Primeira Liga Gameweek 25 Fri, Mar 6 2026 · 20:15 Estádio Municipal 22 de Junho, Vila Nova de Famalicão
1–0 Full time · HT 0–0 xG 0.89 – 0.81
  • Rodrigo Pinheiro 82’
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Pinheiro goal decides it for Famalicao

Famalicao entered as narrow favourites and won 1–0 through a Pinheiro goal. The chances were even, with xG of 0.89 and 0.81. On the chances created, Arouca deserved more: 1.3 expected points against the 0 points they took.

Famalicao ✓47%
Draw27%
Arouca26%

Model vs reality

Famalicao goals
1
Model 1.50 · xG 0.89
Arouca goals
0
Model 1.06 · xG 0.81
Total goals
1
Model 2.56 · xG 1.70
Score 1–0
11%
Most likely 1–1 (13%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 47%
Both scored
No
Model 51%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchRodrigo PinheiroFamalicao · 1 goal
8.2
  • RefereeAntonio Nobre
  • VenueEstádio Municipal 22 de Junho
  • Table before kick-offFamalicao 6th · Arouca 11th

Timeline

  1. Half time · 0–0
  2. BarberoYellow card
    51’
  3. ⇄ D. NandinFor Barbero
    61’
  4. ⇄ R. BeneyFor Gil Dias
    66’
  5. ⇄ Umar AbubakarFor S. Elisor
    66’
  6. ⇄ Pedro SantosFor Marcos Peña
    67’
  7. ⇄ Pablo GozálbezFor A. Trezza
    75’
  8. Rodrigo Pinheiro 1–0
    82’
  9. ⇄ José SilvaFor Diogo Monteiro
    83’
  10. ⇄ A. DanteFor B. Kuipers
    83’
  11. ⇄ Miguel PucheFor Lee Hyun-Ju
    84’
  12. M. De AmorimYellow card · misses next match
    84’
  13. ⇄ L. RealpeFor A. Joujou
    89’
  14. Full time · 1–0

Team stats

Famalicao12 shots · 8 in box, 4 outside
Arouca10 shots · 6 in box, 4 outside
FamalicaoArouca
55% Possession 45%
0.89 Expected goals (xG) 0.81
1.40 Expected points (xPts) 1.26
12 Shots 10
6 Shots on target 4
6 Shots off target 4
0 Blocked shots 2
8 Shots inside the box 6
4 Shots outside the box 4
443 Passes 386
85% Pass accuracy 85%
5 Corners 1
4 Goalkeeper saves 5
12 Fouls 16
5 Offsides 2
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
7.12 Team rating 6.70

Line-ups

Famalicao 4-2-3-1

257.2 L. Carević(G)
57.3 Rafa Soares 167.2 J. de Haas 557.0 I. Ba 178.2★ Rodrigo Pinheiro
146.7 M. De Amorim 87.2 Marcos Peña ↓67’
777.2 A. Joujou ↓89’ 207.6 Gustavo Sá 236.6 Gil Dias ↓66’
126.2 S. Elisor ↓66’
  • 25L. Carević (G)7.2
  • 5Rafa Soares7.3
  • 16J. de Haas7.2
  • 55I. Ba7.0
  • 17Rodrigo Pinheiro ★8.2
  • 14M. De Amorim6.7
  • 8Marcos Peña↓67’7.2
  • 77A. Joujou↓89’7.2
  • 20Gustavo Sá7.6
  • 23Gil Dias↓66’6.6
  • 12S. Elisor↓66’6.2

Substitutes used

  • 3L. Realpe↑89’
  • 80Pedro Santos↑67’6.9
  • 18R. Beney↑66’6.2
  • 9Umar Abubakar↑66’6.6

Unused: I. Zlobin, Pedro Bondo, Gustavo Garcia, Gonzalo Pastor, O. Mamageishvili

Arouca 4-2-3-1

126.9 I. de Arruabarrena(G)
256.3 B. Kuipers ↓83’ 36.9 José Fontán 57.2 B. Popović 66.7 Diogo Monteiro ↓83’
216.9 T. Fukui 226.9 E. van Ee
76.2 N. Djouahra 146.3 Lee Hyun-Ju ↓84’ 196.9 A. Trezza ↓75’
176.2 Barbero ↓61’
  • 12I. de Arruabarrena (G)6.9
  • 25B. Kuipers↓83’6.3
  • 3José Fontán6.9
  • 5B. Popović7.2
  • 6Diogo Monteiro↓83’6.7
  • 21T. Fukui6.9
  • 22E. van Ee6.9
  • 7N. Djouahra6.2
  • 14Lee Hyun-Ju↓84’6.3
  • 19A. Trezza↓75’6.9
  • 17Barbero↓61’6.2

Substitutes used

  • 23D. Nandin↑61’6.9
  • 44A. Dante↑83’6.7
  • 2José Silva↑83’6.7
  • 10Pablo Gozálbez↑75’6.7
  • 11Miguel Puche↑84’6.7

Unused: João Valido, M. Rocha, Yellu Santiago, Brian Mansilla

Player stats

Top rated
Rodrigo PinheiroFamalicao8.2
2nd
Gustavo SáFamalicao7.6
3rd
Rafa SoaresFamalicao7.3

Famalicao

Arouca

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.