Eredivisie Knockout phase Sat, Sep 27 2025 · 19:00 Van Donge & De Roo Stadion, Rotterdam
1–2 Full time · HT 1–1 xG 2.08 – 2.51
  • S. Włodarczyk 13’
  • 19’ J. Veerman
  • 72’ I. Saibari
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

PSV Eindhoven come from behind to beat Excelsior

PSV Eindhoven entered as clear favourites, yet Excelsior led 1–0 after 13 minutes through a Włodarczyk goal. But Veerman and Saibari scored to turn it around for PSV Eindhoven, who won 2–1. PSV Eindhoven finished with the higher xG (2.51 vs 2.08). On the chances created, Excelsior deserved more: 1.2 expected points against the 0 points they took.

Excelsior13%
Draw19%
PSV Eindhoven ✓68%

Model vs reality

Excelsior goals
1
Model 0.88 · xG 2.08
PSV Eindhoven goals
2
Model 2.27 · xG 2.51
Total goals
3
Model 3.15 · xG 4.59
Score 1–2
10%
Most likely 0–2 (11%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 61%
Both scored
Yes
Model 53%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchJ. VeermanPSV Eindhoven · 1 goal
8.9
  • RefereeDennis Higler
  • VenueVan Donge & De Roo Stadion
  • Table before kick-offExcelsior 15th · PSV Eindhoven 3rd

Timeline

  1. S. Włodarczyk 1–0
    13’
  2. J. Veerman 1–1
    19’
  3. ⇄ G. TilFor R. Pepi
    32’
  4. Half time · 1–1
  5. ⇄ Jerolldino BergraafFor S. Włodarczyk
    60’
  6. ⇄ D. ManFor P. Wanner
    70’
  7. ⇄ S. MitrovićFor D. Sanches Fernandes
    71’
  8. ⇄ C. NadjeFor N. Naujoks
    71’
  9. I. Saibari 1–2Assist D. Man
    72’
  10. ⇄ M. van DuinenFor G. de Regt
    81’
  11. ⇄ L. SchoutenFor A. Carlén
    81’
  12. ⇄ C. DriouechFor I. Perišić
    85’
  13. ⇄ A. ObispoFor A. Salah-Eddine
    85’
  14. Full time · 1–2

Team stats

Excelsior17 shots · 8 in box, 9 outside
PSV Eindhoven18 shots · 12 in box, 6 outside
ExcelsiorPSV Eindhoven
36% Possession 64%
2.08 Expected goals (xG) 2.51
1.17 Expected points (xPts) 1.64
17 Shots 18
4 Shots on target 8
7 Shots off target 7
6 Blocked shots 3
8 Shots inside the box 12
9 Shots outside the box 6
334 Passes 614
76% Pass accuracy 87%
3 Corners 2
6 Goalkeeper saves 3
7 Fouls 5
0 Offsides 1
0 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
6.62 Team rating 7.17

Line-ups

Excelsior 4-2-3-1

17.3 S. van Gassel(G)
126.3 A. Zagré 36.2 R. Meissen 46.3 C. Widell 27.0 Ilias Bronkhorst
66.9 A. Carlén ↓81’ 106.5 N. Naujoks ↓71’
116.5 G. de Regt ↓81’ 236.2 I. Yegoian 306.9 D. Sanches Fernandes ↓71’
97.3 S. Włodarczyk ↓60’
  • 1S. van Gassel (G)7.3
  • 12A. Zagré6.3
  • 3R. Meissen6.2
  • 4C. Widell6.3
  • 2Ilias Bronkhorst7.0
  • 6A. Carlén↓81’6.9
  • 10N. Naujoks↓71’6.5
  • 11G. de Regt↓81’6.5
  • 23I. Yegoian6.2
  • 30D. Sanches Fernandes↓71’6.9
  • 9S. Włodarczyk↓60’7.3

Substitutes used

  • 33Jerolldino Bergraaf↑60’6.3
  • 18C. Nadje↑71’6.3
  • 22S. Mitrović↑71’6.3
  • 14L. Schouten↑81’6.7
  • 29M. van Duinen↑81’6.2

Unused: C. Raatsie, S. Henderikx, Simon Janssen, Yoon Do-Yong, S. Middendorp, Nolan Martens

PSV Eindhoven 4-3-3

327.2 M. Kovář(G)
26.7 A. Salah-Eddine ↓85’ 37.3 Yarek Gąsiorowski 68.0 R. Flamingo 176.7 Mauro Júnior
238.9★ J. Veerman 347.3 I. Saibari 226.9 J. Schouten
56.9 I. Perišić ↓85’ 96.3 R. Pepi ↓32’ 106.6 P. Wanner ↓70’
  • 32M. Kovář (G)7.2
  • 2A. Salah-Eddine↓85’6.7
  • 3Yarek Gąsiorowski7.3
  • 6R. Flamingo8.0
  • 17Mauro Júnior6.7
  • 23J. Veerman ★8.9
  • 34I. Saibari7.3
  • 22J. Schouten6.9
  • 5I. Perišić↓85’6.9
  • 9R. Pepi↓32’6.3
  • 10P. Wanner↓70’6.6

Substitutes used

  • 20G. Til↑32’6.3
  • 27D. ManA↑70’7.2
  • 4A. Obispo↑85’6.3
  • 11C. Driouech↑85’6.3

Unused: N. Schiks, N. Olij, A. Nagalo, N. Fernandez, E. Bajraktarević

Player stats

Top rated
J. VeermanPSV Eindhoven8.9
2nd
R. FlamingoPSV Eindhoven8.0
3rd
S. van GasselExcelsior7.3

Excelsior

PSV Eindhoven

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.