Premier League Gameweek 27 Mon, Feb 23 2026 · 20:00 Hill Dickinson Stadium, Liverpool, Merseyside
0–1 Full time · HT 0–0 xG 0.63 – 1.27
  • 71’ B. Šeško
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Šeško goal decides it for Manchester United

Manchester United won 1–0 through a Šeško goal. Manchester United finished with the higher xG (1.27 vs 0.63). On the chances created, Everton deserved more: 0.8 expected points against the 0 points they took.

Everton37%
Draw26%
Manchester United ✓37%

Model vs reality

Everton goals
0
Model 1.47 · xG 0.63
Manchester United goals
1
Model 1.47 · xG 1.27
Total goals
1
Model 2.94 · xG 1.90
Score 0–1
7%
Most likely 1–1 (12%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 56%
Both scored
No
Model 60%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchJ. PickfordEverton
7.9
  • RefereeDarren England
  • VenueHill Dickinson Stadium
  • Table before kick-offEverton 9th · Manchester United 5th

Timeline

  1. Half time · 0–0
  2. ⇄ B. ŠeškoFor A. Diallo
    58’
  3. B. Šeško 0–1Assist B. Mbeumo
    71’
  4. ⇄ T. GeorgeFor H. Armstrong
    73’
  5. J. PickfordYellow card · Argument
    77’
  6. ⇄ N. MazraouiFor B. Mbeumo
    78’
  7. ⇄ BetoFor T. Iroegbunam
    79’
  8. J. TarkowskiYellow card · Argument
    83’
  9. J. MaguireYellow card · Argument
    84’
  10. N. MazraouiYellow card · Foul
    90+2’
  11. Bruno FernandesYellow card · Foul
    90+5’
  12. ⇄ A. HeavenFor Matheus Cunha
    90+5’
  13. Full time · 0–1

Team stats

Everton12 shots · 5 in box, 7 outside
Manchester United11 shots · 6 in box, 5 outside
EvertonManchester United
48% Possession 52%
0.63 Expected goals (xG) 1.27
0.85 Expected points (xPts) 1.86
12 Shots 11
4 Shots on target 3
2 Shots off target 6
6 Blocked shots 2
5 Shots inside the box 6
7 Shots outside the box 5
413 Passes 483
77% Pass accuracy 80%
10 Corners 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
12 Fouls 7
1 Offsides 0
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
6.93 Team rating 7.11

Line-ups

Everton 4-2-3-1

17.9★ J. Pickford(G)
326.9 J. Branthwaite 56.9 M. Keane 67.3 J. Tarkowski 376.7 J. Garner
426.9 T. Iroegbunam ↓79’ 276.6 I. Gueye
456.3 H. Armstrong ↓73’ 226.9 K. Dewsbury-Hall 107.2 I. Ndiaye
116.7 T. Barry
  • 1J. Pickford (G) ★7.9
  • 32J. Branthwaite6.9
  • 5M. Keane6.9
  • 6J. Tarkowski7.3
  • 37J. Garner6.7
  • 42T. Iroegbunam↓79’6.9
  • 27I. Gueye6.6
  • 45H. Armstrong↓73’6.3
  • 22K. Dewsbury-Hall6.9
  • 10I. Ndiaye7.2
  • 11T. Barry6.7

Substitutes used

  • 9Beto↑79’6.3
  • 19T. George↑73’6.6

Unused: T. King, N. Patterson, T. Dibling, S. Coleman, V. Mykolenko, D. McNeil, M. Röhl

Manchester United 4-2-3-1

317.5 S. Lammens(G)
236.9 L. Shaw 57.5 J. Maguire 157.5 L. Yoro 27.7 Diogo Dalot
377.2 K. Mainoo 187.5 Casemiro
106.7 Matheus Cunha ↓90’ 86.9 Bruno Fernandes 166.2 A. Diallo ↓58’
196.2 B. Mbeumo A↓78’
  • 31S. Lammens (G)7.5
  • 23L. Shaw6.9
  • 5J. Maguire7.5
  • 15L. Yoro7.5
  • 2Diogo Dalot7.7
  • 37K. Mainoo7.2
  • 18Casemiro7.5
  • 10Matheus Cunha↓90’6.7
  • 8Bruno Fernandes6.9
  • 16A. Diallo↓58’6.2
  • 19B. MbeumoA↓78’6.2

Substitutes used

  • 3N. Mazraoui↑78’6.7
  • 30B. Šeško↑58’7.2
  • 26A. Heaven↑90’

Unused: A. Bayındır, J. Zirkzee, T. Malacia, M. Ugarte, Jack Lee Moorhouse, Tyler Fletcher

Player stats

Top rated
J. PickfordEverton7.9
2nd
Diogo DalotManchester United7.7
3rd
S. LammensManchester United7.5

Everton

Manchester United

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.