Primeira Liga Gameweek 23 Fri, Feb 20 2026 · 20:45 Estádio José Gomes, Amadora
Estrela
0–2 Full time · HT 0–1 xG 1.13 – 1.29
Tondela
  • Luan Patrick 90+5’
  • 4’ (P) Bebeto
  • 75’ Pedro Henryque
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Tondela beat Estrela

Estrela entered as narrow favourites, but Tondela won 2–0 through goals from Bebeto and Henryque. Estrela played with ten men from the 90th minute after Patrick was sent off. The chances were even, with xG of 1.13 and 1.29. On the chances created, Estrela deserved more: 1.2 expected points against the 0 points they took.

Estrela39%
Draw30%
Tondela ✓30%

Model vs reality

Estrela goals
0
Model 1.19 · xG 1.13
Tondela goals
2
Model 1.01 · xG 1.29
Total goals
2
Model 2.20 · xG 2.42
Score 0–2
6%
Most likely 1–1 (14%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 38%
Both scored
No
Model 45%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchBebetoTondela · 1 goal
7.7
  • RefereeGustavo Correia
  • CoachesJoao Nuno · —
  • VenueEstádio José Gomes
  • Table before kick-offEstrela 11th · Tondela 17th

Timeline

  1. Bebeto (pen) 0–1
    4’
  2. ⇄ Hugo FélixFor M. Aïko
    17’
  3. VAR Brayan MedinaGoal Disallowed - Foul
    29’
  4. G. DoueYellow card
    41’
  5. Half time · 0–1
  6. ⇄ M. ScholzeFor Otávio
    46’
  7. ⇄ B. BrahimiFor G. Doue
    46’
  8. Paulo MoreiraYellow card
    61’
  9. J. HodgeYellow card
    62’
  10. ⇄ I. StoicaFor Kevin Höög Jansson
    65’
  11. ⇄ S. SitholeFor J. Hodge
    67’
  12. ⇄ Hélder TavaresFor Cicero
    67’
  13. S. SitholeYellow card · misses next match
    69’
  14. ⇄ T. MoustierFor Jefferson Encada
    73’
  15. ⇄ Rodrigo PinhoFor Jovane Cabral
    73’
  16. Pedro Henryque 0–2
    75’
  17. CiceroYellow card · misses next match
    77’
  18. Brayan MedinaYellow card
    87’
  19. ⇄ Tiago MansoFor Pedro Henryque
    89’
  20. ⇄ João AfonsoFor Bebeto
    89’
  21. Luan PatrickRed card
    90+5’
  22. Full time · 0–2

Team stats

Estrela15 shots · 5 in box, 10 outside
Tondela11 shots · 7 in box, 4 outside
EstrelaTondela
68% Possession 32%
1.13 Expected goals (xG) 1.29
1.25 Expected points (xPts) 1.48
15 Shots 11
3 Shots on target 5
8 Shots off target 2
4 Blocked shots 4
5 Shots inside the box 7
10 Shots outside the box 4
475 Passes 226
91% Pass accuracy 77%
5 Corners 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
12 Fouls 17
2 Offsides 0
2 Yellow cards 4
1 Red cards 0
6.73 Team rating 6.95

Line-ups

Estrela 4-1-4-1

406.9 Renan Ribeiro(G)
836.5 Otávio ↓46’ 46.3 S. Leković 307.3 Luan Patrick 176.9 Jefferson Encada ↓73’
66.5 Kevin Höög Jansson ↓65’
116.9 Jovane Cabral ↓73’ 196.0 Paulo Moreira 396.5 G. Doue ↓46’ 997.6 A. Marcus
206.7 S. van Hooijdonk
  • 40Renan Ribeiro (G)6.9
  • 83Otávio↓46’6.5
  • 4S. Leković6.3
  • 30Luan Patrick7.3
  • 17Jefferson Encada↓73’6.9
  • 6Kevin Höög Jansson↓65’6.5
  • 11Jovane Cabral↓73’6.9
  • 19Paulo Moreira6.0
  • 39G. Doue↓46’6.5
  • 99A. Marcus7.6
  • 20S. van Hooijdonk6.7

Substitutes used

  • 21M. Scholze↑46’6.2
  • 26B. Brahimi↑46’6.9
  • 10I. Stoica↑65’6.9
  • 28T. Moustier↑73’6.2
  • 9Rodrigo Pinho↑73’6.3

Unused: Dudu, Ni, A. Sola, Leandro Antonetti

Coach: Joao Nuno

Tondela 5-4-1

316.6 Bernardo Fontes(G)
276.7 Rodrigo Conceição 207.3 Brayan Medina 46.9 Christian Marques 447.2 João Silva 27.7★ Bebeto ↓89’
906.5 M. Aïko ↓17’ 976.3 Cicero ↓67’ 106.2 J. Hodge ↓67’ 77.5 Pedro Henryque ↓89’
237.2 B. Mbunga Kimpioka
  • 31Bernardo Fontes (G)6.6
  • 27Rodrigo Conceição6.7
  • 20Brayan Medina7.3
  • 4Christian Marques6.9
  • 44João Silva7.2
  • 2Bebeto ★↓89’7.7
  • 90M. Aïko↓17’6.5
  • 97Cicero↓67’6.3
  • 10J. Hodge↓67’6.2
  • 7Pedro Henryque↓89’7.5
  • 23B. Mbunga Kimpioka7.2

Substitutes used

  • 79Hugo Félix↑17’6.9
  • 8Hélder Tavares↑67’6.6
  • 15S. Sithole↑67’6.3
  • 5João Afonso↑89’6.3
  • 48Tiago Manso↑89’6.3

Unused: Lucas Cañizares, Juan Rodríguez, Rony Lopes, M. Moudjatovic

Player stats

Top rated
BebetoTondela7.7
2nd
A. MarcusEstrela7.6
3rd
Pedro HenryqueTondela7.5

Estrela

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
Renan Ribeiro G 90 0 0 3 sv 0 76% 17 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.9
Otávio D 46 0 0 0 (0) 0 93% 27 0 0 2/3 1/0 6.5
S. Leković D 90 0 0 1 (0) 1 91% 67 0 1 0/1 1/0 6.3
Luan Patrick D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 92% 96 2 4 0/0 2/1 7.3
Jefferson Encada M 73 0 0 0 (0) 1 91% 46 1 0 4/5 1/1 6.9
Kevin Höög Jansson M 65 0 0 1 (0) 0 96% 24 0 1 0/0 1/0 6.5
Jovane Cabral F 73 0 0 2 (1) 1 80% 30 1 0 2/3 1/4 6.9
Paulo Moreira M 90 0 0 2 (1) 1 93% 55 1 0 0/0 1/5 6.0
G. Doue M 46 0 0 0 (0) 0 88% 26 0 1 1/1 2/0 6.5
A. Marcus F 90 0 0 2 (1) 3 93% 30 1 0 6/11 0/4 7.6
S. van Hooijdonk F 90 0 0 1 (0) 2 88% 8 0 0 0/0 0/1 6.7
M. Scholze F 44 0 0 0 (0) 0 88% 16 0 0 0/0 1/1 6.2
B. Brahimi F 44 0 0 0 (0) 1 88% 17 0 1 0/0 0/0 6.9
I. Stoica F 25 0 0 1 (0) 1 100% 10 1 0 1/1 0/0 6.9
T. Moustier M 17 0 0 1 (0) 0 100% 4 0 0 0/1 0/0 6.2
Rodrigo Pinho F 17 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 2 0 0 0/0 1/0 6.3

Tondela

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
Bernardo Fontes G 90 0 0 3 sv 0 36% 22 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.6
Rodrigo Conceição D 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 86% 21 5 1 1/1 1/2 6.7
Brayan Medina D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 81% 16 1 1 0/0 3/1 7.3
Christian Marques D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 88% 17 1 1 0/0 1/0 6.9
João Silva D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 88% 16 1 0 0/0 3/0 7.2
Bebeto D 89 1 0 1 (1) 1 86% 21 4 1 1/2 0/0 7.7
M. Aïko M 17 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 1 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.5
Cicero M 67 0 0 0 (0) 0 73% 11 1 0 0/0 1/0 6.3
J. Hodge M 67 0 0 0 (0) 0 91% 11 1 2 0/0 2/0 6.2
Pedro Henryque M 89 1 0 2 (1) 3 76% 29 2 0 0/0 3/1 7.5
B. Mbunga Kimpioka F 90 0 0 2 (2) 0 69% 16 2 0 1/2 2/6 7.2
Hugo Félix M 73 0 0 2 (1) 2 82% 22 0 0 0/1 0/1 6.9
Hélder Tavares M 23 0 0 0 (0) 1 67% 6 1 0 0/0 0/0 6.6
S. Sithole M 23 0 0 0 (0) 0 85% 13 0 0 0/0 1/0 6.3
João Afonso D 1 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 1 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.3
Tiago Manso D 1 0 0 0 (0) 0 33% 3 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.3

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.