Bundesliga Gameweek 11 Sat, Nov 22 2025 · 14:30 WWK Arena, Augsburg
1–0 Full time · HT 0–0 xG 1.38 – 1.08
  • A. Kade 76’
  • K. Schlotterbeck 81’
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Kade goal decides it for FC Augsburg

FC Augsburg entered as favourites and won 1–0 through a Kade goal. FC Augsburg played with ten men from the 81st minute after Schlotterbeck was sent off. The chances were even, with xG of 1.38 and 1.08. On the chances created, Hamburger SV deserved more: 1.2 expected points against the 0 points they took.

FC Augsburg ✓48%
Draw25%
Hamburger SV27%

Model vs reality

FC Augsburg goals
1
Model 1.68 · xG 1.38
Hamburger SV goals
0
Model 1.22 · xG 1.08
Total goals
1
Model 2.90 · xG 2.46
Score 1–0
9%
Most likely 1–1 (12%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 55%
Both scored
No
Model 58%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchC. MatsimaFC Augsburg
7.7
  • RefereeRobin Braun
  • VenueWWK Arena
  • Table before kick-offFC Augsburg 15th · Hamburger SV 13th

Timeline

  1. K. SchlotterbeckYellow card · Roughing
    34’
  2. N. CapaldoYellow card · Tripping
    38’
  3. Half time · 0–0
  4. N. RembergYellow card · Roughing
    61’
  5. ⇄ S. EssendeFor M. Kömür
    64’
  6. ⇄ E. SaadFor A. Claude-Maurice
    64’
  7. ⇄ Rayan PhilippeFor Fábio Vieira
    72’
  8. ⇄ E. RexhbeçajFor H. Massengo
    74’
  9. A. Kade 1–0Assist D. Giannoulis
    76’
  10. K. SchlotterbeckSecond yellow · Roughing
    81’
  11. ⇄ R. GlatzelFor J. Torunarigha
    82’
  12. ⇄ Alexander Røssing-LelesiitFor G. Gocholeishvili
    82’
  13. ⇄ C. ZesigerFor F. Rieder
    83’
  14. L. VuškovićYellow card · Roughing
    86’
  15. ⇄ I. PheraiFor A. Sambi Lokonga
    86’
  16. ⇄ Guilherme RamosFor N. Capaldo
    86’
  17. Full time · 1–0

Team stats

FC Augsburg12 shots · 9 in box, 3 outside
Hamburger SV14 shots · 11 in box, 3 outside
FC AugsburgHamburger SV
49% Possession 51%
1.38 Expected goals (xG) 1.08
1.58 Expected points (xPts) 1.15
12 Shots 14
6 Shots on target 6
6 Shots off target 4
0 Blocked shots 4
9 Shots inside the box 11
3 Shots outside the box 3
417 Passes 438
86% Pass accuracy 83%
4 Corners 2
5 Goalkeeper saves 5
13 Fouls 10
2 Offsides 7
1 Yellow cards 3
1 Red cards 0
7.12 Team rating 6.81

Line-ups

FC Augsburg 3-4-3

17.5 F. Dahmen(G)
317.0 K. Schlotterbeck 57.7★ C. Matsima 406.9 N. Banks
137.6 D. Giannoulis A 46.9 H. Massengo ↓74’ 197.0 Robin Fellhauer 307.6 A. Kade
366.9 M. Kömür ↓64’ 206.6 A. Claude-Maurice ↓64’ 326.9 F. Rieder ↓83’
  • 1F. Dahmen (G)7.5
  • 31K. Schlotterbeck7.0
  • 5C. Matsima ★7.7
  • 40N. Banks6.9
  • 13D. GiannoulisA7.6
  • 4H. Massengo↓74’6.9
  • 19Robin Fellhauer7.0
  • 30A. Kade7.6
  • 36M. Kömür↓64’6.9
  • 20A. Claude-Maurice↓64’6.6
  • 32F. Rieder↓83’6.9

Substitutes used

  • 16C. Zesiger↑83’
  • 8E. Rexhbeçaj↑74’6.7
  • 9S. Essende↑64’6.3
  • 26E. Saad↑64’6.2

Unused: N. Labrović, A. Maier, I. Gharbi, M. Wolf, P. Tietz

Hamburger SV 3-4-3

17.5 D. Heuer Fernandes(G)
256.9 J. Torunarigha ↓82’ 446.3 L. Vušković 247.2 N. Capaldo ↓86’
286.9 M. Muheim 217.2 N. Remberg 66.5 A. Sambi Lokonga ↓86’ 166.7 G. Gocholeishvili ↓82’
76.5 Jean-Luc Dompe 116.3 R. Königsdörffer 206.9 Fábio Vieira ↓72’
  • 1D. Heuer Fernandes (G)7.5
  • 25J. Torunarigha↓82’6.9
  • 44L. Vušković6.3
  • 24N. Capaldo↓86’7.2
  • 28M. Muheim6.9
  • 21N. Remberg7.2
  • 6A. Sambi Lokonga↓86’6.5
  • 16G. Gocholeishvili↓82’6.7
  • 7Jean-Luc Dompe6.5
  • 11R. Königsdörffer6.3
  • 20Fábio Vieira↓72’6.9

Substitutes used

  • 13Guilherme Ramos↑86’
  • 10I. Pherai↑86’
  • 38Alexander Røssing-Lelesiit↑82’
  • 9R. Glatzel↑82’
  • 14Rayan Philippe↑72’7.0

Unused: D. Peretz, W. Mikelbrencis, Aboubaka Soumahoro, F. Balde

Player stats

Top rated
C. MatsimaFC Augsburg7.7
2nd
D. GiannoulisFC Augsburg7.6
3rd
A. KadeFC Augsburg7.6

FC Augsburg

Hamburger SV

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.