Bundesliga Gameweek 20 Sat, Jan 31 2026 · 14:30 WWK Arena, Augsburg
2–1 Full time · HT 1–1 xG 1.28 – 2.22
  • M. Gregoritsch 41’, 59’
  • 32’ (P) D. Sinani
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

FC Augsburg come from behind to beat FC St. Pauli

FC Augsburg entered as favourites, yet FC St. Pauli led 1–0 after 32 minutes through a Sinani goal. But Gregoritsch struck twice to turn it around for FC Augsburg, who won 2–1. FC Augsburg won despite the lower xG; FC St. Pauli created the better chances (2.22 vs 1.28). On the chances created, FC St. Pauli deserved more: 2.0 expected points against the 0 points they took.

FC Augsburg ✓57%
Draw23%
FC St. Pauli20%

Model vs reality

FC Augsburg goals
2
Model 1.88 · xG 1.28
FC St. Pauli goals
1
Model 1.03 · xG 2.22
Total goals
3
Model 2.91 · xG 3.50
Score 2–1
10%
Most likely 1–1 (11%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 56%
Both scored
Yes
Model 55%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchM. GregoritschFC Augsburg · 2 goals
8.9
  • RefereeSascha Stegemann
  • Coaches— · A. Blessin
  • VenueWWK Arena
  • Table before kick-offFC Augsburg 13th · FC St. Pauli 17th

Timeline

  1. M. WolfYellow card · Tripping
    29’
  2. D. Sinani (pen) 0–1
    32’
  3. M. Gregoritsch 1–1Assist A. Claude-Maurice
    41’
  4. Robin FellhauerYellow card · Tripping
    44’
  5. Half time · 1–1
  6. ⇄ Y. KeitelFor Arthur Chaves
    46’
  7. M. Gregoritsch 2–1Assist A. Claude-Maurice
    59’
  8. ⇄ A. KadeFor F. Rieder
    60’
  9. ⇄ M. KaarsFor D. Sinani
    63’
  10. ⇄ M. Pereira LageFor R. Jones
    63’
  11. N. BanksYellow card · Tripping
    69’
  12. ⇄ J. IrvineFor J. Fujita
    71’
  13. ⇄ C. ZesigerFor E. Rexhbeçaj
    77’
  14. ⇄ M. PedersenFor M. Wolf
    77’
  15. ⇄ A. CeesayFor E. Saliakas
    84’
  16. ⇄ S. EssendeFor M. Gregoritsch
    84’
  17. J. SandsYellow card · Foul
    90+1’
  18. Full time · 2–1

Team stats

FC Augsburg10 shots · 6 in box, 4 outside
FC St. Pauli15 shots · 10 in box, 5 outside
FC AugsburgFC St. Pauli
45% Possession 55%
1.28 Expected goals (xG) 2.22
0.84 Expected points (xPts) 1.96
10 Shots 15
5 Shots on target 4
2 Shots off target 5
3 Blocked shots 6
6 Shots inside the box 10
4 Shots outside the box 5
367 Passes 454
79% Pass accuracy 82%
5 Corners 5
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
13 Fouls 10
1 Offsides 1
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
7.05 Team rating 6.73

Line-ups

FC Augsburg 3-4-2-1

17.5 F. Dahmen(G)
407.0 N. Banks 317.2 K. Schlotterbeck 348.0 Arthur Chaves ↓46’
275.9 M. Wolf ↓77’ 86.3 E. Rexhbeçaj ↓77’ 47.3 H. Massengo 196.2 Robin Fellhauer
207.6 A. Claude-Maurice AA 326.2 F. Rieder ↓60’
388.9★ M. Gregoritsch ↓84’
  • 1F. Dahmen (G)7.5
  • 40N. Banks7.0
  • 31K. Schlotterbeck7.2
  • 34Arthur Chaves↓46’8.0
  • 27M. Wolf↓77’5.9
  • 8E. Rexhbeçaj↓77’6.3
  • 4H. Massengo7.3
  • 19Robin Fellhauer6.2
  • 20A. Claude-MauriceA×27.6
  • 32F. Rieder↓60’6.2
  • 38M. Gregoritsch ★↓84’8.9

Substitutes used

  • 14Y. Keitel↑46’6.3
  • 30A. Kade↑60’6.5
  • 3M. Pedersen↑77’
  • 16C. Zesiger↑77’
  • 9S. Essende↑84’

Unused: N. Labrović, I. Gharbi, M. Kömür, Rodrigo Ribeiro

FC St. Pauli 3-4-2-1

226.5 N. Vasilj(G)
36.9 K. Mets 86.3 E. Smith 157.3 Tomoya Ando
116.9 Arkadiusz Pyrka 206.7 M. Rasmussen 66.7 J. Sands 27.0 E. Saliakas ↓84’
166.9 J. Fujita ↓71’ 107.2 D. Sinani ↓63’
265.6 R. Jones ↓63’
  • 22N. Vasilj (G)6.5
  • 3K. Mets6.9
  • 8E. Smith6.3
  • 15Tomoya Ando7.3
  • 11Arkadiusz Pyrka6.9
  • 20M. Rasmussen6.7
  • 6J. Sands6.7
  • 2E. Saliakas↓84’7.0
  • 16J. Fujita↓71’6.9
  • 10D. Sinani↓63’7.2
  • 26R. Jones↓63’5.6

Substitutes used

  • 28M. Pereira Lage↑63’6.5
  • 19M. Kaars↑63’6.5
  • 7J. Irvine↑71’6.7
  • 9A. Ceesay↑84’

Unused: B. Voll, L. Ritzka, Jannik Thomas Robatsch, F. Stevens, Louis Oppie

Coach: A. Blessin

Player stats

Top rated
M. GregoritschFC Augsburg8.9
2nd
Arthur ChavesFC Augsburg8.0
3rd
A. Claude-MauriceFC Augsburg7.6

FC Augsburg

FC St. Pauli

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.