Eredivisie Knockout phase Sun, Oct 19 2025 · 13:30 Van Donge & De Roo Stadion, Rotterdam
Excelsior
1–0 Full time · HT 1–0 xG 1.08 – 1.06
Fortuna Sittard
  • G. de Regt 9’
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

de Regt goal decides it for Excelsior

Excelsior entered as narrow favourites and won 1–0 through a de Regt goal. The chances were even, with xG of 1.08 and 1.06. On the chances created, Fortuna Sittard deserved more: 1.3 expected points against the 0 points they took.

Excelsior ✓41%
Draw27%
Fortuna Sittard33%

Model vs reality

Excelsior goals
1
Model 1.44 · xG 1.08
Fortuna Sittard goals
0
Model 1.27 · xG 1.06
Total goals
1
Model 2.72 · xG 2.14
Score 1–0
9%
Most likely 1–1 (13%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 51%
Both scored
No
Model 56%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchI. YegoianExcelsior · 1 assist
7.7
  • RefereeAlex Bos
  • VenueVan Donge & De Roo Stadion
  • Table before kick-offExcelsior 17th · Fortuna Sittard 9th

Timeline

  1. G. de Regt 1–0Assist I. Yegoian
    9’
  2. M. BranderhorstYellow card · Tripping
    38’
  3. Half time · 1–0
  4. ⇄ M. IhattarenFor K. Peterson
    46’
  5. ⇄ M. AïkoFor K. Sierhuis
    46’
  6. ⇄ D. Sanches FernandesFor S. Mitrović
    55’
  7. ⇄ P. GladonFor Ivo Pinto
    67’
  8. R. FossoYellow card · Roughing
    71’
  9. ⇄ M. van DuinenFor S. Włodarczyk
    71’
  10. ⇄ H. MendesFor R. Fosso
    73’
  11. ⇄ J. HubnerFor J. Dahlhaus
    80’
  12. ⇄ L. SchoutenFor C. Nadje
    81’
  13. ⇄ S. MiddendorpFor I. Yegoian
    81’
  14. M. AïkoYellow card · Holding
    90+1’
  15. Full time · 1–0

Team stats

Excelsior11 shots · 6 in box, 5 outside
Fortuna Sittard15 shots · 10 in box, 5 outside
ExcelsiorFortuna Sittard
50% Possession 50%
1.08 Expected goals (xG) 1.06
1.37 Expected points (xPts) 1.34
11 Shots 15
5 Shots on target 6
4 Shots off target 3
2 Blocked shots 6
6 Shots inside the box 10
5 Shots outside the box 5
396 Passes 393
76% Pass accuracy 76%
4 Corners 2
5 Goalkeeper saves 4
10 Fouls 16
1 Offsides 5
0 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
7.03 Team rating 6.58

Line-ups

Excelsior 4-2-3-1

17.3 S. van Gassel(G)
127.3 A. Zagré 36.9 R. Meissen 46.3 C. Widell 27.5 Ilias Bronkhorst
67.0 A. Carlén 186.6 C. Nadje ↓81’
117.6 G. de Regt 237.7★ I. Yegoian A↓81’ 227.2 S. Mitrović ↓55’
96.2 S. Włodarczyk ↓71’
  • 1S. van Gassel (G)7.3
  • 12A. Zagré7.3
  • 3R. Meissen6.9
  • 4C. Widell6.3
  • 2Ilias Bronkhorst7.5
  • 6A. Carlén7.0
  • 18C. Nadje↓81’6.6
  • 11G. de Regt7.6
  • 23I. Yegoian ★A↓81’7.7
  • 22S. Mitrović↓55’7.2
  • 9S. Włodarczyk↓71’6.2

Substitutes used

  • 14L. Schouten↑81’6.3
  • 30D. Sanches Fernandes↑55’6.3
  • 25S. Middendorp↑81’6.6
  • 29M. van Duinen↑71’7.2

Unused: C. Raatsie, S. Henderikx, Nolan Martens, M. Tielemans, Yoon Do-Yong

Fortuna Sittard 4-2-3-1

316.2 M. Branderhorst(G)
87.0 J. Dahlhaus ↓80’ 446.7 Iván Márquez 47.0 S. Adewoye 126.6 Ivo Pinto ↓67’
806.7 R. Fosso ↓73’ 236.3 P. Brittijn
76.5 K. Peterson ↓46’ 177.2 J. Lonwijk 186.2 D. Limnios
96.3 K. Sierhuis ↓46’
  • 31M. Branderhorst (G)6.2
  • 8J. Dahlhaus↓80’7.0
  • 44Iván Márquez6.7
  • 4S. Adewoye7.0
  • 12Ivo Pinto↓67’6.6
  • 80R. Fosso↓73’6.7
  • 23P. Brittijn6.3
  • 7K. Peterson↓46’6.5
  • 17J. Lonwijk7.2
  • 18D. Limnios6.2
  • 9K. Sierhuis↓46’6.3

Substitutes used

  • 52M. Ihattaren↑46’6.2
  • 11M. Aïko↑46’6.2
  • 26H. Mendes↑73’6.5
  • 28J. Hubner↑80’6.9
  • 19P. Gladon↑67’6.3

Unused: Niels Martens, L. Koopmans, M. Kerkez, M. Gbemou

Player stats

Top rated
I. YegoianExcelsior7.7
2nd
G. de RegtExcelsior7.6
3rd
Ilias BronkhorstExcelsior7.5

Excelsior

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
S. van Gassel G 90 0 0 5 sv 0 53% 34 0 0 0/0 0/0 7.3
A. Zagré D 90 0 0 1 (0) 0 77% 30 1 1 2/2 1/2 7.3
R. Meissen D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 77% 48 0 1 0/0 0/1 6.9
C. Widell D 90 0 0 2 (1) 0 80% 59 1 1 0/0 0/1 6.3
Ilias Bronkhorst D 90 0 0 1 (0) 1 71% 51 2 2 0/0 0/2 7.5
A. Carlén M 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 80% 44 3 1 0/0 3/1 7.0
C. Nadje M 81 0 0 0 (0) 0 87% 31 2 1 2/6 1/3 6.6
G. de Regt F 90 1 0 3 (2) 1 70% 23 3 0 0/1 2/1 7.6
I. Yegoian M 81 0 1 0 (0) 3 73% 22 2 1 1/1 0/2 7.7
S. Mitrović F 55 0 0 1 (1) 0 94% 18 1 0 1/1 1/2 7.2
S. Włodarczyk F 71 0 0 0 (0) 0 71% 7 0 0 0/2 0/1 6.2
L. Schouten M 9 0 0 0 (0) 1 100% 4 0 0 0/0 1/0 6.3
D. Sanches Fernandes F 35 0 0 1 (1) 0 73% 15 1 0 1/2 1/0 6.3
S. Middendorp M 9 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 4 0 1 1/1 0/1 6.6
M. van Duinen F 19 0 0 0 (0) 1 100% 6 0 0 0/0 0/0 7.2

Fortuna Sittard

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
M. Branderhorst G 90 0 0 4 sv 0 28% 36 0 0 0/0 1/0 6.2
J. Dahlhaus D 80 0 0 0 (0) 2 73% 41 6 4 2/3 0/2 7.0
Iván Márquez D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 93% 60 0 1 0/0 1/0 6.7
S. Adewoye D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 88% 59 1 0 0/0 3/2 7.0
Ivo Pinto D 67 0 0 0 (0) 2 70% 27 1 1 2/3 0/1 6.6
R. Fosso M 73 0 0 0 (0) 0 90% 39 2 1 0/1 3/2 6.7
P. Brittijn M 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 85% 34 1 2 0/0 2/0 6.3
K. Peterson F 46 0 0 2 (2) 1 80% 10 0 0 0/2 1/0 6.5
J. Lonwijk M 90 0 0 1 (0) 2 81% 16 3 3 3/3 2/2 7.2
D. Limnios M 90 0 0 2 (2) 0 65% 23 1 0 0/0 0/0 6.2
K. Sierhuis F 46 0 0 3 (2) 1 56% 9 0 0 1/1 1/0 6.3
M. Ihattaren M 44 0 0 0 (0) 1 69% 16 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.2
M. Aïko M 44 0 0 1 (0) 0 79% 14 1 0 1/1 1/0 6.2
H. Mendes D 17 0 0 0 (0) 0 — 0 0 0 0/0 1/0 6.5
J. Hubner D 10 0 0 0 (0) 0 60% 5 1 1 0/0 0/1 6.9
P. Gladon F 23 0 0 0 (0) 0 50% 4 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.3

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.