Eredivisie Knockout phase Sat, Nov 29 2025 · 15:30 Van Donge & De Roo Stadion, Rotterdam
Excelsior
1–0 Full time · HT 1–0 xG 0.95 – 1.67
NAC Breda
  • N. Naujoks 23’ (P)
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Naujoks goal decides it for Excelsior

Excelsior entered as narrow favourites and won 1–0 through a Naujoks goal. Excelsior won despite the lower xG; NAC Breda created the better chances (1.67 vs 0.95). On the chances created, NAC Breda deserved more: 1.9 expected points against the 0 points they took.

Excelsior ✓44%
Draw26%
NAC Breda30%

Model vs reality

Excelsior goals
1
Model 1.55 · xG 0.95
NAC Breda goals
0
Model 1.24 · xG 1.67
Total goals
1
Model 2.79 · xG 2.62
Score 1–0
9%
Most likely 1–1 (12%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 53%
Both scored
No
Model 57%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchC. ValeriusNAC Breda
7.5
  • RefereeSerdar Gozubuyuk
  • Coaches— · C. Hoefkens
  • VenueVan Donge & De Roo Stadion
  • Table before kick-offExcelsior 15th · NAC Breda 16th

Timeline

  1. C. WidellYellow card · Roughing
    6’
  2. N. Naujoks (pen) 1–0
    23’
  3. R. HillenYellow card · Tripping
    45’
  4. Half time · 1–0
  5. ⇄ A. CarlénFor L. Hartjes
    56’
  6. ⇄ M. SoumanoFor S. van Hooijdonk
    60’
  7. ⇄ J. TalvitieFor B. Lucassen
    60’
  8. ⇄ R. PaulaFor C. Brym
    61’
  9. I. YegoianYellow card · Tripping
    66’
  10. ⇄ M. van DuinenFor Jerolldino Bergraaf
    74’
  11. ⇄ S. MitrovićFor D. Sanches Fernandes
    74’
  12. ⇄ A. ZagréFor Nolan Martens
    75’
  13. A. ZagréYellow card · Roughing
    81’
  14. R. MeissenYellow card · Tripping
    84’
  15. ⇄ C. LeemansFor K. Sowah
    89’
  16. ⇄ Dion VersluisFor D. Odoi
    90+2’
  17. Full time · 1–0

Team stats

Excelsior5 shots · 2 in box, 3 outside
NAC Breda22 shots · 13 in box, 9 outside
ExcelsiorNAC Breda
43% Possession 57%
0.95 Expected goals (xG) 1.67
0.89 Expected points (xPts) 1.87
5 Shots 22
2 Shots on target 3
3 Shots off target 13
0 Blocked shots 6
2 Shots inside the box 13
3 Shots outside the box 9
346 Passes 442
76% Pass accuracy 80%
1 Corners 6
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
21 Fouls 12
1 Offsides 0
4 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
6.79 Team rating 6.66

Line-ups

Excelsior 4-2-3-1

16.9 S. van Gassel(G)
177.0 Nolan Martens ↓75’ 37.0 R. Meissen 47.2 C. Widell 26.9 Ilias Bronkhorst
206.7 L. Hartjes ↓56’ 236.5 I. Yegoian
116.6 G. de Regt 106.9 N. Naujoks 306.3 D. Sanches Fernandes ↓74’
336.9 Jerolldino Bergraaf ↓74’
  • 1S. van Gassel (G)6.9
  • 17Nolan Martens↓75’7.0
  • 3R. Meissen7.0
  • 4C. Widell7.2
  • 2Ilias Bronkhorst6.9
  • 20L. Hartjes↓56’6.7
  • 23I. Yegoian6.5
  • 11G. de Regt6.6
  • 10N. Naujoks6.9
  • 30D. Sanches Fernandes↓74’6.3
  • 33Jerolldino Bergraaf↓74’6.9

Substitutes used

  • 12A. Zagré↑75’6.3
  • 6A. Carlén↑56’6.6
  • 22S. Mitrović↑74’6.3
  • 29M. van Duinen↑74’6.3

Unused: Tijmen Holla, S. Henderikx, L. Schouten, Simon Janssen, N. El Hamdaoui, Yoon Do-Yong, S. Włodarczyk

NAC Breda 5-3-2

996.3 D. Bielica(G)
46.7 B. Kemper 226.9 R. Hillen 36.3 D. Odoi ↓90’ 257.5★ C. Valerius 26.2 B. Lucassen ↓60’
146.7 K. Sowah ↓89’ 167.2 M. Balard 106.2 M. Nassoh
176.5 S. van Hooijdonk ↓60’ 76.5 C. Brym ↓61’
  • 99D. Bielica (G)6.3
  • 4B. Kemper6.7
  • 22R. Hillen6.9
  • 3D. Odoi↓90’6.3
  • 25C. Valerius ★7.5
  • 2B. Lucassen↓60’6.2
  • 14K. Sowah↓89’6.7
  • 16M. Balard7.2
  • 10M. Nassoh6.2
  • 17S. van Hooijdonk↓60’6.5
  • 7C. Brym↓61’6.5

Substitutes used

  • 11R. Paula↑61’6.9
  • 8C. Leemans↑89’
  • 32J. Talvitie↑60’7.2
  • 23Dion Versluis↑90’
  • 9M. Soumano↑60’6.0

Unused: K. Lamprou, R. Kortsmit, Jemuel Erat, T. Kongolo, C. Staring, P. Reulen, B. Ghalidi

Coach: C. Hoefkens

Player stats

Top rated
C. ValeriusNAC Breda7.5
2nd
C. WidellExcelsior7.2
3rd
M. BalardNAC Breda7.2

Excelsior

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
S. van Gassel G 90 0 0 3 sv 0 62% 52 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.9
Nolan Martens M 75 0 0 0 (0) 0 83% 35 0 0 0/1 0/0 7.0
R. Meissen D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 89% 27 1 0 0/0 2/0 7.0
C. Widell D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 83% 41 3 3 0/0 1/0 7.2
Ilias Bronkhorst D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 72% 47 1 1 0/0 0/1 6.9
L. Hartjes M 56 0 0 0 (0) 0 89% 27 1 2 0/0 1/1 6.7
I. Yegoian M 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 76% 25 2 2 0/0 3/0 6.5
G. de Regt F 90 0 0 1 (1) 1 84% 31 1 0 0/2 2/1 6.6
N. Naujoks M 90 1 0 1 (1) 1 58% 19 3 0 0/0 5/2 6.9
D. Sanches Fernandes F 74 0 0 2 (0) 0 76% 17 0 0 1/3 2/1 6.3
Jerolldino Bergraaf F 74 0 0 1 (0) 0 67% 15 0 1 0/0 1/3 6.9
A. Zagré D 15 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 2 1 1 0/0 2/0 6.3
A. Carlén M 34 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 1 1 0 0/0 1/0 6.6
S. Mitrović F 16 0 0 0 (0) 0 0% 2 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.3
M. van Duinen F 16 0 0 0 (0) 0 60% 5 0 0 0/0 1/1 6.3

NAC Breda

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
D. Bielica G 90 0 0 1 sv 0 73% 26 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.3
B. Kemper D 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 65% 46 1 1 0/1 0/2 6.7
R. Hillen D 90 0 0 2 (0) 0 86% 66 2 3 0/0 3/1 6.9
D. Odoi D 90 0 0 1 (0) 0 98% 51 1 0 0/0 2/1 6.3
C. Valerius D 90 0 0 1 (0) 2 79% 48 4 0 1/1 1/3 7.5
B. Lucassen D 60 0 0 0 (0) 2 60% 15 0 0 0/0 1/1 6.2
K. Sowah M 89 0 0 2 (1) 1 75% 32 1 1 2/2 0/1 6.7
M. Balard M 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 91% 44 2 0 0/0 2/5 7.2
M. Nassoh M 90 0 0 2 (0) 2 85% 46 0 2 1/2 1/2 6.2
S. van Hooijdonk F 60 0 0 1 (0) 0 33% 9 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.5
C. Brym F 61 0 0 1 (0) 1 82% 17 0 0 0/0 1/0 6.5
R. Paula M 29 0 0 0 (0) 4 74% 23 0 0 0/1 1/2 6.9
C. Leemans M 1 0 0 0 (0) 1 50% 4 1 0 0/0 0/0 —
J. Talvitie F 30 0 0 3 (2) 2 100% 10 0 0 0/2 0/3 7.2
Dion Versluis F 1 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 1 0 0 0/0 0/0 —
M. Soumano F 30 0 0 3 (0) 1 50% 4 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.0

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.