73’
  • 12’ (P) João Moutinho
  • 51’ Fran Navarro
  • 64’ R. Zalazar
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Estrela fight back from two goals down

SC Braga entered as favourites and led 3–1 after 64 minutes through goals from Moutinho, Navarro and Zalazar. But Cabral and Marcus scored to rescue a draw for Estrela. SC Braga finished with the higher xG (3.20 vs 0.93). On the chances created, SC Braga deserved more: 2.5 expected points against the 1 point they took.

Estrela18%
Draw ✓24%
SC Braga58%

Model vs reality

Estrela goals
3
Model 0.94 · xG 0.93
SC Braga goals
3
Model 1.82 · xG 3.20
Total goals
6
Model 2.76 · xG 4.13
Score 3–3
1%
Most likely 1–1 (11%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 52%
Both scored
Yes
Model 52%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchRenan RibeiroEstrela
7.6
  • RefereeHelder Filipe Claudio Carvalho
  • CoachesJoao Nuno · —
  • VenueEstádio José Gomes
  • Table before kick-offEstrela 10th · SC Braga 5th

Timeline

  1. Oumar NgomYellow card · Roughing
    8’
  2. João Moutinho (pen) 0–1
    12’
  3. Kikas 1–1Assist Paulo Moreira
    16’
  4. B. Arrey-MbiYellow card · Roughing
    35’
  5. Half time · 1–1
  6. ⇄ R. ZalazarFor Gabriel Moscardo
    46’
  7. Jovane CabralYellow card · Tripping
    49’
  8. Fran Navarro 1–2
    51’
  9. ⇄ Jorge MeirelesFor A. Sola
    56’
  10. ⇄ Guilherme MontóiaFor Otávio
    56’
  11. R. Zalazar 1–3
    64’
  12. ⇄ F. GrillitschFor João Moutinho
    67’
  13. ⇄ Gabri MartínezFor M. Dorgeles
    68’
  14. Jovane Cabral 2–3Assist Jefferson Encada
    69’
  15. A. Marcus 3–3
    73’
  16. ⇄ D. RodriguesFor Fran Navarro
    77’
  17. ⇄ Rodrigo PinhoFor Kikas
    80’
  18. ⇄ I. StoicaFor Jovane Cabral
    80’
  19. ⇄ Alisson SouzaFor A. Marcus
    88’
  20. Full time · 3–3

Team stats

Estrela10 shots · 3 in box, 7 outside
SC Braga10 shots · 8 in box, 2 outside
EstrelaSC Braga
42% Possession 58%
0.93 Expected goals (xG) 3.20
0.34 Expected points (xPts) 2.55
10 Shots 10
4 Shots on target 6
3 Shots off target 4
3 Blocked shots 0
3 Shots inside the box 8
7 Shots outside the box 2
359 Passes 493
76% Pass accuracy 86%
5 Corners 7
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
13 Fouls 8
1 Offsides 0
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
6.59 Team rating 6.44

Line-ups

Estrela 4-2-3-1

407.6★ Renan Ribeiro(G)
836.3 Otávio ↓56’ 146.0 Bernardo Schappo 306.3 Luan Patrick 176.5 Jefferson Encada A
636.2 A. Sola ↓56’ 65.2 Oumar Ngom
117.5 Jovane Cabral ↓80’ 196.3 Paulo Moreira A 997.2 A. Marcus ↓88’
987.6 Kikas ↓80’
  • 40Renan Ribeiro (G) ★7.6
  • 83Otávio↓56’6.3
  • 14Bernardo Schappo6.0
  • 30Luan Patrick6.3
  • 17Jefferson EncadaA6.5
  • 63A. Sola↓56’6.2
  • 6Oumar Ngom5.2
  • 11Jovane Cabral↓80’7.5
  • 19Paulo MoreiraA6.3
  • 99A. Marcus↓88’7.2
  • 98Kikas↓80’7.6

Substitutes used

  • 21Guilherme Montóia↑56’6.2
  • 80Alisson Souza↑88’
  • 9Rodrigo Pinho↑80’6.5
  • 10I. Stoica↑80’6.7
  • 18Jorge Meireles↑56’6.3

Unused: David Grilo, S. Commey, Robinho, Leandro Antonetti

Coach: Joao Nuno

SC Braga 3-4-3

15.9 L. Horníček(G)
265.9 B. Arrey-Mbi 66.6 Vitor Carvalho 26.2 Víctor Gómez
56.3 Leonardo Lelo 87.2 João Moutinho ↓67’ 296.3 Jean-Baptiste Gorby 206.9 M. Dorgeles ↓68’
186.3 Pau Víctor 396.3 Fran Navarro ↓77’ 176.9 Gabriel Moscardo ↓46’
  • 1L. Horníček (G)5.9
  • 26B. Arrey-Mbi5.9
  • 6Vitor Carvalho6.6
  • 2Víctor Gómez6.2
  • 5Leonardo Lelo6.3
  • 8João Moutinho↓67’7.2
  • 29Jean-Baptiste Gorby6.3
  • 20M. Dorgeles↓68’6.9
  • 18Pau Víctor6.3
  • 39Fran Navarro↓77’6.3
  • 17Gabriel Moscardo↓46’6.9

Substitutes used

  • 10R. Zalazar↑46’7.3
  • 77Gabri Martínez↑68’6.7
  • 27F. Grillitsch↑67’6.3
  • 50D. Rodrigues↑77’6.9

Unused: Tiago Sá, Nuno Matos, Paulo Oliveira, Yanis da Rocha, A. Patrao

Player stats

Top rated
Renan RibeiroEstrela7.6
2nd
KikasEstrela7.6
3rd
Jovane CabralEstrela7.5

Estrela

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
Renan Ribeiro G 90 0 0 3 sv 0 53% 32 0 0 0/0 0/0 7.6
Otávio D 56 0 0 0 (0) 0 67% 15 2 2 1/3 1/0 6.3
Bernardo Schappo D 90 0 0 1 (0) 0 81% 43 1 0 0/0 3/1 6.0
Luan Patrick D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 86% 58 0 0 1/1 1/1 6.3
Jefferson Encada M 90 0 1 0 (0) 2 84% 37 1 1 0/1 1/0 6.5
A. Sola M 56 0 0 0 (0) 0 58% 12 0 6 0/0 0/1 6.2
Oumar Ngom M 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 82% 33 4 1 0/0 1/0 5.2
Jovane Cabral F 80 1 0 2 (1) 2 79% 28 1 0 2/2 1/0 7.5
Paulo Moreira M 90 0 1 0 (0) 3 85% 39 2 2 0/2 1/0 6.3
A. Marcus F 88 1 0 1 (1) 0 63% 24 0 1 1/2 2/1 7.2
Kikas F 80 1 0 2 (1) 0 64% 14 0 1 0/0 1/1 7.6
Guilherme Montóia D 34 0 0 0 (0) 0 67% 9 1 0 1/2 0/0 6.2
Alisson Souza F 2 0 0 1 (1) 0 50% 2 0 0 0/0 1/0 —
Rodrigo Pinho F 10 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 2 0 0 0/0 0/1 6.5
I. Stoica F 10 0 0 0 (0) 0 0% 1 0 0 0/0 0/1 6.7
Jorge Meireles M 34 0 0 0 (0) 0 80% 10 0 0 1/1 0/1 6.3

SC Braga

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
L. Horníček G 90 0 0 1 sv 0 79% 33 0 0 0/0 0/0 5.9
B. Arrey-Mbi D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 93% 46 2 0 1/1 1/0 5.9
Vitor Carvalho M 90 0 0 2 (0) 0 93% 54 0 0 0/0 2/2 6.6
Víctor Gómez D 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 80% 66 2 2 0/0 0/1 6.2
Leonardo Lelo D 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 86% 29 1 0 0/1 0/3 6.3
João Moutinho M 67 1 0 1 (1) 1 89% 54 1 0 0/0 1/2 7.2
Jean-Baptiste Gorby M 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 90% 51 0 1 0/0 0/0 6.3
M. Dorgeles M 68 0 0 0 (0) 1 88% 40 3 0 0/4 0/0 6.9
Pau Víctor F 90 0 0 2 (1) 0 80% 35 1 0 1/1 2/1 6.3
Fran Navarro F 77 1 0 3 (3) 0 88% 16 0 0 0/0 1/2 6.3
Gabriel Moscardo M 46 0 0 0 (0) 1 71% 17 2 0 1/1 0/0 6.9
R. Zalazar M 44 1 0 2 (1) 0 81% 21 0 0 1/3 1/2 7.3
Gabri Martínez F 22 0 0 0 (0) 1 83% 6 1 0 0/1 0/0 6.7
F. Grillitsch M 23 0 0 0 (0) 0 80% 15 0 0 1/1 0/0 6.3
D. Rodrigues M 13 0 0 0 (0) 1 90% 10 0 1 0/0 0/0 6.9

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.