Premier League Gameweek 20 Sun, Jan 4 2026 · 15:00 Hill Dickinson Stadium, Liverpool, Merseyside
2–4 Full time · HT 0–1 xG 0.89 – 2.66
  • Beto 66’
  • T. Barry 90’
  • 11’, 51’, 88’ Thiago
  • 50’ N. Collins
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Thiago hat-trick sinks Everton

Everton entered as narrow favourites, but Brentford won 4–2 through goals from Thiago and Collins. Everton replied through goals from Beto and Barry. Brentford finished with the higher xG (2.66 vs 0.89).

Everton41%
Draw27%
Brentford ✓33%

Model vs reality

Everton goals
2
Model 1.46 · xG 0.89
Brentford goals
4
Model 1.29 · xG 2.66
Total goals
6
Model 2.75 · xG 3.55
Score 2–4
1%
Most likely 1–1 (13%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 52%
Both scored
Yes
Model 56%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchThiagoBrentford · 3 goals
10.0
  • RefereeAnthony Taylor
  • VenueHill Dickinson Stadium
  • Table before kick-offEverton 9th · Brentford 10th

Timeline

  1. Thiago 0–1Assist V. Janelt
    11’
  2. Y. YarmoliukYellow card · Foul
    31’
  3. M. KayodeYellow card · Foul
    39’
  4. Half time · 0–1
  5. ⇄ BetoFor T. Dibling
    46’
  6. ⇄ M. RöhlFor D. McNeil
    46’
  7. N. Collins 0–2Assist V. Janelt
    50’
  8. Thiago 0–3Assist K. Schade
    51’
  9. ⇄ J. HendersonFor M. Jensen
    64’
  10. ⇄ K. Lewis-PotterFor K. Schade
    64’
  11. Beto 1–3Assist J. Grealish
    66’
  12. ⇄ R. HenryFor A. Hickey
    76’
  13. ⇄ H. ArmstrongFor T. Iroegbunam
    77’
  14. Thiago 1–4Assist N. Collins
    88’
  15. T. Barry 2–4Assist J. Grealish
    90’
  16. ⇄ M. Peart-HarrisFor Thiago
    90+2’
  17. Full time · 2–4

Team stats

Everton14 shots · 11 in box, 3 outside
Brentford11 shots · 9 in box, 2 outside
EvertonBrentford
45% Possession 55%
0.89 Expected goals (xG) 2.66
0.45 Expected points (xPts) 2.40
14 Shots 11
6 Shots on target 7
3 Shots off target 2
5 Blocked shots 2
11 Shots inside the box 9
3 Shots outside the box 2
364 Passes 455
79% Pass accuracy 78%
4 Corners 5
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
9 Fouls 8
0 Offsides 2
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
6.73 Team rating 7.14

Line-ups

Everton 4-2-3-1

16.7 J. Pickford(G)
166.0 V. Mykolenko 55.6 M. Keane 66.9 J. Tarkowski 156.2 J. O'Brien
377.3 J. Garner 427.0 T. Iroegbunam ↓77’
187.6 J. Grealish AA 77.2 D. McNeil ↓46’ 206.2 T. Dibling ↓46’
117.2 T. Barry
  • 1J. Pickford (G)6.7
  • 16V. Mykolenko6.0
  • 5M. Keane5.6
  • 6J. Tarkowski6.9
  • 15J. O'Brien6.2
  • 37J. Garner7.3
  • 42T. Iroegbunam↓77’7.0
  • 18J. GrealishA×27.6
  • 7D. McNeil↓46’7.2
  • 20T. Dibling↓46’6.2
  • 11T. Barry7.2

Substitutes used

  • 9Beto↑46’7.5
  • 45H. Armstrong↑77’6.7
  • 34M. Röhl↑46’6.3

Unused: T. King, M. Travers, N. Patterson, R. Welch, A. Aznou, E. Campbell

Brentford 4-2-3-1

16.6 C. Kelleher(G)
26.5 A. Hickey ↓76’ 228.0 N. Collins A 206.3 K. Ajer 336.3 M. Kayode
278.5 V. Janelt AA 186.2 Y. Yarmoliuk
76.6 K. Schade A↓64’ 246.6 M. Damsgaard 87.3 M. Jensen ↓64’
910.0★ Thiago ↓90’
  • 1C. Kelleher (G)6.6
  • 2A. Hickey↓76’6.5
  • 22N. CollinsA8.0
  • 20K. Ajer6.3
  • 33M. Kayode6.3
  • 27V. JaneltA×28.5
  • 18Y. Yarmoliuk6.2
  • 7K. SchadeA↓64’6.6
  • 24M. Damsgaard6.6
  • 8M. Jensen↓64’7.3
  • 9Thiago ★↓90’10.0

Substitutes used

  • 6J. Henderson↑64’6.3
  • 3R. Henry↑76’6.3
  • 23K. Lewis-Potter↑64’6.5
  • 25M. Peart-Harris↑90’

Unused: H. Valdimarsson, E. Pinnock, R. Nelson, S. van den Berg, R. Donovan

Player stats

Top rated
ThiagoBrentford10.0
2nd
V. JaneltBrentford8.5
3rd
N. CollinsBrentford8.0

Everton

Brentford

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.